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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    6-0 posted plays... Reverse line moves

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    baylor237
    nkaplan416
    composite
    TriniMike
    twodigitz
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    baylor237
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2013 - 5:38 PM ET #1076

    You're right. No RLM on laker games.
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    You're right. No RLM on laker games.
     
    nkaplan416
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2013 - 6:14 PM ET #1077

    trini what are your thoughts on VALPO @ DET OU....open at 142.5 in my book moved up to 144.5 with over 80% on the over (as expected) and dropped to 143.5....games at 7PM im thinking i wait to see if the line moves again before then but thats technically rlm correct?  
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    trini what are your thoughts on VALPO @ DET OU....open at 142.5 in my book moved up to 144.5 with over 80% on the over (as expected) and dropped to 143.5....games at 7PM im thinking i wait to see if the line moves again before then but thats technically rlm correct?  
     
    composite
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2013 - 6:19 PM ET #1078

    any thoughts on clips v minny? T-Wolves are a 5 pt dog w/ 90% (according to Vegasinsider) on the Clips.

    If nothing else, isn't it odd that a beaten up T-Wolves team is only a 5 pt dog to a Clipper team that blew out Memphis then Houston?  Especially considering the last 2 Clipper blowout games? 

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    any thoughts on clips v minny? T-Wolves are a 5 pt dog w/ 90% (according to Vegasinsider) on the Clips.

    If nothing else, isn't it odd that a beaten up T-Wolves team is only a 5 pt dog to a Clipper team that blew out Memphis then Houston?  Especially considering the last 2 Clipper blowout games? 

     
    TriniMike
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2013 - 6:44 PM ET #1079

    yes nkaplan, kind of. i didn't check the numbers, but if that's the case, the slight move down would suggest some ssharps comming in late and buying the under
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    yes nkaplan, kind of. i didn't check the numbers, but if that's the case, the slight move down would suggest some ssharps comming in late and buying the under
     
    nkaplan416
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2013 - 6:47 PM ET #1080

    same with San jose st @ Denver..-14 to -15.5 with over 80% on the dogs yet the line still climbed in their favor.  Denvers been smokin hot the last 4 at home
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    same with San jose st @ Denver..-14 to -15.5 with over 80% on the dogs yet the line still climbed in their favor.  Denvers been smokin hot the last 4 at home
     
    TriniMike
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2013 - 6:47 PM ET #1081

    composite, if i remember correctly, wolves at home were the ones that ended the clips 19 or 20 game win streak and the spread was just 2. line is fishy but the adjustments were  made in proper line movement, not rlm. that doesn't mean the clips won't lose, but i don't see rlm...bol
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    composite, if i remember correctly, wolves at home were the ones that ended the clips 19 or 20 game win streak and the spread was just 2. line is fishy but the adjustments were  made in proper line movement, not rlm. that doesn't mean the clips won't lose, but i don't see rlm...bol
     
    twodigitz
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2013 - 6:50 PM ET #1082

    u see anything on the over/under for the phoenix game? it opened at 196is, got all the way up to 198.5 n i see it as low as 196.5 now...
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    u see anything on the over/under for the phoenix game? it opened at 196is, got all the way up to 198.5 n i see it as low as 196.5 now...
     
    OneBloodyBoto
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2013 - 6:54 PM ET #1083

    There is no RLM in the mich minn unders.   the over is getting pounded and the spread has gone from 137 to 140.  I had the over at 137 didnt like it so I took it off at 140.  Maybe can get a middle but its hard enougth to win one bet.
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    There is no RLM in the mich minn unders.   the over is getting pounded and the spread has gone from 137 to 140.  I had the over at 137 didnt like it so I took it off at 140.  Maybe can get a middle but its hard enougth to win one bet.
     
    TriniMike
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2013 - 6:54 PM ET #1084

    looks like big money is on denver... might play that one myself, though i'm scared we might have already missed the boat at 14.5
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    looks like big money is on denver... might play that one myself, though i'm scared we might have already missed the boat at 14.5
     
    TheBest
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2013 - 6:57 PM ET #1085

    k ill ride along gonna do this
    northwestern + pts 1 unit
    gtec +pts 1  unit
    minni michigan under 1 unit

    2 team parlay
    gtech +pts 
    minni under 

    get dat money
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    k ill ride along gonna do this
    northwestern + pts 1 unit
    gtec +pts 1  unit
    minni michigan under 1 unit

    2 team parlay
    gtech +pts 
    minni under 

    get dat money
     
    FadeAndLay4
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2013 - 7:03 PM ET #1086

    Alright... Not sold on NTexas,GT,or MinnyUnder... Just worried about the amount of cash on all these games.

