I got great news for all you. If you found this thread you just found a literal gold mine.

@ArtSchlichterJr

 And isn't his era like 9.00 

Giants vs. Nationals – May 24, 2025

?? Nationals Park | First Pitch: 1:05 PM PDT
?? Recommended Bet: Giants Moneyline (-159)

• Odds: Giants -159

• Implied Win Probability: 61.4%

• Model Win Probability: 66.0%

• +EV Margin: +4.6%

?? This is a value bet. Our model believes the Giants win two out of three times in this matchup — giving us positive expected value on the current market price.

• Making his first start of 2025, Harrison has previously appeared in relief with:

  • 3.38 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 7 Ks in 5.1 IP

  • Fastball velocity up to 97 MPH, sitting 95.8 average

• He’ll face a Nationals team that ranks:

  • .234 AVG vs LHP (bottom 5 in MLB)

  • 23.9% K rate vs LHP

• On paper: 3.88 ERA, 1.16 WHIP

• Underlying danger:

  • 5.63 xERA

  • 4.80 FIP

  • 5th percentile whiff rate

  • .282 xBA allowed (hard-hit prone)

• Giants Bullpen ERA: Best in MLB (2.62)

• Randy Rodríguez: 0.83 ERA (elite leverage option)

• Nationals Bullpen ERA: 6.34 (bottom 3 in MLB)

?? If the game is close late, San Francisco’s relief core is a major edge.

• Giants have won 5 of last 7 games overall

• Just snapped the Nationals’ 5-game win streak in a 4-0 shutout

• Giants are 7-2 in last 9 games vs. Washington

• Nationals are 1-4 last 5 home games vs. SF

• Giants average 1.0 HR/game, 7th in NL

• Top 10 in hard-hit rate last 14 days

• Against Irvin, left-handed bats (like LaMonte Wade Jr.) match up well, with Irvin allowing a .271/.347/.464 slash line to lefties

• Giants are 10-3 as a road favorite in day games since June 2024

• Nationals are 7-18 as a home underdog in their last 25

• Teams with a >4% xERA edge + bullpen ERA edge + superior WHIP have hit at a 62.1% clip over 20 years in similar matchups (per historical model filters)

Everything aligns for San Francisco:

• ?? Upside young starter vs. regression-prone vet

• ?? Weak lefty splits for Washington

• ?? Massive bullpen gap

• ?? Nationals offense lacking power (.116 ISO vs LHP)

• ?? +4.6% Expected Value at current odds

?? Model Recommendation:
Giants Moneyline (-159)
Model Win %: 66.0%
Implied: 61.4%
Edge: +4.6%

@JimmyGape

Im gonna check all the input/outputs and backtested results

But the sample size is still very small

Stay tuned, we will be good I wont rest until we are printing money

so jimmy you wrote this program that spits out written info like yo posted above?  Am pretty sure i have seen programs on websites that spit out picks in the same format as yours. Right now i just cant remember where, will have to search all my baseball bookmarks.

I mean if you can write detailed programs like that, you are for sure wasting your time away gambling, when you can make big bucks designing programs for companies and not have to worry about whos gonna win or lose a baseball game

@cd329

 Trying to help out this site and destroy the books once and for all

I honestly think we can im close to something here

@JimmyGape

Books always win like a casino unless they have no customers.

They can find a way to stop you it doesn't matter how good you are.

You can find a good system and win a few thousands for each book but not the amount that made you rich. So don't even think about destroying them.

They have many people smarter than you.

Keep dreaming!

No the people who create the lines are not necessarily smarter, they are just in a better position to win overall. That doesnt mean individuals cant exploit them. 

They create lines that win against the public. Im not the public, im one man. I can create a system that is +EV, a model that identifies value based on the lines they put out. 

I thought I had already done that but unless weve just been the victim of horrifying short term variance (which is actiually possible because its only been 4 games) it looks like I need to figure out what went wrong.

Theres many different opportunities for input/output. So many variables. Literally endless possibilities. I wont stop until I have a proven one, you can take that to the bank right now.

Do you have a canary in this gold mine. 

@JimmyGape

 Don't get mad but you are always behind it doesn't matter what systems you have. 

By the way, it is not of my business to respond to your thread but your thread title is misleading. 

There is no such "...Gold mine". You are not helping people but made them poorer!

patience people patience I will not fail to deliver on what Ive said

Find another hobby

Thank you Gape

Make no mistake about it

Im getting ready to gape

@JimmyGape

I believe in you!

Let’s get some winners on the board!!

You're on the right side my man. Lets mob.  

@FelixFermin21

@JimmyGape

  we won't go quietly into the night

Seems like you’re just screwing with people with this so called “system”. 

@ClaudeShannon1

 warren Buffet would be so proud of you with that advice