12/7

72-50    +2054

ATL +7 -115  +6.5 -101

PIT +6 -104

PIT O43 -113

CIN +6 -101

NYJ +2.5 +104 / ml +130

NYJ O41 -107

NO +8.5 -104

JAX +110

AZ +10 -104

AZ U48 -112

CH +7 -108

@Raiders22

GL

@Raiders22

 Dogs barking again this week?!?

Did some “advanced research” (lol assuming that I interpreted it correctly) this week and I predicted you would be on NO and AZ. GL brother 

@Raiders22

@Raiders22

@brn2loslive2win

Yeah.  TB and LAR are both huge public plays also.  But the public is right sometimes. 

I played some favorites very early and some totals very early but the lines have moved way in my favor, so I did not post them.

@Raiders22

 Tough to pull the trigger on NO or AZ. But looking carefully at the data on NFELOAPP, there is definitely indication that those lines are too high. NO and TB are almost identical on defense by those metrics. The question is whether or not the TB offense will outperform the NO defense by enough points to cover. 

Using the eye test I can’t justify NO. I watched the game against MIA last week and that was a borderline blowout. The final score was not an indication of how the game was played. I was on NO along with you and felt it took a lot of luck to get that cover. That said, you’re probably right and NO is the right side today.

@brn2loslive2win

 All true.  I did not want those teams at the open.  But now the numbers are so high I feel they are worth it.

But NO has a terrible offense for sure.  The Rams defense will be in shutdown mode after last week's letdown.

Good luck 22

GL  on your plays like Tiny Tim say: God bless everyone @Raiders22