Here's my picks guys... both for the system and for dougie
Chicago Bulls 1 unit
Lakers 1 unit
Portland Trail blazers 1 Unit
Here are PLAYS that fit the system but are NOT my picks. I MIGHT touch them for half a unit before game time. Do the same if you see something you like.
Toronto Raptors
Cavs under
I repeat to avoid confusion, that I only have 3 picks for tonight. Lakers and Bulls are my favorites. Might parlay them
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Here's my picks guys... both for the system and for dougie
Chicago Bulls 1 unit
Lakers 1 unit
Portland Trail blazers 1 Unit
Here are PLAYS that fit the system but are NOT my picks. I MIGHT touch them for half a unit before game time. Do the same if you see something you like.
Toronto Raptors
Cavs under
I repeat to avoid confusion, that I only have 3 picks for tonight. Lakers and Bulls are my favorites. Might parlay them
Seems like you're a golfer Dougie... I've got a house down in S Florida too. Maybe next time I go down we can link up and play for money on that too. I've got playing priveleges at Trump down there and I think Doral since he bought that place too... I love beating people for money on the golf course!!!
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Seems like you're a golfer Dougie... I've got a house down in S Florida too. Maybe next time I go down we can link up and play for money on that too. I've got playing priveleges at Trump down there and I think Doral since he bought that place too... I love beating people for money on the golf course!!!
just wondering here mike, but portland game GS opened at -6.5 61% on them line moved to -8. Is that not the correct line movement? I dnt see how portland fits the system
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just wondering here mike, but portland game GS opened at -6.5 61% on them line moved to -8. Is that not the correct line movement? I dnt see how portland fits the system
how does the raptors fit the system? spread is down 1/2 pt and no one sided favorite.
I have 69% of the public on the hornets, Raptors went from -7.5 to -8, most of the public is on hornets, but most of the money is on raptors. The %'s we see are base on the # of bets placed, but the line moves based on the amount of money placed on that side. A simple way to explain what we're doing is we're following the money, not the public perception. Unfortunately, if someone bets a million dollars on Raptors -7.5, that will move the line to -8. So we're always a step behind and we're just hoping there's enough room in the cover to cover our line too. Of course the guy betting a million dollars isn't always correct, but we have to take the wins with the losses. Luckily we've been on a hot streak. It can't and won't last forever, but why not ride it while it does. BOL
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Quote Originally Posted by x3shift:
how does the raptors fit the system? spread is down 1/2 pt and no one sided favorite.
I have 69% of the public on the hornets, Raptors went from -7.5 to -8, most of the public is on hornets, but most of the money is on raptors. The %'s we see are base on the # of bets placed, but the line moves based on the amount of money placed on that side. A simple way to explain what we're doing is we're following the money, not the public perception. Unfortunately, if someone bets a million dollars on Raptors -7.5, that will move the line to -8. So we're always a step behind and we're just hoping there's enough room in the cover to cover our line too. Of course the guy betting a million dollars isn't always correct, but we have to take the wins with the losses. Luckily we've been on a hot streak. It can't and won't last forever, but why not ride it while it does. BOL
BigDoug.. Why are you acting like your Doug Buffone from the 85 Bears? You act like you are him? You didnt make that song either. That was on the Mulley and Handley show on 670 The Score here in Chicago. PLease get original. Its okay though.. You probably pay the man most weeks anyways. I also found out you cant count. Cuz if you go 2-1 and playing $500 bets.. thats $1000-$550=+$450.. get a life dude!
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BigDoug.. Why are you acting like your Doug Buffone from the 85 Bears? You act like you are him? You didnt make that song either. That was on the Mulley and Handley show on 670 The Score here in Chicago. PLease get original. Its okay though.. You probably pay the man most weeks anyways. I also found out you cant count. Cuz if you go 2-1 and playing $500 bets.. thats $1000-$550=+$450.. get a life dude!
just wondering here mike, but portland game GS opened at -6.5 61% on them line moved to -8. Is that not the correct line movement? I dnt see how portland fits the system
At the moment, you're absolutely right. But I've been watching it all day, earlier today 70% were on Portland, then I saw it at 50 something and It continued moving down. The averages have caught up to to them, but to ME it looks like a lot of money were on them early. Sometimes big money comes in right before game time, sometimes they buy the number they like when they see it. I could be wrong, I mean really, who knows who bets what, when. it's a guessing game and I just try to make the best educated guess I can.
