@bluecompass
I love your tagline my friend!
God is certainly great!
I’ll be happy to take the bait since you are not proffering your reasons for your statement.
what exactly are you talking about?
@bluecompass
I love your tagline my friend!
God is certainly great!
I’ll be happy to take the bait since you are not proffering your reasons for your statement.
what exactly are you talking about?
@bluecompass
I love your tagline my friend!
God is certainly great!
I’ll be happy to take the bait since you are not proffering your reasons for your statement.
what exactly are you talking about?
@AdVictoriam
Here's your 8 wagers yesterday:
Atl game 1 RL -1.5 -120 @3 units (LOST): 3 unit loss.
Atl game 1 TT over 4.5 -127 @ 3 units (Won): 2.36 units profit.
Atl-Mets game 2 O9 +100 for 3 units (LOST): 3 unit loss.
Atl game 2 TT over 4.5 -115 @3 units (Lost): 3 unit loss.
Mets game 2 TT over 3.5 -150 @ 3 units (Won): 2 unit profit.
Tor RL -1.5 +100 @3 units (LOST): 3 unit loss.
Cinn+180 @3 units (LOST): 3 unit loss.
Dodgers TT over 4.5 -130 @ 3 units (WON): 2.3 unit profit.
So you have 3 winners, for a profit of 6.66 units. And 5 losers for a loss of 15 units. So 6.66 minus 15 is a loss of 8.34 units on the day. But yet you're claiming a 4.05 unit loss for the day.
@AdVictoriam
Here's your 8 wagers yesterday:
Atl game 1 RL -1.5 -120 @3 units (LOST): 3 unit loss.
Atl game 1 TT over 4.5 -127 @ 3 units (Won): 2.36 units profit.
Atl-Mets game 2 O9 +100 for 3 units (LOST): 3 unit loss.
Atl game 2 TT over 4.5 -115 @3 units (Lost): 3 unit loss.
Mets game 2 TT over 3.5 -150 @ 3 units (Won): 2 unit profit.
Tor RL -1.5 +100 @3 units (LOST): 3 unit loss.
Cinn+180 @3 units (LOST): 3 unit loss.
Dodgers TT over 4.5 -130 @ 3 units (WON): 2.3 unit profit.
So you have 3 winners, for a profit of 6.66 units. And 5 losers for a loss of 15 units. So 6.66 minus 15 is a loss of 8.34 units on the day. But yet you're claiming a 4.05 unit loss for the day.
At 61 I am truly amazed on how many jackasses are here on covers. Alot of you and you know who you are need to get a grip on your personal self pity ![]()
Now thats a winner ![]()
At 61 I am truly amazed on how many jackasses are here on covers. Alot of you and you know who you are need to get a grip on your personal self pity ![]()
Now thats a winner ![]()
@VegasOStrikes
He just chases team bets too much. For instance there was only one game left Sunday night. And he should have called it a day. But he had to chase the Phillies. Which I then said I was fading. Then Monday night he had to chase AGAINST the Red Sox. Because they took his money vs the Indians on Sunday. And then he had to chase a very late game Reds pick last night. He can’t help himself. He chases more stuff than Warren Beatty chasing ‘tail’ in his prime.
@VegasOStrikes
He just chases team bets too much. For instance there was only one game left Sunday night. And he should have called it a day. But he had to chase the Phillies. Which I then said I was fading. Then Monday night he had to chase AGAINST the Red Sox. Because they took his money vs the Indians on Sunday. And then he had to chase a very late game Reds pick last night. He can’t help himself. He chases more stuff than Warren Beatty chasing ‘tail’ in his prime.
@bluecompass
I’ve been driving most of the day as I had to go out of town unexpectedly. Let’s take a look at each one of these numbers carefully.
However, I do believe that you are correct on most of this. So let’s get it finalized and get an agreement
In the first game you listed which was the Atlanta run line wager, you say I lost three units. The wager went off at -120, therefore I lost 3.6 units, not three units.
The next mistake in your calculation is based on a win. When I make any wager, I wager to win the units as listed if it’s a favorite. So this example I believe the number went off at -127 and I wagered to win three units. Since I won the wager, I won three units. Not the number you put up there which is two point something units.
The next mistake is in the Atlanta team total over which was a loss. I think it went off it -115. I wager to win three units, therefore I lost 3.45 units.
In the Mets game team total over wager, again, I wager to win three units at -150. Therefore I won three units win the wager won.
and finally, the Dodgers team total over was a winner that I wagered to win three units on. It went off as a favorite but since I wagered win three units and won, I won three units.
As I mentioned, I’m driving so this is kind of difficult. I would greatly appreciate it if you could re-figure the numbers based on the new information that you have. I’m sure we can come to an agreement on an exact correct number.
And that is exactly what I want.
@bluecompass
I’ve been driving most of the day as I had to go out of town unexpectedly. Let’s take a look at each one of these numbers carefully.
