Starting my Covers MLB tracking today.
Full-slate pregame probabilities below.
Win and Total results will be tracked separately. Losses stay in the record.
SEP 23 MLB
WIN β 4-MODEL CONSENSUS
1. ATL β 71.1%
2. LAD β 66.3%
3. LAA β 64.9%
4. ARI β 61.7%
5. CHC β 61.3%
6. DET β 60.7%
7. MIN β 59.1%
8. BAL G2 β 58.2%
9. NYM β 57.3%
10. BOS β 56.9%
11. BAL G1 β 56.7%
12. CWS β 56.0%
13. NYY β 55.6%
14. MIL β 54.4%
15. HOU β 52.1%
STLβPIT β no posted win probability today due to a late pitching-role change.
TOTAL β 3-MODEL CONSENSUS
1. HOUβSEA U9.5 β 71.3%
2. TBβNYY U8.5 β 70.1%
3. SDβLAD U9.5 β 67.8%
4. TORβBAL G1 U9.5 β 67.8%
5. MIAβCHC U8.5 β 66.8%
6. CLEβBOS U8.5 β 66.8%
7. TORβBAL G2 U9.5 β 65.9%
8. MILβPHI U8.5 β 65.4%
9. NYMβTEX O6.5 β 65.2%
10. CWSβKC O7.5 β 65.2%
11. WSHβDET O6.5 β 64.5%
12. ARIβCOL U12.5 β 64.5%
13. LAAβATH U10.5 β 64.5%
14. CINβATL O6.5 β 63.5%
15. MINβSF U8.5 β 63.2%
STLβPIT β excluded from todayβs Total board after the pitching-role change.
No locks. Just probabilities.
Covers tracking starts with this slate. Iβll post the full results here after settlement β wins and misses included.
Sep 23 MLB Picks — Full Slate | Win & Total Probabilities
Starting my Covers MLB tracking today.
Full-slate pregame probabilities below.
Win and Total results will be tracked separately. Losses stay in the record.
SEP 23 MLB
WIN β 4-MODEL CONSENSUS
1. ATL β 71.1%
2. LAD β 66.3%
3. LAA β 64.9%
4. ARI β 61.7%
5. CHC β 61.3%
6. DET β 60.7%
7. MIN β 59.1%
8. BAL G2 β 58.2%
9. NYM β 57.3%
10. BOS β 56.9%
11. BAL G1 β 56.7%
12. CWS β 56.0%
13. NYY β 55.6%
14. MIL β 54.4%
15. HOU β 52.1%
STLβPIT β no posted win probability today due to a late pitching-role change.
TOTAL β 3-MODEL CONSENSUS
1. HOUβSEA U9.5 β 71.3%
2. TBβNYY U8.5 β 70.1%
3. SDβLAD U9.5 β 67.8%
4. TORβBAL G1 U9.5 β 67.8%
5. MIAβCHC U8.5 β 66.8%
6. CLEβBOS U8.5 β 66.8%
7. TORβBAL G2 U9.5 β 65.9%
8. MILβPHI U8.5 β 65.4%
9. NYMβTEX O6.5 β 65.2%
10. CWSβKC O7.5 β 65.2%
11. WSHβDET O6.5 β 64.5%
12. ARIβCOL U12.5 β 64.5%
13. LAAβATH U10.5 β 64.5%
14. CINβATL O6.5 β 63.5%
15. MINβSF U8.5 β 63.2%
STLβPIT β excluded from todayβs Total board after the pitching-role change.
No locks. Just probabilities.
Covers tracking starts with this slate. Iβll post the full results here after settlement β wins and misses included.
@Verdict
Fair enough β definitely late in the season.
Iβm posting the full slate because the model ranks every game, not because I expect every pick to win. Everything stays up after settlement, so the record can speak for itself.
@Verdict
Fair enough β definitely late in the season.
Iβm posting the full slate because the model ranks every game, not because I expect every pick to win. Everything stays up after settlement, so the record can speak for itself.
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