7/10

399-352        +3902

MIL +113

DET 1st5 -.5 +105

DET 1st5 U5 -102

*WAS O10 -107

*TB -110

CIN +102

BOS +118

*CHW -162

ATH TT U3.5 +114

TEX TT U3.5 -105

MIN -126

*STL 1st5 U4.5 -117

*SD 1st5 U5 -119

Good luck Raiders.  

@Raiders22

Kinda like Boston today but they are 90% losing today or tomorrow. No value in Mets as a favorite vs a hot team though so not sure. Maybe Boston small or Mets double up if they lose. Hard to trust mets though

22 good luck today 

A balanced hedge would be approximately: Belgium +456 $290  Draw +300: $415

I actually like a middle ground. For example: Belgium +456: $150 Draw +300: $175

That would:Preserve well over $1,500 if Spain wins. Still leave you with several hundred dollars of profit if Belgium wins or the match ends in a draw.

But one caveat:

One important thing to double-check: Is your Spain leg graded on the 90-minute result (3-way market), or is it a "to advance" or "moneyline including extra time/penalties" bet? That changes the correct hedge completely.

@joe pockets

 I will add that personally, I am very, very big on Spain today.

I have them in a future, I have them to win, I have them -1, and I have them to advance.

I think it is a horrible matchup for Belgium.  I think Belgium will also have a letdown of sorts after the last game where they outplayed what was expected by a lot.

@joe pockets

 But good luck with whatever you decide.

 This World Cup has certainly had some unexpected results.

But as it weeds out the 'lesser' teams -- this is the time that the 'elite' teams tend to step up big.

@joe pockets 

 Your idea of: $100 Belgium $100 Draw

Spain wins $1670

Belgium wins $156

Draw $100

This still comes out ahead in every outcome.  but it doesn't maximize the expected outcome. But it only requires an $200 instead of $705, or $325.

So, I fully understand if that is your preference.

GL Raiders 

Good luck ole chap

@Raiders22

 GL today!! 

@Raiders22

 Lots of "fishy" lines today. I'll back the Mariners, Reds and Indians ML