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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    Is this a possible hedge situation?

    AH26
    sandique
    Qwan61
    TheGoldenGoose
    TheDesertFox
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    AH26
    AH26
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    Posted: Oct. 21, 2018 - 2:05 AM ET #1

    Got the dodgers midseason at 1:26 and put 50/1250.  Is this a hedge situation? If so what would be an appropriate amount?

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    Got the dodgers midseason at 1:26 and put 50/1250.  Is this a hedge situation? If so what would be an appropriate amount?

     
    sandique
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    Posted: Oct. 21, 2018 - 2:14 AM ET #2

    Sell your entire profit on the Sox. Dodgers got home only because Counsell is a moron and Brewers couldn't bat on the road; Red Sox suffer from neither malaise.

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    Sell your entire profit on the Sox. Dodgers got home only because Counsell is a moron and Brewers couldn't bat on the road; Red Sox suffer from neither malaise.

     
    Qwan61
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    Posted: Oct. 21, 2018 - 1:46 PM ET #3

    Quote Originally Posted by AH26:

    Got the dodgers midseason at 1:26 and put 50/1250.  Is this a hedge situation? If so what would be an appropriate amount?

     

    You got LA to be WS champs?

    Then you're sitting pretty. Just wait before game 1 starts and place Boston to win WS.

    I dont have the odds yet but Boston will favored. Just to make it easy to understand just say Boston is even then balance it.

     

    1250/2= 625 + (50/2) =650 on Boston

     

    If Boston wins of course you win 650 -50(you put on LA) = 600 net

     

    If LA wins then you win 1250 - 650 you put on Boston = 600 net

     

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by AH26:

    Got the dodgers midseason at 1:26 and put 50/1250.  Is this a hedge situation? If so what would be an appropriate amount?

     

    You got LA to be WS champs?

    Then you're sitting pretty. Just wait before game 1 starts and place Boston to win WS.

    I dont have the odds yet but Boston will favored. Just to make it easy to understand just say Boston is even then balance it.

     

    1250/2= 625 + (50/2) =650 on Boston

     

    If Boston wins of course you win 650 -50(you put on LA) = 600 net

     

    If LA wins then you win 1250 - 650 you put on Boston = 600 net

     

     

     
    TheGoldenGoose
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    Posted: Oct. 21, 2018 - 5:59 PM ET #4


    That 50/1250 wager.

    Which book is it?

    JC
    ~~~~~ZOSO~~~~~
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    That 50/1250 wager.

    Which book is it?

    JC
     
    Qwan61
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    Posted: Oct. 22, 2018 - 12:14 AM ET #5

     

    I dont find that hard to believe because LA made a great second half run and they played some very good teams to end up 20 games over .500

    At 81 games they were 5 games over .500 and 2nd in rank behind Arizona who was 13 games over .500.

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    I dont find that hard to believe because LA made a great second half run and they played some very good teams to end up 20 games over .500

    At 81 games they were 5 games over .500 and 2nd in rank behind Arizona who was 13 games over .500.

     
    TheDesertFox
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    Posted: Oct. 22, 2018 - 12:54 PM ET #6

    PULL YOUR BALLS OUT AND LET IT RIDE !!!

    There's a reason everyone and their mother is on LA

    They are destined to end their 30 year drought !   

    Better yet DOUBLE DOWN you an get DODGERS at +140 !!!!   A gift !  

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    PULL YOUR BALLS OUT AND LET IT RIDE !!!

    There's a reason everyone and their mother is on LA

    They are destined to end their 30 year drought !   

    Better yet DOUBLE DOWN you an get DODGERS at +140 !!!!   A gift !  

     
    lancer89074
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    Posted: Oct. 22, 2018 - 3:17 PM ET #7

    After LA wins game 1, then if you insist on hedging, Boston will be a +dog or at worst near a pick for the rest of the series and you can hedge then. thebaseball

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    After LA wins game 1, then if you insist on hedging, Boston will be a +dog or at worst near a pick for the rest of the series and you can hedge then. thebaseball

     
    Qwan61
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    Posted: Oct. 22, 2018 - 3:53 PM ET #8

    If there is a fix(only way Boston wins) then he has more -odds on Boston to cover.

     

    When you see a sure deal...take it before game 1 and lock it down NOW.

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    If there is a fix(only way Boston wins) then he has more -odds on Boston to cover.

     

    When you see a sure deal...take it before game 1 and lock it down NOW.

     
    sandique
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    Posted: Oct. 24, 2018 - 9:12 AM ET #9

    Not hedging before game 1 makee it that much harder to claim any kind of significant profit. Pray LA wins game 2 (well possible with Price going) then, again, take advantage of the Red Sox odds before those road warriors get to play in LA.

