If you are truly hiting 60% on odds of -110 or better, after 100 bets or more, you are KILLING it. Not much to improve.
70% at odds of -110 is impossible and more so in NBA. Seriously, even Pinnacle would ban you with that record.
I´ve made 65k in a year, where I started with 5k. NBA has been a fucking grind filled with ups and downs. This season, I would think that my ROI in NBA is 2% at best. Im quite sure Im running well below EV, but still...
Again, 10% is insane. Keep it up. I know you are young and I see great potential for you in this and in NFL! Fuck em haters.
If you are truly hiting 60% on odds of -110 or better, after 100 bets or more, you are KILLING it. Not much to improve.
70% at odds of -110 is impossible and more so in NBA. Seriously, even Pinnacle would ban you with that record.
I´ve made 65k in a year, where I started with 5k. NBA has been a fucking grind filled with ups and downs. This season, I would think that my ROI in NBA is 2% at best. Im quite sure Im running well below EV, but still...
Again, 10% is insane. Keep it up. I know you are young and I see great potential for you in this and in NFL! Fuck em haters.
NN,
I'm in agreeance with a lot of the guys who have commented, so please don't take this the wrong way because I'm all for people having vision and going after their goals, and yours is a great goal - however 60% I imagine would be absolute maximum over a sustained period. I'm no maths genius but I understand the basic concepts and you are a statistical CERTAINTY for a run of outs or variance at some point. The reality is you won't be a statistical outlier. You will be unlikely to have a sustained edge over the market.
I'd suggest IF you were able to hit at 70% as stated, you'd not last long because every book would ban or severely limit your action to the point you'd rarely get set. You'd certainly need a team of people placing bets on your behalf.
As I think someone else has mentioned, your best bet to achieve this is to play purely premium plays. That means a lot of patience and knowing where the market has severely overestimated or underestimated a probability of a result. You're therefore looking at unloading on only a few plays a month or maybe a dozen plays in a year at a considerably higher bet size than what you likely are now.
In any event, I really hope you can make a profitable pastime from your punting endeavours.
Best of luck.
BF
NN,
I'm in agreeance with a lot of the guys who have commented, so please don't take this the wrong way because I'm all for people having vision and going after their goals, and yours is a great goal - however 60% I imagine would be absolute maximum over a sustained period. I'm no maths genius but I understand the basic concepts and you are a statistical CERTAINTY for a run of outs or variance at some point. The reality is you won't be a statistical outlier. You will be unlikely to have a sustained edge over the market.
I'd suggest IF you were able to hit at 70% as stated, you'd not last long because every book would ban or severely limit your action to the point you'd rarely get set. You'd certainly need a team of people placing bets on your behalf.
As I think someone else has mentioned, your best bet to achieve this is to play purely premium plays. That means a lot of patience and knowing where the market has severely overestimated or underestimated a probability of a result. You're therefore looking at unloading on only a few plays a month or maybe a dozen plays in a year at a considerably higher bet size than what you likely are now.
In any event, I really hope you can make a profitable pastime from your punting endeavours.
Best of luck.
BF
If you are truly hitting 60% on odds of -110 or better, after 100 bets or more, you are KILLING it. Not much to improve.
70% at odds of -110 is impossible and more so in NBA. Seriously, even Pinnacle would ban you with that record.
I´ve made 65k in a year, where I started with 5k. NBA has been a friggin grind filled with ups and downs. This season, I would think that my ROI in NBA is 2% at best. Im quite sure Im running well below EV, but still...
Again, 10% is insane. Keep it up. I know you are young and I see great potential for you in this and in NFL! darn em haters.
If you are truly hitting 60% on odds of -110 or better, after 100 bets or more, you are KILLING it. Not much to improve.
70% at odds of -110 is impossible and more so in NBA. Seriously, even Pinnacle would ban you with that record.
I´ve made 65k in a year, where I started with 5k. NBA has been a friggin grind filled with ups and downs. This season, I would think that my ROI in NBA is 2% at best. Im quite sure Im running well below EV, but still...
Again, 10% is insane. Keep it up. I know you are young and I see great potential for you in this and in NFL! darn em haters.
I think once a serious gambler starts putting money on the line and starts factoring in juice and bankroll management while making multiple plays per day, a 60% win-rate turns into an illusion or an oasis so to speak for 99.5% of the gambling population. To make an assertion that a 2-12 month window of results is evidence of a long term statistically reliable 60% win rate over the long term is something only the eventual reality of going broke will disprove. It is statistically unlikely if not impossible that laying 5% or 10% price for the opportunity to double an investment, will result in a predictable and reliable profitable result over the long run. The best cappers in the world struggle to make it to 60%. As far as 70%? I would put that in the same category as an investment broker promising 30% yearly returns or more. The past is littered with those that made those false promises while hiding behind the walls of a ponzi scheme turned into a prison sentence.
Those that believe in the false promises of great riches awaiting them in the world of gambling, would be better off investing in the casinos and sportsbooks themselves to get on the right side of the numbers. Some people just need to learn for themselves.
