16W-9L-2P +13.17 units 59%. ALL PLUS ODDS.

waiting for my book to post TT lines.

on april 16 of this year Griffin pitched against the pirates and washington won the game  8-7. however the pirates made 4 errors during the game and the pirates still only lost by 1 run. if they can clean up their defense today i think they have a chance to win the game straight up. im still looking at lines but the pirates have some value IF they play better defense than they did last time they faced Griffin. any thoughts or opinions are welcome.

pirates TT over 5.5 @ +142

pirates RL - 1.5 @ +182

pirates ML @ +128

the yankees are on a terrible losing streak of 7 games and have only scored a total of 17 runs in those 7 games. the yankees have enjoyed some good fortune against the twins winning 8 of the last 10 matchups and they tend to run up the score on the twins. this series could be exactly what the yankees need to get back on track and i think they break out today with a big performance. any thoughts or opinions are welcome.

yankees TT over 6.5 @ +146.

yankees RL -1.5 @ +108

yankees RL -2.5 @ +166.

I think for the reasons you listed and a few others that the line is adjusted that way.  
Griffin has been on fire lately.  
Excellent recent form. He posted a 1.16 ERA with a 0.80 WHIP in June, making him one of the hotter pitchers.  Griffin has actually improved significantly since that April start. His ERA has dropped to 2.93, and he posted about a 1.15 ERA in June, indicating he's pitching even better now than he was then.

But once the bullpens got involved it was anyone’s game.  As long as Griffin can stay in the game until the 7th and Washington can keep the bullpen away — I think they have a lead at that time.  Now if they can hold a lead the last 3 innings is anyone’s guess.

Keller can be good if his sinker is working but he has been so inconsistent.  
This is an ideal lineup for Keller because of the lack of power from Washington. So, an argument can certainly be made for Keller and Pittsburgh.

I see value on the 1st5. But still took Washington for the FG.  The reasoning is that it gives the better pitcher a bit more time to overcome an early mistake because he should pitch a bit deeper into the game.

I think the value in the series is on the Overs for the game.  
But in this game at home Griffin should be able to keep it a low scoring game and that number is just too good to pass up.  

I took Washington as soon as I could last night at -132.  The line is now around -145/-150.  To me that gives me a 3% edge over the current line and about 5-6% edge over where I think the line should be.  

But good luck with whatever you decide.

@Raiders22

 thank you for your input. i am hoping the pirates play better defense today and they will have to going against one of the hottest pitchers in MLB right now. you cant give griffin any gifts cuz he will strangle you if you do. best of luck with all your wagers and have a great 4th of July.

mets/braves under 8.5 @ +111.

@Kapthat

padres/dodgers under 7.5 @ +105.

dodgers RL - 2.5 @ +139.

thats it for today. best of luck with your wagers and have a safe and happy 4th of July weekend.

GL