    Ill be back to finalize, however right now Im looking @ TWolves and USC NCAABB against Oregon.

    I will say out of the 3 I like GT the most, but just worried about the money aspect on all of em. I do think your on the right side if there is $ on em. GL ALL.
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    Alright... Not sold on NTexas,GT,or MinnyUnder... Just worried about the amount of cash on all these games.

    Ill be back to finalize, however right now Im looking @ TWolves and USC NCAABB against Oregon.

    I will say out of the 3 I like GT the most, but just worried about the money aspect on all of em. I do think your on the right side if there is $ on em. GL ALL.
     
    wolffer12
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2013 - 7:08 PM ET #1087

    Quote Originally Posted by TriniMike:

    looks like big money is on denver... might play that one myself, though i'm scared we might have already missed the boat at 14.5

    I am heading to this game tonight and I was shocked to see 15 when I looked at the line. DU has only beaten crap teams at home by more than 15 pts. SJSU hasn't been drilled by more than 15 outside of a couple of games (KU)... I bit on SJSU and it might be as square as they come but I will pay to see DU win by 16 or more. If all else fails I can buy out at halftime depending on what I see

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    Quote Originally Posted by TriniMike:

    looks like big money is on denver... might play that one myself, though i'm scared we might have already missed the boat at 14.5

    I am heading to this game tonight and I was shocked to see 15 when I looked at the line. DU has only beaten crap teams at home by more than 15 pts. SJSU hasn't been drilled by more than 15 outside of a couple of games (KU)... I bit on SJSU and it might be as square as they come but I will pay to see DU win by 16 or more. If all else fails I can buy out at halftime depending on what I see

     
    RichieRich97
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2013 - 7:10 PM ET #1088

    I'm with u mike and adding manhattan, e ill, Youngstown, s fl, S Utah, uc irvine, northwestern. Lets do this
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    I'm with u mike and adding manhattan, e ill, Youngstown, s fl, S Utah, uc irvine, northwestern. Lets do this
     
    TriniMike
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2013 - 7:14 PM ET #1089

    Quote Originally Posted by OneBloodyBoto:

    There is no RLM in the mich minn unders.   the over is getting pounded and the spread has gone from 137 to 140.  I had the over at 137 didnt like it so I took it off at 140.  Maybe can get a middle but its hard enougth to win one bet.

    ihave it openeing at 139, dropping to 137.5 where i got it and now at 138.5. i read that as RLM. BOl whichever side ur on...

    01/17/13 Make Pick
    See Picks
    517 Michigan 139 2.5 120 o 138.5 (-110) 14971 59% 54% 72% 70%
    7:00PM 518 Minnesota 2½ -2.5 -140 u 138.5 (-110) 41% 46% 28% 30%

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    Quote Originally Posted by OneBloodyBoto:

    There is no RLM in the mich minn unders.   the over is getting pounded and the spread has gone from 137 to 140.  I had the over at 137 didnt like it so I took it off at 140.  Maybe can get a middle but its hard enougth to win one bet.

    ihave it openeing at 139, dropping to 137.5 where i got it and now at 138.5. i read that as RLM. BOl whichever side ur on...

    01/17/13 Make Pick
    See Picks
    517 Michigan 139 2.5 120 o 138.5 (-110) 14971 59% 54% 72% 70%
    7:00PM 518 Minnesota 2½ -2.5 -140 u 138.5 (-110) 41% 46% 28% 30%

     
    ariana09
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2013 - 7:14 PM ET #1090

    Wow these guys in the Minn game are not missing nothing. 3 after 3 going in. 
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    Wow these guys in the Minn game are not missing nothing. 3 after 3 going in. 
     