However, I do believe that you are correct on most of this. So let’s get it finalized and get an agreement
In the first game you listed which was the Atlanta run line wager, you say I lost three units. The wager went off at -120, therefore I lost 3.6 units, not three units.
The next mistake in your calculation is based on a win. When I make any wager, I wager to win the units as listed if it’s a favorite. So this example I believe the number went off at -127 and I wagered to win three units. Since I won the wager, I won three units. Not the number you put up there which is two point something units.
The next mistake is in the Atlanta team total over which was a loss. I think it went off it -115. I wager to win three units, therefore I lost 3.45 units.
In the Mets game team total over wager, again, I wager to win three units at -150. Therefore I won three units win the wager won.
and finally, the Dodgers team total over was a winner that I wagered to win three units on. It went off as a favorite but since I wagered win three units and won, I won three units.
As I mentioned, I’m driving so this is kind of difficult. I would greatly appreciate it if you could re-figure the numbers based on the new information that you have. I’m sure we can come to an agreement on an exact correct number.
And that is exactly what I want.
@ElonTrout2
I think at one point you said you might make six plays a week? Maybe 7 a week?
Although none of those have been posted before the game started so far so we have no idea if you are really winning any of those few plays or not.
But back to the issue of quantity.
I’ve posted several times about my methods. I Handicap to find games that beat the juice so that I have a plus EV winning situation over the long term.
It is not a theoretical statement to say that if you capped every game on the board and expected, from your handicapping, to beat the juice, there would be no problem with playing the entire card every day.
I’ve also explained why I don’t do that. Why I don’t play every game on the board or even half of every card.
But it doesn’t matter if the game is the first game of the day or the last game of the day. It has nothing to do whether I wanna game or lost a game the day before.
Each game stands on its own based on the handicapping done for that game.
I hope this helps you going forward. It’s more than a little bit sad to see another member of our generation developing confusion.
i’m not a fan of Warren Beatty either.
@ElonTrout2
I think at one point you said you might make six plays a week? Maybe 7 a week?
Although none of those have been posted before the game started so far so we have no idea if you are really winning any of those few plays or not.
But back to the issue of quantity.
I’ve posted several times about my methods. I Handicap to find games that beat the juice so that I have a plus EV winning situation over the long term.
It is not a theoretical statement to say that if you capped every game on the board and expected, from your handicapping, to beat the juice, there would be no problem with playing the entire card every day.
I’ve also explained why I don’t do that. Why I don’t play every game on the board or even half of every card.
But it doesn’t matter if the game is the first game of the day or the last game of the day. It has nothing to do whether I wanna game or lost a game the day before.
Each game stands on its own based on the handicapping done for that game.
I hope this helps you going forward. It’s more than a little bit sad to see another member of our generation developing confusion.
i’m not a fan of Warren Beatty either.
ICYMI.
Undermysac posted this in another thread and it is just pure gold.
“In Zack Gallen's last 4 starts, he has 1 walk and 41 k's.
0.00 era, 0.58 fip.
He's facing Jon Gray today.”
He recommends a F5 wager and I heartily concur!
![]()
ICYMI.
Undermysac posted this in another thread and it is just pure gold.
“In Zack Gallen's last 4 starts, he has 1 walk and 41 k's.
0.00 era, 0.58 fip.
He's facing Jon Gray today.”
He recommends a F5 wager and I heartily concur!
![]()
@Havelin
@AdVictoriam
I show AdVictoiam has two plays for today so far,
Cincinnati Reds +168 for 3 units.
Colorado Rockies +148 for 3 units.
@Havelin
@AdVictoriam
I show AdVictoiam has two plays for today so far,
Cincinnati Reds +168 for 3 units.
Colorado Rockies +148 for 3 units.
Ummmm, no. I already did the math and posted it, and it proves your results are BS.
Ummmm, no. I already did the math and posted it, and it proves your results are BS.
@bluecompass
Sorry to hear that.
You were doing so well.
I’m afraid I’m going to have to let you go since you are still in your 90 day probationary period.
When I get back in town later I’ll figure it up myself.
Shame really.
Thought we found a good, competent numbers guy for a minute there.
![]()
@bluecompass
Sorry to hear that.
You were doing so well.
I’m afraid I’m going to have to let you go since you are still in your 90 day probationary period.
When I get back in town later I’ll figure it up myself.
Shame really.
Thought we found a good, competent numbers guy for a minute there.
![]()
That’s what I gathered as well, and AdVictoriam has confirmed.![]()
That’s what I gathered as well, and AdVictoriam has confirmed.![]()
@ElonTrout2
He chases big time…can’t keep an accurate record…he’s new…he will be negative units by end of month playing the way he does…but hey good luck to him hope he makes it but i can see this unfolding a mile away!
@ElonTrout2
He chases big time…can’t keep an accurate record…he’s new…he will be negative units by end of month playing the way he does…but hey good luck to him hope he makes it but i can see this unfolding a mile away!

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