I think once a serious gambler starts putting money on the line and starts factoring in juice and bankroll management while making multiple plays per day, a 60% win-rate turns into an illusion or an oasis so to speak for 99.5% of the gambling population. To make an assertion that a 2-12 month window of results is evidence of a long term statistically reliable 60% win rate over the long term is something only the eventual reality of going broke will disprove. It is statistically unlikely if not impossible that laying 5% or 10% price for the opportunity to double an investment, will result in a predictable and reliable profitable result over the long run. The best cappers in the world struggle to make it to 60%. As far as 70%? I would put that in the same category as an investment broker promising 30% yearly returns or more. The past is littered with those that made those false promises while hiding behind the walls of a ponzi scheme turned into a prison sentence.
Those that believe in the false promises of great riches awaiting them in the world of gambling, would be better off investing in the casinos and sportsbooks themselves to get on the right side of the numbers. Some people just need to learn for themselves.
NN,
I'm in agreeance with a lot of the guys who have commented, so please don't take this the wrong way because I'm all for people having vision and going after their goals, and yours is a great goal - however 60% I imagine would be absolute maximum over a sustained period. I'm no maths genius but I understand the basic concepts and you are a statistical CERTAINTY for a run of outs or variance at some point. The reality is you won't be a statistical outlier. You will be unlikely to have a sustained edge over the market.
I'd suggest IF you were able to hit at 70% as stated, you'd not last long because every book would ban or severely limit your action to the point you'd rarely get set. You'd certainly need a team of people placing bets on your behalf.
As I think someone else has mentioned, your best bet to achieve this is to play purely premium plays. That means a lot of patience and knowing where the market has severely overestimated or underestimated a probability of a result. You're therefore looking at unloading on only a few plays a month or maybe a dozen plays in a year at a considerably higher bet size than what you likely are now.
In any event, I really hope you can make a profitable pastime from your punting endeavours.
Best of luck.
BF
NN,
I'm in agreeance with a lot of the guys who have commented, so please don't take this the wrong way because I'm all for people having vision and going after their goals, and yours is a great goal - however 60% I imagine would be absolute maximum over a sustained period. I'm no maths genius but I understand the basic concepts and you are a statistical CERTAINTY for a run of outs or variance at some point. The reality is you won't be a statistical outlier. You will be unlikely to have a sustained edge over the market.
I'd suggest IF you were able to hit at 70% as stated, you'd not last long because every book would ban or severely limit your action to the point you'd rarely get set. You'd certainly need a team of people placing bets on your behalf.
As I think someone else has mentioned, your best bet to achieve this is to play purely premium plays. That means a lot of patience and knowing where the market has severely overestimated or underestimated a probability of a result. You're therefore looking at unloading on only a few plays a month or maybe a dozen plays in a year at a considerably higher bet size than what you likely are now.
In any event, I really hope you can make a profitable pastime from your punting endeavours.
Best of luck.
BF
I think once a serious gambler starts putting money on the line and starts factoring in juice and bankroll management while making multiple plays per day, a 60% win-rate turns into an illusion or an oasis so to speak for 99.5% of the gambling population. To make an assertion that a 2-12 month window of results is evidence of a long term statistically reliable 60% win rate over the long term is something only the eventual reality of going broke will disprove. It is statistically unlikely if not impossible that laying 5% or 10% price for the opportunity to double an investment, will result in a predictable and reliable profitable result over the long run. The best cappers in the world struggle to make it to 60%. As far as 70%? I would put that in the same category as an investment broker promising 30% yearly returns or more. The past is littered with those that made those false promises while hiding behind the walls of a ponzi scheme turned into a prison sentence.
Those that believe in the false promises of great riches awaiting them in the world of gambling, would be better off investing in the casinos and sportsbooks themselves to get on the right side of the numbers. Some people just need to learn for themselves.
I think once a serious gambler starts putting money on the line and starts factoring in juice and bankroll management while making multiple plays per day, a 60% win-rate turns into an illusion or an oasis so to speak for 99.5% of the gambling population. To make an assertion that a 2-12 month window of results is evidence of a long term statistically reliable 60% win rate over the long term is something only the eventual reality of going broke will disprove. It is statistically unlikely if not impossible that laying 5% or 10% price for the opportunity to double an investment, will result in a predictable and reliable profitable result over the long run. The best cappers in the world struggle to make it to 60%. As far as 70%? I would put that in the same category as an investment broker promising 30% yearly returns or more. The past is littered with those that made those false promises while hiding behind the walls of a ponzi scheme turned into a prison sentence.
Those that believe in the false promises of great riches awaiting them in the world of gambling, would be better off investing in the casinos and sportsbooks themselves to get on the right side of the numbers. Some people just need to learn for themselves.
In all honesty, I know some guys that have been living from this for 5 years+ and they are not in that 60%. Playing -105 or -110, if you are hitting 55% thats a shitload of money.
Imagine you bet 1k per bet at 1.9 odds on average you hit 60%. After 100 bets you would have a profit of $14k (That would be 14% ROI!!) That is what a very good and risky investment would pay you PER YEAR!
In all honesty, I know some guys that have been living from this for 5 years+ and they are not in that 60%. Playing -105 or -110, if you are hitting 55% thats a shitload of money.
Imagine you bet 1k per bet at 1.9 odds on average you hit 60%. After 100 bets you would have a profit of $14k (That would be 14% ROI!!) That is what a very good and risky investment would pay you PER YEAR!
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