2008 NFL preseason Week 2 + Underdog Trend pick

1. Home underdogs are 77-49 (61%)
2. Home teams off less than 10 win years as favorites against prior year Good teams are just 32-54 (37%)
3. Home underdogs versus a "non prior year Good team" are 38-20 (66%)
4. In week two, POOR prior season teams are an amazing 25-9 (74%) as away teams facing GOOD or AVERAGE prior year home teams, and POOR teams are also 31-23 as home teams.
5. NFL Preseason research: Won-Lost records coming in
6. Back an away team with two or more wins against a home team with exactly one win (41-17) for (71% )
7. In a game of winless sides, lean to the underdog (38-21 after week one).
8. Home underdogs with 0 or 2+ wins are 55-25 (69%)
9. Away underdogs with 0 or 2+ wins are 197-140 (58%)
10. In week two, underdogs with zero wins are 50-24 (68%)

Though the NY Giants are 6-3 ATS @ home last 9 home pre-season games the most important trend is clearly the following >>>

Defending SB champions are only 1-15 ATS on week 2 as Favorites

Under  Romeo Crennel , Cleveland has gone 9-3 ATS , actually 9-4 ATS including last week's loss to the NY Jets , but Romeo Crennel did bring his winning atttitude from New England during pre-season.

Results from last 4 years on week 2 for the last  4 SB champs >>

Chi @ Indi L 24-27 P + 3

Minn @ pitt L 10-17 L - 3.5

NO @ NE L 27-37 L - 3.5

NE @ Cinci L 3-31 L - 4

Reminding ourselves of how strong MNF Dogs have been over the last 15 years this Cleveland team as a dog seems to me the right selection as the Underdog Trend of the week and the first such pick of this NFL season !