Philly vs Atlanta - Who to Pick

Gotta love MLB playoffs - Let's look at this game as we have lot's of variables:

-115  Philly   Nola   6

        Atl       Kerr     -2    

Philly with Nola starting opened at  -115 currently -around -111 (madduxsports.com) .   I give Nola a rating of 6 using a variety of sources and my own methodology. Kerr -2.   Based on what I'm understanding Kerr may pitch 1 -3 innings (last time out he went 3 innings vice Miami then Holmes came in).    

The plan - is pretty much the same - whether it's 1 or 3 innings probably depends on how Kerr performs but then Holmes takes over.   With Philly - depends on how Nola pitches - if he struggles - they got Wheeler who may come in and Luzardo as well.    Once again numerous variables and unknowns to try to handicap.    

Nola lost his last start against TB 1 inning and sucked it up at home.   Also, he sucked it up against Milw at home.   However, the 2 previous starts were on the road, he won against the Mets and pitched pretty good against Atlanta in Atlanta but got a no decision.    Nola, also has more strikeouts than innings pitched - a great sign for a pitcher who has pitched the whole season - 175.1 Ip/177 Strike outs.       

Kerr - last time out started against Miami and pitched 3 innings, his only start - gave up 2 hits 1 BB.   He pitched in 8 games prior -none as a starter - 18.1 Ip with 11 strikeouts.   The game against Miami - Holmes came in afterwards - pitched 4 innings - gave up 3 hits, 1 hr 3 BB, 1 er and lost the game.    Kerr has pitched against Philly not as a starter but  out of the bulpen and has pitched well.     

Bottom line lot's of unknown variables in this game.    A few Questions to ponder:  

1. Will Nola pitch like he did recently on the road or like he did this past Sunday.

2. Will Kerr be calm and cool or falter like some rookies seem to do.   

3.  Does Holmes pitch like he did in Miami or does being at home make a difference.    

4. How soon Does Wheeler come in.    

5. Big game like this why is Philly/Nola the opening line favorite.  

When I compare Nola's rating against Kerr's rating - I don't have a lot of data that points to one team or the other,  however, from what I do have as well as few other reasons - I'm going with Philly tonight.   

My Play:

Philly -111    

Good Luck all

@TheBuddah

 Bol tonight 

@TheBuddah

Agreed with your analysis hahaha 

BOL 

@TheBuddah

Great to see you, BOL!!!

Are you going to be posting CFB and NFL??

Ray Kerr made his big league debut at the beginning of the 2022 season when he was with the Padres. He's appeared in 48 games for the Padres and the Braves and is 32 years old. I don't expect nerves to get the best of him tonight. 

@MrBator

 Great Point - Didn't mean to indicate he was a rookie - just not too many innings this year.  First start this year - you never know - i hope so:)

@vankiep_0007

 Back at ya bud

@OO7CRUSHER

 Thanks and back at ya bud

@2goodhahaha

 Thanks Hahaha - back at ya bud.

@FelixFermin21

 Thanks bud and back at ya.    We have current data in those sports so i'll try to soon.    

@TheBuddah

 GL  seems like a coin flip   I think the Braves get to Nola early.  

@Quaffer

 Thanks bud and back at ya - you never know.    I was in Philly last weekend - turned on the radio and the Philly fans were yelling they suck a bunch of bums - I hope they don't make the playoffs etc etc. - sometimes these teams/players - look at it like us against the world - Nola pitched pretty good in NY and Atlanta - hoping he pitches like he did.  

@MrBator

 Just to be clear not first start - 2nd start this year - first at home.   

@TheBuddah

 BOL tonite 

I THOUGHT BUDDAH ARE NOT SUPPOSE TO GAMBLE?....

BTW I'M ALSO BUDDHIST....BUT I HARDLY GO TO THE TEMPLE UNTIL I RUN OUT OF LUCK!!!!

GL @TheBuddah

@AweIN

 Hahah same here we in the same bot brotha!!

@sportschat

Thanks bud - back at ya 

@AweIN

 lol - for the record - always thought of opening a bar called Buddah Sports - never did - not the most religious person on this planet . Not a big believer in luck either  prefer data .  Either way Bol to ya :) 

@Macwestie1

 Back at ya Mac - Bol to ya 

Realmuto calls him for a chat then he serves up a meatball the next pitch. Crazy. Plenty of game left! Let’s go Phillies