Tulane

+550 and this is from hard rock so as the game approaches I might be cheating myself of a better line 

+17.5 is a joke of course I’m on that.  

The others;”:

Miami +3.5 

No decision on Sooners/Tide as of yet.  I need to search a few more things and I would line to see a definitive dog line. If it’s still 1 or a pick I’ll just skip it. 

@spottie2935

 I agree with you. 

Its the playoffs so maybe Ole Miss will be focused, but all year its been playing to the level of their opponents. Tulane isn't going to win, but I could see this being tight when the 4th quarter starts.

At +550 or better I’ll take my chances. 

Old Miss might be opting out after Kuffen turned out. 

something stinks about this game and I expect some turmoil dyer the favorites were on ez street in 2024 bracket. 

Tulane  Money Line 

@spottie2935

 Already seeing Joe public jumping all over Miami, which gives me pause. A&M has the better coach and it’s not close. Tex AM is a disciplined football team rarely making mistakes. Great matchup. To me this is an exciting matchup. Could come down to the last drive! Good luck 

Could be.  I use data from previous lines and scores then take a look at schedules.  I am not sold or interested in anything AM.

they are 4-16 last 20 against unranked teams. Their last 6 ranked foes are 4-2 losses to Texas recently and Notre Dame to open 2024 other than those LSU 2x and MIZZU 2x.  Were not Favored against any other ranked team in 3 years.

t:team=TXAM and date>20231001 and o:rank<26 and F

@spottie2935

 I'm seeing oklahoma +1.5....am considering that...any thoughts?

Riding with you.

 = 

you can get miami @ +4.5 now

@lmb4321

 Not yet I’m back and forth ATM.  These pickem spreads are the most difficult for me unless it was an over achieving team like North Texas vs Tulane last week.  I can pick those out. 

If Alabama name didn’t give them elevation I would take the 3 loss favorite because it makes less sense.  In this case you could be right about Oklahoma. 

There were a few of these pickem type games in the 2024 playoffs and I missed on those.  

my best are: best on top

Tulane

Miami F

Oregon.  

@CusDAmato1

 Ok CD I feel good about the line.  Lots of cushion 

Some of these teams are obscure and after 2024 dominant ATS results I’m looking for reversals from history.  

A&M and Ole Miss getting in and favored are red flags. 

Oregon and Bama don’t create any  

Oregon to be makes the most sense betting a favorite 

There are 2 red flags for Bama, which can be something:

1)3 losses stands out to me. It’s one of these questionable matchup ATS situations.  

         A) why are they even allowed a bracket spot?

           B) This questionable team is a favorite even with a few questions? 

2)They were not A Bracket participant in 2024. 

@spottie2935

 Thanks for the input...really like your early card...you playing these now or waiting to see if lines move?

Dabble and add then ingame if more opportunities become available 

this vintage of oregon is trash.  jmu could keep it 1 score game until the end

bama outgained ou 2 to 1 the first game they played.  they have looked like trash due to extensive amount of injuries the last 3 weeks. something like 10 starters.  they will heal and blowout oklahoma by 2 td

ACC is garbage. SMU is top 2 team in ACC and lost to baylor and tcu. Miami caught ND unprepared same as FSU caught bama. A&M is angry and getting healthy. Beck is a statue in the pocket and throws wild picks under pressure. A&M in a blowout.

Thx Ross good looking out.  Nothing would shock me I guess but why would the Majority like Miami after the undefeated season A&M.  

A&M had a fairly mild schedule, the way I see it.  Even more than that, they haven’t been favorites against many ranked teams in recent seasons.  To me that’s a credibility issue.  Even with being undefeated their loss is to Texas that has a less than stellar season as far as their history goes. 

@johnanthony88

 This is great for me because at a minimum I don’t want everyone to agree with me.  I don’t like lopsided markets so best wishes to you. 

As far as Oregon.  This is an opportunity against lesser recruits.  From another divisional category.  If Oregon fails to the spread then I missed.  

I’ll say this about these type of games (Much like the CBB hoops tourney) Virginia lost as a 1 seed to a 16 seed a few seasons ago, then bounced back the next season to win the championship.  I’d love too see something like this occur in football.  I place a tag on these results for future betting opportunities 

@spottie2935

 No prob just trying to share my thinking process.  Only one I'm not as confident about is bama.  There's a real chance Ty Simpson has CTE after the big hit to head against Aub in the 1H. He hasn't looked right since, looks scared, and processes information slower

Youre respectfully on the other side and I appreciate your balanced response.  

We are all looking for something from others that’s congruent in our minds.  

Once again best wishes 

I want to share this idea as well.  The best teams (Much like the NFL previous bracket structure) are waiting.

The upsets are more likely to occur in wild card NFL games on a consistent basis.  I hope this college bracket will prevail on that same type of success level. Last year failed might bring in opportunities. 

I concur on TAMU...The loss to my Longhorns stung...Kyle Field will be rocking...TAMU win and cover...

I predicted Oregon -28 as the spread so see some line value there , their defense is a little under appreciated I feel against this undermanned team . Wouldn’t be surprised at a 41-10 score 

Good luck Spottie.  

@VegasVandal

 I agree the first game the Oregon favorite should roll.