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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    Over Alert!

    sicknesscity
    dubz4dummyz
    Miracle888
    NavyDog
    Digitalkarma
    ...
    Participants:
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    Views: 1300
    Posts: 11
     
    sicknesscity
    sicknesscity
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2021 - 11:41 AM ET #1

    I'm looking through the games right now and I have to post this information because I just think it looks like too good of a play.  The refs in the Celtics/Wizards game heavily favor the over.  Did you know Eric Lewis is 19-2 for overs this season?  Scott Wall is 15-8 and Matt Kallio is 6-3.  So there may actually be some whistles for free throws.  Very important if you've got an over.  Then you need the teams to play fast and force more action, potentially leading to more possessions or scores.  This is a revenge game for the Celtics after they got clowned recently by the Wizards and everyone started talking about Stevens.  Right?  The Celtics are due for an explosion unless they play like shit or don't take this game seriously, which I doubt.  The Wizards lost 135-116 to the Clippers recently on their B2B during their hot streak.  I've got to look through more of the games but this has got to be POD material.

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    I'm looking through the games right now and I have to post this information because I just think it looks like too good of a play.  The refs in the Celtics/Wizards game heavily favor the over.  Did you know Eric Lewis is 19-2 for overs this season?  Scott Wall is 15-8 and Matt Kallio is 6-3.  So there may actually be some whistles for free throws.  Very important if you've got an over.  Then you need the teams to play fast and force more action, potentially leading to more possessions or scores.  This is a revenge game for the Celtics after they got clowned recently by the Wizards and everyone started talking about Stevens.  Right?  The Celtics are due for an explosion unless they play like shit or don't take this game seriously, which I doubt.  The Wizards lost 135-116 to the Clippers recently on their B2B during their hot streak.  I've got to look through more of the games but this has got to be POD material.

     
    dubz4dummyz
    dubz4dummyz
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2021 - 11:45 AM ET #2

    nice!

     

    for eric lewis stats....has he mainly ref'd high scoring teams??? 

     

    like for instance if he hasnt ref'd many pacers or knicks or lakers games then he wont have as many unders......(they play tight d for the most part)

    likewise if he has done a bunch of pelicans and kings games he should be high on overs.....(they run and gun)

     

    does where you get your info also show you that?

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    nice!

     

    for eric lewis stats....has he mainly ref'd high scoring teams??? 

     

    like for instance if he hasnt ref'd many pacers or knicks or lakers games then he wont have as many unders......(they play tight d for the most part)

    likewise if he has done a bunch of pelicans and kings games he should be high on overs.....(they run and gun)

     

    does where you get your info also show you that?

     
    sicknesscity
    sicknesscity
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2021 - 11:49 AM ET #3

    Quote Originally Posted by dubz4dummyz:

    nice!   for eric lewis stats....has he mainly ref'd high scoring teams???    like for instance if he hasnt ref'd many pacers or knicks or lakers games then he wont have as many unders......(they play tight d for the most part) likewise if he has done a bunch of pelicans and kings games he should be high on overs.....(they run and gun)   does where you get your info also show you that?

    It's on Covers.  Just click the matchup tab for the game.  Then scroll down and look at the refs.  You can see which refs are doing the games and how they've done for the over/unders.  You can't just go by refs but they have an impact on these games so I have to think it's not just a coincidence.  You can actually see the ref's last 10 games for each team if you want, although I think the last couple of games would be most relevant.

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    Quote Originally Posted by dubz4dummyz:

    nice!   for eric lewis stats....has he mainly ref'd high scoring teams???    like for instance if he hasnt ref'd many pacers or knicks or lakers games then he wont have as many unders......(they play tight d for the most part) likewise if he has done a bunch of pelicans and kings games he should be high on overs.....(they run and gun)   does where you get your info also show you that?

    It's on Covers.  Just click the matchup tab for the game.  Then scroll down and look at the refs.  You can see which refs are doing the games and how they've done for the over/unders.  You can't just go by refs but they have an impact on these games so I have to think it's not just a coincidence.  You can actually see the ref's last 10 games for each team if you want, although I think the last couple of games would be most relevant.

     
    Miracle888
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2021 - 11:55 AM ET #4

    @sicknesscity

     Let me know if that's your final play. I got the overs on both time they met and it was bricks city. Hope they're due for an over. Lol

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    @sicknesscity

     Let me know if that's your final play. I got the overs on both time they met and it was bricks city. Hope they're due for an over. Lol

     
    sicknesscity
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2021 - 11:59 AM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by Miracle888:

    @sicknesscity  Let me know if that's your final play. I got the overs on both time they met and it was bricks city. Hope they're due for an over. Lol

    IMO I just look through these games and pick a side or a total.  You know if I had to pick something in terms of getting action.  Then I rank the plays roughly in my head.  What looks like the best plays for the day and which games are you really gambling on for the hell of it.  I'll definitely be betting the over in this game.  It's not a maybe.  I usually hate overs on Sundays because I think the refs swallow their whistles and just let the guys play often.  If these refs are going to call more fouls, then they should get in the bonus and be close enough to the number in the 4th.  

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    Quote Originally Posted by Miracle888:

    @sicknesscity  Let me know if that's your final play. I got the overs on both time they met and it was bricks city. Hope they're due for an over. Lol

    IMO I just look through these games and pick a side or a total.  You know if I had to pick something in terms of getting action.  Then I rank the plays roughly in my head.  What looks like the best plays for the day and which games are you really gambling on for the hell of it.  I'll definitely be betting the over in this game.  It's not a maybe.  I usually hate overs on Sundays because I think the refs swallow their whistles and just let the guys play often.  If these refs are going to call more fouls, then they should get in the bonus and be close enough to the number in the 4th.  

     
    NavyDog
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2021 - 12:19 PM ET #6

    Interesting write up.

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    Interesting write up.

     
    Digitalkarma
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2021 - 12:24 PM ET #7

    last 3 meetings went Under , Over seem to be due. Wiz offense is hot and Celtic defenze look vulnerable without Smart. i'd give Over a shot.. its over 230's for a reason an_wink

     

    GL peace_5

    Sip on that plus money honey!
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    last 3 meetings went Under , Over seem to be due. Wiz offense is hot and Celtic defenze look vulnerable without Smart. i'd give Over a shot.. its over 230's for a reason an_wink

     

    GL peace_5

     
    tuck321
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2021 - 12:30 PM ET #8

    Absolutely true and I might add Washington is 6-2 over b-b

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    Absolutely true and I might add Washington is 6-2 over b-b

     
    dustmiester
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2021 - 12:43 PM ET #9

    I noticed on Sundays a lot of games go under i am an over guy but I don’t know about this Boston game first time they played a shot 48% and 46% and they only scored 223 points the last time they played it even fucking come close 194 points good luck you guys im staying away from this one this one has under written all over it there’s Gotta be a better choice for the over

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    I noticed on Sundays a lot of games go under i am an over guy but I don’t know about this Boston game first time they played a shot 48% and 46% and they only scored 223 points the last time they played it even fucking come close 194 points good luck you guys im staying away from this one this one has under written all over it there’s Gotta be a better choice for the over

     
    rxpert
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2021 - 5:26 PM ET #10

    Nice info. Game just went off the board in 2 of my books

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    Nice info. Game just went off the board in 2 of my books

     
     
    Alexg85
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2021 - 5:50 PM ET #11

    Jaylen Brown is Out for Celtics don't do it.

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    Jaylen Brown is Out for Celtics don't do it.

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