Posted:
#51
Quote Originally Posted by bodio:
#1: Memphis Grizzlies -2
This is the 4th and final meeting between these 2 teams as all previous three games were won by the home team. Interestingly enough, the Grizz are 3-0 ATS in those games, thus indicating that they match-up with the Spurs better than bookmakers expected. One key to this game will be turnovers. Grizzlies are the #2 team in the league in TOV% defensively, and the Spurs are coming off a game where they’ve committed 22 turnovers to the Blazers. In the last meeting in Memphis, San Antonio committed 21 turnovers, and I expect this to be a big factor tonight as well. In addition, Grizzlies are a team that crashes the offensive glass, ranking #6 in the league in ORB% on offense. Duncan’s size and defensive rebounding will be missed once again here tonight. Even with him in the lineup the Grizz averaged 16.33 offensive boards per game in the first 3 meetings, while the Spurs only had 9.6 per game. Big difference! I know some people will play the Spurs under the belief that ‘they can’t lose 3 in a row’, but when you break-down these matchups, I feel Memphis has an edge. Another key here is that Memphis is playing solid D lately, giving up 93 ppg and allowing 44% from the field to their opponents in the last 5 games. On the season they allow 98 ppg and 46% from the field. Clearly, playing above average right now on the defensive end. Spurs, on the other hand, haven’t been as effective defensively. This team is giving up 100 ppg and 48% shooting to their opponents in their last 5 games. I like this Memphis team to play good D, control the boards, and force San Antonio into a number of turnovers in this game. To me these are critical components to winning games and the Grizz have an edge in all of them tonight.
#1: Memphis Grizzlies -2
This is the 4th and final meeting between these 2 teams as all previous three games were won by the home team. Interestingly enough, the Grizz are 3-0 ATS in those games, thus indicating that they match-up with the Spurs better than bookmakers expected. One key to this game will be turnovers. Grizzlies are the #2 team in the league in TOV% defensively, and the Spurs are coming off a game where they’ve committed 22 turnovers to the Blazers. In the last meeting in Memphis, San Antonio committed 21 turnovers, and I expect this to be a big factor tonight as well. In addition, Grizzlies are a team that crashes the offensive glass, ranking #6 in the league in ORB% on offense. Duncan’s size and defensive rebounding will be missed once again here tonight. Even with him in the lineup the Grizz averaged 16.33 offensive boards per game in the first 3 meetings, while the Spurs only had 9.6 per game. Big difference! I know some people will play the Spurs under the belief that ‘they can’t lose 3 in a row’, but when you break-down these matchups, I feel Memphis has an edge. Another key here is that Memphis is playing solid D lately, giving up 93 ppg and allowing 44% from the field to their opponents in the last 5 games. On the season they allow 98 ppg and 46% from the field. Clearly, playing above average right now on the defensive end. Spurs, on the other hand, haven’t been as effective defensively. This team is giving up 100 ppg and 48% shooting to their opponents in their last 5 games. I like this Memphis team to play good D, control the boards, and force San Antonio into a number of turnovers in this game. To me these are critical components to winning games and the Grizz have an edge in all of them tonight.
had me a little worried there the grizzlies. made of hard work of it there at the beginning of the 4th!! but a win is and win and it always feels better than a loss!!!!CHEERS BODIO!!!!!!! 
now cheering for lakers and bricks (in the thunder/blazers) to complete a 4 leg parlay!!!
YOU THE MAN!!!!!! 
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