396-350 +3859
ATL 1st5 O5.5 +100
1.5U CHW -114
ATH 1st5 U5 -104
CIN TT U3.5 +114
STL TT U3.5 +104
Radier I’m not experienced soccer wager that said how do I hedge this parlay so I can’t lose, hopefully you will know ! I was thinking 100/ +456 Belgium and 100/+300 draw would this cover it ?
ser/Phone: INTERNET
Risk/Win: $200 / $1870
Date Placed: Jul 09 08:43 AM
Description: PARLAY (4 TEAMS)
Radier I’m not experienced soccer wager that said how do I hedge this parlay so I can’t lose, hopefully you will know ! I was thinking 100/ +456 Belgium and 100/+300 draw would this cover it ?
ser/Phone: INTERNET
Risk/Win: $200 / $1870
Date Placed: Jul 09 08:43 AM
Description: PARLAY (4 TEAMS)
A balanced hedge would be approximately: Belgium +456 $290 Draw +300: $415
A balanced hedge would be approximately: Belgium +456: $290 Draw +300: $415
I actually like a middle ground. For example: Belgium +456: $150 Draw +300: $175
That would:Preserve well over $1,500 if Spain wins. Still leave you with several hundred dollars of profit if Belgium wins or the match ends in a draw.
But one caveat:
One important thing to double-check: Is your Spain leg graded on the 90-minute result (3-way market), or is it a "to advance" or "moneyline including extra time/penalties" bet? That changes the correct hedge completely.
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A balanced hedge would be approximately: Belgium +456 $290 Draw +300: $415
A balanced hedge would be approximately: Belgium +456: $290 Draw +300: $415
I actually like a middle ground. For example: Belgium +456: $150 Draw +300: $175
That would:Preserve well over $1,500 if Spain wins. Still leave you with several hundred dollars of profit if Belgium wins or the match ends in a draw.
But one caveat:
One important thing to double-check: Is your Spain leg graded on the 90-minute result (3-way market), or is it a "to advance" or "moneyline including extra time/penalties" bet? That changes the correct hedge completely.
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@joe pockets
I will add that personally, I am very, very big on Spain today.
I have them in a future, I have them to win, I have them -1, and I have them to advance.
I think it is a horrible matchup for Belgium. I think Belgium will also have a letdown of sorts after the last game where they outplayed what was expected by a lot.
@joe pockets
I will add that personally, I am very, very big on Spain today.
I have them in a future, I have them to win, I have them -1, and I have them to advance.
I think it is a horrible matchup for Belgium. I think Belgium will also have a letdown of sorts after the last game where they outplayed what was expected by a lot.
@joe pockets
But good luck with whatever you decide.
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This World Cup has certainly had some unexpected results.
But as it weeds out the 'lesser' teams -- this is the time that the 'elite' teams tend to step up big.
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@joe pockets
But good luck with whatever you decide.
![]()
This World Cup has certainly had some unexpected results.
But as it weeds out the 'lesser' teams -- this is the time that the 'elite' teams tend to step up big.
![]()
@joe pockets
Your idea of: $100 Belgium $100 Draw
Spain wins $1670
Belgium wins $156
Draw $100
This still comes out ahead in every outcome. but it doesn't maximize the expected outcome. But it only requires an $200 instead of $705, or $325.
So, I fully understand if that is your preference.
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@joe pockets
Your idea of: $100 Belgium $100 Draw
Spain wins $1670
Belgium wins $156
Draw $100
This still comes out ahead in every outcome. but it doesn't maximize the expected outcome. But it only requires an $200 instead of $705, or $325.
So, I fully understand if that is your preference.
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