    TheBest
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2013 - 7:15 PM ET #1091

    Ga Tech hasn't played too many close games, they've either been blown out or they do the blowing, wait what? they blow out shitty teams and get blown out by good ones, but duke off a loss gets a lot of pub attention and tonight is no different.  ga tech is athletic on the wing and can play some defense, Tech remains in the nation's top 20 in scoring defense (17th) and field goal percentage defense (13th), and ranks third in the ACC in both categories. Tech's losses have come to teams with a combined record of 59-21 (as of Jan. 14), and only two of those were at home.  Duke was 15-0 with Kelly, they are 0-1 without him.  they are a much different team, especially when Josh Hairston is now getting minutes, how that guy got ascholarship to Duke the world may never know.  If you look back at this series the last 10, duke would have only covered a line like tonight 2 times. If there is a time for GT to play them close, tonight is as good as any.  

    Georgia Tech +15- its a nice writeup by charlotte sports for the added confidence bol!

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    Ga Tech hasn't played too many close games, they've either been blown out or they do the blowing, wait what? they blow out shitty teams and get blown out by good ones, but duke off a loss gets a lot of pub attention and tonight is no different.  ga tech is athletic on the wing and can play some defense, Tech remains in the nation's top 20 in scoring defense (17th) and field goal percentage defense (13th), and ranks third in the ACC in both categories. Tech's losses have come to teams with a combined record of 59-21 (as of Jan. 14), and only two of those were at home.  Duke was 15-0 with Kelly, they are 0-1 without him.  they are a much different team, especially when Josh Hairston is now getting minutes, how that guy got ascholarship to Duke the world may never know.  If you look back at this series the last 10, duke would have only covered a line like tonight 2 times. If there is a time for GT to play them close, tonight is as good as any.  

    Georgia Tech +15- its a nice writeup by charlotte sports for the added confidence bol!

     
    ariana09
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2013 - 7:15 PM ET #1092

    Quote Originally Posted by TriniMike:

    ihave it openeing at 139, dropping to 137.5 where i got it and now at 138.5. i read that as RLM. BOl whichever side ur on...

    01/17/13 https://pregame.com/make-pick/default.aspx?SportId=127
    See Picks
    517 Michigan 139 2.5 120 o 138.5 (-110) 14971 59% 54% 72% 70%
    7:00PM 518 Minnesota 2½ -2.5 -140 u 138.5 (-110) 41% 46% 28% 30%

     The line shot up right before tip off. I had to turn off the game i cant watch. lol They are not missing nothing both teams are on fire. every shot is going in. 3 pointers
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    Quote Originally Posted by TriniMike:

    ihave it openeing at 139, dropping to 137.5 where i got it and now at 138.5. i read that as RLM. BOl whichever side ur on...

    01/17/13 https://pregame.com/make-pick/default.aspx?SportId=127
    See Picks
    517 Michigan 139 2.5 120 o 138.5 (-110) 14971 59% 54% 72% 70%
    7:00PM 518 Minnesota 2½ -2.5 -140 u 138.5 (-110) 41% 46% 28% 30%

     The line shot up right before tip off. I had to turn off the game i cant watch. lol They are not missing nothing both teams are on fire. every shot is going in. 3 pointers
     
    TriniMike
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2013 - 7:21 PM ET #1093

    Actually, don't see 140 at any books... i only see -140 as the Money Line for Minny. Line's dropping with 72% on the over. i don't want to be a d*ck, but I'm kind tired of having to back up my picks, with evidence EVERY day... get's a little tedious after already putting in so much work so others can follow. i don't just check lines at 5pm and call it. I'm checking lines all day, writing them down and checking them against the last time I wrote them down. Then re-checking before i call it... no worries, though...BOL
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    Actually, don't see 140 at any books... i only see -140 as the Money Line for Minny. Line's dropping with 72% on the over. i don't want to be a d*ck, but I'm kind tired of having to back up my picks, with evidence EVERY day... get's a little tedious after already putting in so much work so others can follow. i don't just check lines at 5pm and call it. I'm checking lines all day, writing them down and checking them against the last time I wrote them down. Then re-checking before i call it... no worries, though...BOL
     
    RichieRich97
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2013 - 7:21 PM ET #1094

    also adding g tech 1 h
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    also adding g tech 1 h
     
    TriniMike
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2013 - 7:23 PM ET #1095

    Quote Originally Posted by ariana09:

     The line shot up right before tip off. I had to turn off the game i cant watch. lol They are not missing nothing both teams are on fire. every shot is going in. 3 pointers

    It's all good, can't win 'em all... Hope for a crappy 2h... i was nerous with the Mich st over yesterday when i saw ony 40 something in the first half... they covered the over with 7 mins left in the 2h

