Yesterday: 2-2, +0.28 units
Season: 150-143, +4.38 units
Nationals -116 vs Mets (BetDSI) -- Mets are a poor road team and Fedde has pitched very well of late
A's +123 vs Yankees (BetDSI)
White Sox -111 vs Astros (BetDSI)
Rockies +1.5 runs +105 vs Brewers (BetDSI)
Giants -127 vs Phillies (BetDSI)
Yesterday: 4-1, +3.16 units
Season: 154-144, +7.54 units
Last 10 days: 32-13, +22.86 units
A's +109 vs Yankees (BetDSI) -- better team, better offense as a + money underdog
Marlins +115 vs Cubs (BetDSI) -- Big starting pitching edge
SF -112 vs Phillies (BetDSI) -- Phillies are a bad road team, Giants are a great home team, I see no reason for this line to be this low
Reds +140 vs Padres (BetDSI) -- OK, I've watched Gutierrez for 4 starts and he has been consistently good, ready to take the plunge with him against the Padres who are having a bullpen game.
Cardinals +112 vs Braves (BetDSI) -- big starting pitching edge
White Sox +115 vs Atros (BetDSI) -- can't pass up Lance Lynn and the Sox at + money
And:
Rockies +133 vs Brewers (BetDSI) -- Lauer is probably the weakest Milwaukee starter, and he's a lefty. Colorado hits lefties very well. And of course the Rockies are a really good home team. Lots of value at +133.
Tigers +151 vs Angels (BetDSI) -- Bundy has been serving up homers and getting hit hard all year. Mize just gets better and better as he gains experience. Big starting pitching edge for Detroit. LA is better in every other facet, but that's not enough to justify such a steep line.
Padres -133 vs Reds (BetDSI) -- Better team at home. Yeah, Castillo's recent starts might indicate he's turning around what has been a terrible season, so there is a bit of concern there. But Lamet, recovering from injury, has gotten his pitch count up into the 70s the last 3 starts, and I expect he'll top 80+ today.
Mariners +146 vs Rays (BetDSI) -- Rays in a bit of a tailspin, McClanahan isn't that great a starter. They are too big a road favorite.
Yesterday: 4-4,+0.94 units
Season: 159-152, +5.51 units
Doubleheader Game 2: Mets +128 vs Braves (BetDSI) - the Mets are 21-7 at home. The Braves are playing their 4th game in 32 hours with some significant overnight air travel in between. Yes, I know the Mets are starting a journeyman pitcher, but that's not enough to make them this big an underdog at home given their season play at home and Atlanta's fatigue situation.
Brewers -123 vs Diamondbacks (BetDSI) - how is a team that has won 6 out of their last 47 games not a much bigger dog than this to a winning opponent? It's not even like they have the better pitcher on the mound.
Indians +128 vs Cubs (BetDSI) - yeah the Cubs are strong at home but when I can get a pretty good team with their best healthy arm on the mound at a significant+ price I'll pull the trigger
Night games...going a little too favorite heavy for my tastes, but that's how I saw 'em...
Cubs -1.5 runs +103 vs Indians (BetDSI)
A's -127 vs Rangers (BetDSI)
Giants +113 vs Angels (BetDSI)
Dodgers -115 vs Padres (BetDSI)
Mariners -160 vs Rockies (BetDSI) -- This is the biggest money line favorite I've played all season. I don't like big money line favorites because baseball is so unpredictable. A bad team beats a good team and the sportscaster will not even use the word "upset". It happens. But then again, when was the last time you had a team that was 5-27 on the road. Normally in a situation like this I would play the favorite on the runline so I'm not risking more than one unit. But with a low scoring offense like Seattle's, I decided to play it this way. Too much chance of a 3-2 or 4-3 win.
Yesterday: 5-1, +4.09 units
Season: 165-155, +8.65 units
Mariners -103 vs Rockies (BetDSI) -- how in the world can I get a team that is 24-15 at home, against a team that is 5-28 on the road, at practically even money? Makes no sense. Marquez is certainly a good pitcher, and he has truly excelled at the difficult task of pitching at Coors Field. But he has actually struggled on the road, with a road ERA of 5.74 and the Rockies have lost every single one of his road starts.
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