CrazyMilkMan's Philippines Local Hoops Betting Thread

6 Teams in the Semis

1 Team eliminated

1 Team already assured of a final seat

4 Teams fighting for the last ticket to the finals

Talk n' Text is back to the finals for the 3rd straight time, gunning for their 3rd straight title to be the 4th team to achieve the rare Grand Slam peat.

But the bigger question now is, who will they face? Will it be the Brgy Ginebra Kings (7-5) who wants to revenge their finals defeat last conference? Will it be the Alaska Aces (7-5) who doesnt want to include TnT to the elite list of Grand Slam Teams which include them, San Miguel and Crispa? Will it be the Petron Blaze Boosters (6-5) who wants to reverse the standing from being at the bottom last conference, into being the top team this conference? Or will it be the Rain or Shine Elasto Painters (6-5) who wants to win their first championship in what could be their first final appearance. (Of course we all know that BMEG is already out of contention for having poor performance in the semifinal round)

With two remaining game dates and four remaining games (Petron vs BMEG, Alaska vs Rain or Shine, Ginebra vs Rain or Shine, Talk n Text vs Petron), there are still many possibilities. In fact, there are 16 possible (2^4=16) win-loss scenarios. But aside from who won the games, the winning margin may also dictate who will enter the finals. To understand fully, here are the chances of the four teams (Kings, Aces, Blaze Boosters, Elasto Painters) in making it to the finals:

Ginebra's chances:

a)Petron(W) vs BMEG ; Alaska(W) vs ROS ; Ginebra(W) vs ROS ; TnT(W) vs Petron

*Alaska's winning margin versus Rain or Shine must not be 11 more than Ginebra's winning margin versus Rain or Shine

b)Petron(W) vs BMEG ; Alaska vs ROS(W) ; Ginebra(W) vs ROS ; TnT(W) vs Petron

c)Petron vs BMEG(W) ; Alaska(W) vs ROS ; Ginebra(W) vs ROS ; TnT(W) vs Petron

*Alaska's winning margin versus Rain or Shine must not be 11 more than Ginebra's winning margin versus Rain or Shine

d)Petron vs BMEG(W) ; Alaska(W) vs ROS ; Ginebra(W) vs ROS ; TnT vs Petron(W)

*Alaska's winning margin versus Rain or Shine must not be 11 more than Ginebra's winning margin versus Rain or Shine

e)Petron vs BMEG(W) ; Alaska vs ROS(W) ; Ginebra(W) vs ROS ; TnT(W) vs Petron

f)Petron vs BMEG(W) ; Alaska vs ROS(W) ; Ginebra(W) vs ROS ; TnT vs Petron(W)

Alaska's chances:

a)Petron(W) vs BMEG ; Alaska(W) vs ROS ; Ginebra(W) vs ROS ; TnT(W) vs Petron

*Alaska's winning margin versus Rain or Shine must be at least 12 more than Ginebra's winning margin versus Rain or Shine

b)Petron(W) vs BMEG ; Alaska(W) vs ROS ; Ginebra vs ROS(W) ; TnT(W) vs Petron

c)Petron vs BMEG(W) ; Alaska(W) vs ROS ; Ginebra(W) vs ROS ; TnT(W) vs Petron

*Alaska's winning margin versus Rain or Shine must be at least 12 more than Ginebra's winning margin versus Rain or Shine

d)Petron vs BMEG(W) ; Alaska(W) vs ROS ; Ginebra(W) vs ROS ; TnT vs Petron(W)

*Alaska's winning margin versus Rain or Shine must be at least 12 more than Ginebra's winning margin versus Rain or Shine

e)Petron vs BMEG(W) ; Alaska(W) vs ROS ; Ginebra vs ROS(W) ; TnT(W) vs Petron

f)Petron vs BMEG(W) ; Alaska(W) vs ROS ; Ginebra vs ROS(W) ; TnT vs Petron(W)

g)Petron(W) vs BMEG ; Alaska(W) vs ROS ; Ginebra vs ROS(W) ; TnT vs Petron(W)

Rain or Shine's chances:

a)Petron(W) vs BMEG ; Alaska vs ROS(W) ; Ginebra vs ROS(W) ; TnT(W) vs Petron

b)Petron(W) vs BMEG ; Alaska vs ROS(W) ; Ginebra vs ROS(W) ; TnT vs Petron(W)

c)Petron vs BMEG(W) ; Alaska vs ROS(W) ; Ginebra vs ROS(W) ; TnT(W) vs Petron

d)Petron vs BMEG(W) ; Alaska vs ROS(W) ; Ginebra vs ROS(W) ; TnT vs Petron(W)

Petron's chances:

a)Petron(W) vs BMEG ; Alaska(W) vs ROS ; Ginebra(W) vs ROS ; TnT vs Petron(W)

b)Petron(W) vs BMEG ; Alaska vs ROS(W) ; Ginebra(W) vs ROS ; TnT vs Petron(W)

-In scenarios with (*) mark, only Alaska and Ginebra reach 8 wins. Since they split their two meeting with 4 point lead each (July 16: Alaska 83 vs Ginebra 79; July 29: Alaska 77 vs Ginebra 81), the quotient system of the whole conference will be used. Currently Ginebra is at +21 and Alaska is at +10. For Alaska to overtake Ginebra, they must win against Rain or Shine by at least 12 points more than Ginebra's lead versus Rain or Shine.

For example:

If Alaska wins by 15 points, Ginebra wins by 3 points (Alaska enters finals)

If Alaska wins by 9 points, Ginebra wins by 1 point (Ginebra enters finals)