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    Quote Originally Posted by ariana09:

     The line shot up right before tip off. I had to turn off the game i cant watch. lol They are not missing nothing both teams are on fire. every shot is going in. 3 pointers

    It's all good, can't win 'em all... Hope for a crappy 2h... i was nerous with the Mich st over yesterday when i saw ony 40 something in the first half... they covered the over with 7 mins left in the 2h

     
    RichieRich97
    RichieRich97
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2013 - 7:24 PM ET #1096

    Good luck Mike and thanks again for your hard work
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    Good luck Mike and thanks again for your hard work
     
    TriniMike
    TriniMike
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2013 - 7:25 PM ET #1097

    Quote Originally Posted by RichieRich97:

    I'm with u mike and adding manhattan, e ill, Youngstown, s fl, S Utah, uc irvine, northwestern. Lets do this

     

    damn rich! And I thought i was bad at limiting my games! LOl...BOL bro!

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    Quote Originally Posted by RichieRich97:

    I'm with u mike and adding manhattan, e ill, Youngstown, s fl, S Utah, uc irvine, northwestern. Lets do this

     

    damn rich! And I thought i was bad at limiting my games! LOl...BOL bro!

     
    TriniMike
    TriniMike
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2013 - 7:27 PM ET #1098

    Quote Originally Posted by FadeAndLay4:

    Alright... Not sold on NTexas,GT,or MinnyUnder... Just worried about the amount of cash on all these games.

    Ill be back to finalize, however right now Im looking @ TWolves and USC NCAABB against Oregon.

    I will say out of the 3 I like GT the most, but just worried about the money aspect on all of em. I do think your on the right side if there is $ on em. GL ALL.

     

    I'm with you 100% on the kind of volume on these games, but with nothing good in NBA, I had to jump on something...

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    Quote Originally Posted by FadeAndLay4:

    Alright... Not sold on NTexas,GT,or MinnyUnder... Just worried about the amount of cash on all these games.

    Ill be back to finalize, however right now Im looking @ TWolves and USC NCAABB against Oregon.

    I will say out of the 3 I like GT the most, but just worried about the money aspect on all of em. I do think your on the right side if there is $ on em. GL ALL.

     

    I'm with you 100% on the kind of volume on these games, but with nothing good in NBA, I had to jump on something...

     
    animals26
    animals26
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2013 - 7:28 PM ET #1099

    The only one that stands out to me is Bucks opened +2 at Suns, now -1 with even money on both teams. I check the numbers alot myself and that is pretty "odd" for a 3 point shift like that.
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    The only one that stands out to me is Bucks opened +2 at Suns, now -1 with even money on both teams. I check the numbers alot myself and that is pretty "odd" for a 3 point shift like that.
     
     
    TriniMike
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2013 - 7:28 PM ET #1100

    Quote Originally Posted by TriniMike:

    Ok guys, it's that time of day again. I really don't see anything I like tonight in NBA action... There are a lot in the NCAA though. I've been watching them all day, and though some of the numbers have changed and will probably continue to do so, here are my only 3 picks of the day:
    Game #  Team     Spread   Units
    521 North Texas    +2.5    1 Unit

    541 Georgia Tech  +15.5   1 Unit

    518  Michigan/Minny UNDER 137.5 1 Unit

    If I had to take a lean on something it would either be N. Tex ML or Georgia Tech 1 half

    Follow, Fade or Ignore, it's all good... BOL ALL 

     

    Forgot to mention for those keeping tabs on me... 19-8-2 in ALL posted picks

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    Quote Originally Posted by TriniMike:

    Ok guys, it's that time of day again. I really don't see anything I like tonight in NBA action... There are a lot in the NCAA though. I've been watching them all day, and though some of the numbers have changed and will probably continue to do so, here are my only 3 picks of the day:
    Game #  Team     Spread   Units
    521 North Texas    +2.5    1 Unit

    541 Georgia Tech  +15.5   1 Unit

    518  Michigan/Minny UNDER 137.5 1 Unit

    If I had to take a lean on something it would either be N. Tex ML or Georgia Tech 1 half

    Follow, Fade or Ignore, it's all good... BOL ALL 

     

    Forgot to mention for those keeping tabs on me... 19-8-2 in ALL posted picks

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