That's also why i noted the cavs under and Raptors. you guys can keep and eye on it for yourselves and see if money comes in right before the game, without having to fall back on my advice. Those were just a heads up. Seems like a lot to take in...Am I making sense?
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Quote Originally Posted by dbhg1124:
just wondering here mike, but portland game GS opened at -6.5 61% on them line moved to -8. Is that not the correct line movement? I dnt see how portland fits the system
At the moment, you're absolutely right. But I've been watching it all day, earlier today 70% were on Portland, then I saw it at 50 something and It continued moving down. The averages have caught up to to them, but to ME it looks like a lot of money were on them early. Sometimes big money comes in right before game time, sometimes they buy the number they like when they see it. I could be wrong, I mean really, who knows who bets what, when. it's a guessing game and I just try to make the best educated guess I can.
That's also why i noted the cavs under and Raptors. you guys can keep and eye on it for yourselves and see if money comes in right before the game, without having to fall back on my advice. Those were just a heads up. Seems like a lot to take in...Am I making sense?
i'm sure you're sick of all the questions....i don't see how blazers fit...opened at -6.5 warriors now -7.5 with 62% on warriors. pistons seem like a play bucks open at -6 now -5 with 67% on bucks
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trini,
i'm sure you're sick of all the questions....i don't see how blazers fit...opened at -6.5 warriors now -7.5 with 62% on warriors. pistons seem like a play bucks open at -6 now -5 with 67% on bucks
Bulls is the only legit reverse line play thus far.
I can see how you might not like portland as a RLM, because the %'s have been all over today. But Lakers lines and %'s have been supporting RLM all day!
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Quote Originally Posted by eleven11:
Bulls is the only legit reverse line play thus far.
I can see how you might not like portland as a RLM, because the %'s have been all over today. But Lakers lines and %'s have been supporting RLM all day!
I have 69% of the public on the hornets, Raptors went from -7.5 to -8, most of the public is on hornets, but most of the money is on raptors. The %'s we see are base on the # of bets placed, but the line moves based on the amount of money placed on that side. A simple way to explain what we're doing is we're following the money, not the public perception. Unfortunately, if someone bets a million dollars on Raptors -7.5, that will move the line to -8. So we're always a step behind and we're just hoping there's enough room in the cover to cover our line too. Of course the guy betting a million dollars isn't always correct, but we have to take the wins with the losses. Luckily we've been on a hot streak. It can't and won't last forever, but why not ride it while it does. BOL
where do you get your stats for money?
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Quote Originally Posted by TriniMike:
I have 69% of the public on the hornets, Raptors went from -7.5 to -8, most of the public is on hornets, but most of the money is on raptors. The %'s we see are base on the # of bets placed, but the line moves based on the amount of money placed on that side. A simple way to explain what we're doing is we're following the money, not the public perception. Unfortunately, if someone bets a million dollars on Raptors -7.5, that will move the line to -8. So we're always a step behind and we're just hoping there's enough room in the cover to cover our line too. Of course the guy betting a million dollars isn't always correct, but we have to take the wins with the losses. Luckily we've been on a hot streak. It can't and won't last forever, but why not ride it while it does. BOL
i'm sure you're sick of all the questions....i don't see how blazers fit...opened at -6.5 warriors now -7.5 with 62% on warriors. pistons seem like a play bucks open at -6 now -5 with 67% on bucks
If you watch lines all day, you'll see that sometimes half of the games have RLM written all over it. But, you kinda have to pick and choose which ones you want to play. Sometimes they're really obvious, like the bulls tonight, sometimes they're not. But like I said before, you have to remember we're a step behind all the time. We bet on line moves to follow that winners that actually MAKE the lines move. For instance, some people made out like bandits taking the bulls +5.5, we follow them, but only get bulls +4.5.
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Quote Originally Posted by baylor237:
trini,
i'm sure you're sick of all the questions....i don't see how blazers fit...opened at -6.5 warriors now -7.5 with 62% on warriors. pistons seem like a play bucks open at -6 now -5 with 67% on bucks
If you watch lines all day, you'll see that sometimes half of the games have RLM written all over it. But, you kinda have to pick and choose which ones you want to play. Sometimes they're really obvious, like the bulls tonight, sometimes they're not. But like I said before, you have to remember we're a step behind all the time. We bet on line moves to follow that winners that actually MAKE the lines move. For instance, some people made out like bandits taking the bulls +5.5, we follow them, but only get bulls +4.5.