thursday mlb

rays/guardians under 6.5

Historically, teams leading a best-of-seven postseason series 3–0 have won 41 of 42 times. The Brewers are in a commanding position, but the Dodgers only need to win tonight to keep their hopes alive.

The historical record is especially revealing here: teams trailing 0–3 have won Game 4 only 10 times in 42 previous MLB best-of-seven postseason series. That's a 23.8% win rate.

.... but the comeback remains extremely difficult

- 10 teams won Game 4.
- Only 4 of those teams went on to win at least two additional games and force a Game 6.
- Only 2 teams forced a Game 7.
- Only 1 team completed the comeback: the 2004 Boston Red Sox against the New York Yankees.