O.P. may mean well or may be leveling us all, doesn't matter. What does matter is YOUR logic handicapping a game and THE TEAM'S logic when thinking "we got this" and then they get buried or fail to cover an easy line.
Vegas knows which side players will logically gravitate to before anything is ever posted. Vegas will also "steer" the wagering to maximize their profit with the above conclusion. The bettor will often fall victim to teams looking past the present opponent, revenge factors, multiple games in a row, coaches tendencies, referee tendencies and a million other variables.
The trick to successful wagering is to look critically at the chalk and ask yourself "how will they perform in this spot?" How many times after a game is over do you say to yourself, "that outcome was rigged?" I'd venture to say your conclusion 90% of the time you lose is "well, I don't like it, but that makes sense." Especially when your chalk fails to cover by a point or two, they sit on the ball the last 25 seconds of the game or play ole" defense.
I agree with you. There are millions of variables,BUT that's why even if you take the best trends it doesnt matter, the outcome is too unpredictable in that regard. It could happen that the last 17 times I ate a donut my team covered or the last 15 times I woke up at exactly 6 AM the Nets game went over, The trends are not worth following. What my point of view is the metaphysical aspect of reality and how everything is connected and one thing leads to another.
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Quote Originally Posted by Raisethis2:
O.P. may mean well or may be leveling us all, doesn't matter. What does matter is YOUR logic handicapping a game and THE TEAM'S logic when thinking "we got this" and then they get buried or fail to cover an easy line.
Vegas knows which side players will logically gravitate to before anything is ever posted. Vegas will also "steer" the wagering to maximize their profit with the above conclusion. The bettor will often fall victim to teams looking past the present opponent, revenge factors, multiple games in a row, coaches tendencies, referee tendencies and a million other variables.
The trick to successful wagering is to look critically at the chalk and ask yourself "how will they perform in this spot?" How many times after a game is over do you say to yourself, "that outcome was rigged?" I'd venture to say your conclusion 90% of the time you lose is "well, I don't like it, but that makes sense." Especially when your chalk fails to cover by a point or two, they sit on the ball the last 25 seconds of the game or play ole" defense.
I agree with you. There are millions of variables,BUT that's why even if you take the best trends it doesnt matter, the outcome is too unpredictable in that regard. It could happen that the last 17 times I ate a donut my team covered or the last 15 times I woke up at exactly 6 AM the Nets game went over, The trends are not worth following. What my point of view is the metaphysical aspect of reality and how everything is connected and one thing leads to another.
O.P. may mean well or may be leveling us all, doesn't matter. What does matter is YOUR logic handicapping a game and THE TEAM'S logic when thinking "we got this" and then they get buried or fail to cover an easy line.
Vegas knows which side players will logically gravitate to before anything is ever posted. Vegas will also "steer" the wagering to maximize their profit with the above conclusion. The bettor will often fall victim to teams looking past the present opponent, revenge factors, multiple games in a row, coaches tendencies, referee tendencies and a million other variables.
The trick to successful wagering is to look critically at the chalk and ask yourself "how will they perform in this spot?" How many times after a game is over do you say to yourself, "that outcome was rigged?" I'd venture to say your conclusion 90% of the time you lose is "well, I don't like it, but that makes sense." Especially when your chalk fails to cover by a point or two, they sit on the ball the last 25 seconds of the game or play ole" defense.
stop typing.
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Quote Originally Posted by Raisethis2:
O.P. may mean well or may be leveling us all, doesn't matter. What does matter is YOUR logic handicapping a game and THE TEAM'S logic when thinking "we got this" and then they get buried or fail to cover an easy line.
Vegas knows which side players will logically gravitate to before anything is ever posted. Vegas will also "steer" the wagering to maximize their profit with the above conclusion. The bettor will often fall victim to teams looking past the present opponent, revenge factors, multiple games in a row, coaches tendencies, referee tendencies and a million other variables.
The trick to successful wagering is to look critically at the chalk and ask yourself "how will they perform in this spot?" How many times after a game is over do you say to yourself, "that outcome was rigged?" I'd venture to say your conclusion 90% of the time you lose is "well, I don't like it, but that makes sense." Especially when your chalk fails to cover by a point or two, they sit on the ball the last 25 seconds of the game or play ole" defense.
I agree with you. There are millions of variables,BUT that's why even if you take the best trends it doesnt matter, the outcome is too unpredictable in that regard. It could happen that the last 17 times I ate a donut my team covered or the last 15 times I woke up at exactly 6 AM the Nets game went over, The trends are not worth following. What my point of view is the metaphysical aspect of reality and how everything is connected and one thing leads to another.
dildo.
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Quote Originally Posted by schreib:
I agree with you. There are millions of variables,BUT that's why even if you take the best trends it doesnt matter, the outcome is too unpredictable in that regard. It could happen that the last 17 times I ate a donut my team covered or the last 15 times I woke up at exactly 6 AM the Nets game went over, The trends are not worth following. What my point of view is the metaphysical aspect of reality and how everything is connected and one thing leads to another.
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