Was arguing with the AI about CHW/CLE

It said Foster Griffin O15.5 +143 was the play at noon, then dropped to +132 at 2PM, and then +124 at 3PM.

Bet this but know nothing about Griffin. The AI said ... 

This is the single strongest EV prop in this matchup.

Why it’s top-tier EV:

• Griffin is a 15–6, 3.65 ERA, 162.2 IP workhorse (your tab).

• Cleveland is in a division race, meaning Griffin gets a longer leash.

• Chicago’s offense is inconsistent and bottom-tier vs LHP.

• FanDuel tends to price Griffin’s outs too conservatively because he’s not a “name” ace.

This is the same pattern that made Misiorowski’s outs prop (not a pick) the best EV in Brewers–Pirates — volume props on contenders in September are almost always mispriced.

After going and back forth with the AI, it picked the monsters for today. Not that these are sure-things, just that for the price, you had to put something on them. Do not follow unless you get at least these lines (or better).

Cristopher Sánchez O18.5 outs +124 (PHI/WAN)

Michael Soroka O4.5 Ks +110 (MIA/ARZ)

3rd Inning OVER 0.5 RUNS +120 (MIL/PIT)

Would not be shocked if they all missed. But, the AI seemed confident, so lets go!