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    Not hedging before game 1 makee it that much harder to claim any kind of significant profit. Pray LA wins game 2 (well possible with Price going) then, again, take advantage of the Red Sox odds before those road warriors get to play in LA.

     
    ayashifx55
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    Posted: Oct. 24, 2018 - 9:18 AM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by sandique:

    Not hedging before game 1 makee it that much harder to claim any kind of significant profit. Pray LA wins game 2 (well possible with Price going) then, again, take advantage of the Red Sox odds before those road warriors get to play in LA.

    Price did great against Astros. I think he will try to perform the same after getting praised for it. He basically won the game for Red Sox on game 5 against Astros. Don't forget guys, if Dodgers can hit Price, Red Sox will hit twice harder on Ryu. Game 2 belongs to Red Sox again unfortunately. This serie wont last more than 5 games. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by sandique:

    Not hedging before game 1 makee it that much harder to claim any kind of significant profit. Pray LA wins game 2 (well possible with Price going) then, again, take advantage of the Red Sox odds before those road warriors get to play in LA.

    Price did great against Astros. I think he will try to perform the same after getting praised for it. He basically won the game for Red Sox on game 5 against Astros. Don't forget guys, if Dodgers can hit Price, Red Sox will hit twice harder on Ryu. Game 2 belongs to Red Sox again unfortunately. This serie wont last more than 5 games. 

     
    Qwan61
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    Posted: Oct. 24, 2018 - 1:55 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by loserforeverz:

    Quote Originally Posted by Qwan61:

    If there is a fix(only way Boston wins) then he has more -odds on Boston to cover.   When you see a sure deal...take it before game 1 and lock it down NOW.
    How? the fix would heavily favor Dodgers winning.... Boston beating houston 4 straight and last 3 in Houston, a lot of big money will be on boston..  It makes the average bettor think Boston easy. Add to it the  dodgers in a 30 year world series win drought...Seems like perfect recipe for Dodgers winning the world series if it's going to be rigged.

     

    I meant fix on game 1....and viewing the game there wasnt. Boston just outplayed them...

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    Quote Originally Posted by loserforeverz:

    Quote Originally Posted by Qwan61:

    If there is a fix(only way Boston wins) then he has more -odds on Boston to cover.   When you see a sure deal...take it before game 1 and lock it down NOW.
    How? the fix would heavily favor Dodgers winning.... Boston beating houston 4 straight and last 3 in Houston, a lot of big money will be on boston..  It makes the average bettor think Boston easy. Add to it the  dodgers in a 30 year world series win drought...Seems like perfect recipe for Dodgers winning the world series if it's going to be rigged.

     

    I meant fix on game 1....and viewing the game there wasnt. Boston just outplayed them...

     
     
    Qwan61
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    Posted: Oct. 24, 2018 - 2:01 PM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by Qwan61:

    Quote Originally Posted by loserforeverz:

    Quote Originally Posted by Qwan61:

    If there is a fix(only way Boston wins) then he has more -odds on Boston to cover.   When you see a sure deal...take it before game 1 and lock it down NOW.
    How? the fix would heavily favor Dodgers winning.... Boston beating houston 4 straight and last 3 in Houston, a lot of big money will be on boston..  It makes the average bettor think Boston easy. Add to it the  dodgers in a 30 year world series win drought...Seems like perfect recipe for Dodgers winning the world series if it's going to be rigged.
      I meant fix on game 1....and viewing the game there wasnt. Boston just outplayed them...

     

    I also think fixes in sports are rare...but have witnessed them.

    Like Lebron vs the Lakers last year(maybe 2 years ago?) passing up 3 uncontested layups and passing out to 3 point shooters who clanked all 3.

    6 points lost by not taking the layups. If you shoot 40% rate at 3 pointers(which is on the high side)....you would net 3.6 points( 3pt shot x 3 = 9 x .40  =3.6)

    Cleveland purposely let LA cover which I was amused by being on LA.

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by Qwan61:

    Quote Originally Posted by loserforeverz:

    Quote Originally Posted by Qwan61:

    If there is a fix(only way Boston wins) then he has more -odds on Boston to cover.   When you see a sure deal...take it before game 1 and lock it down NOW.
    How? the fix would heavily favor Dodgers winning.... Boston beating houston 4 straight and last 3 in Houston, a lot of big money will be on boston..  It makes the average bettor think Boston easy. Add to it the  dodgers in a 30 year world series win drought...Seems like perfect recipe for Dodgers winning the world series if it's going to be rigged.
      I meant fix on game 1....and viewing the game there wasnt. Boston just outplayed them...

     

    I also think fixes in sports are rare...but have witnessed them.

    Like Lebron vs the Lakers last year(maybe 2 years ago?) passing up 3 uncontested layups and passing out to 3 point shooters who clanked all 3.

    6 points lost by not taking the layups. If you shoot 40% rate at 3 pointers(which is on the high side)....you would net 3.6 points( 3pt shot x 3 = 9 x .40  =3.6)

    Cleveland purposely let LA cover which I was amused by being on LA.

     

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