Yeah I’m probably on the wrong side on the Pitt game… I just did it bc it’s the backyard brawl/Daniels (which is looking like a bust at this point/and the fact they haven’t played this rivalry in awhile and they want to start off with a solid effort…
I like Gun to head picks:) that’s what we’ll call them on the teasers… Only thing about +45 Monroe is Rich Rod is gone.. and I can see Bijan going crazy…
Im looking at the SMU game with all the info you provided..
but here are my final tickets..
ML Ohio St/Illinois/J Mad -Big
ML parlay Houston/Arkansas
Vandy/UConn-tailed Duck
Fl st +10/Fl/Utah over 44
Unc/App Under 64… you posted this one.. I was on it too at the same time../Penn St Under 58 I think gotta check -7 pt teaser
ML -Mich St-9 half/NC stateML (weary of ECU though/Houston ML/Ms St ML -15
These are all smaller plays… I usually don’t put this many in but week one .. went a little crazy..
it’s gets easier when they start playing and we can watch the games…
but again thanks for the info … we’ll keep sharing info
Yeah I’m probably on the wrong side on the Pitt game… I just did it bc it’s the backyard brawl/Daniels (which is looking like a bust at this point/and the fact they haven’t played this rivalry in awhile and they want to start off with a solid effort…
I like Gun to head picks:) that’s what we’ll call them on the teasers… Only thing about +45 Monroe is Rich Rod is gone.. and I can see Bijan going crazy…
Im looking at the SMU game with all the info you provided..
but here are my final tickets..
ML Ohio St/Illinois/J Mad -Big
ML parlay Houston/Arkansas
Vandy/UConn-tailed Duck
Fl st +10/Fl/Utah over 44
Unc/App Under 64… you posted this one.. I was on it too at the same time../Penn St Under 58 I think gotta check -7 pt teaser
ML -Mich St-9 half/NC stateML (weary of ECU though/Houston ML/Ms St ML -15
These are all smaller plays… I usually don’t put this many in but week one .. went a little crazy..
it’s gets easier when they start playing and we can watch the games…
but again thanks for the info … we’ll keep sharing info
GL on the appy one was a little wtf when FAMU was scoring on em .. also maye got some wheels .. picked it a while back still like it was hoping to see UNC's D like come to play last week shut D5 school down .. think you got an extra couple extra pts because of it though it was trending lower for a while .. till .. yesterday ..
And yeah don't let me talk you in/out of anything WV could be fine I just got ideas in my head and sometimes they pan out .. haven't seen em play yet .. nobody surprised if Pitt WV is just a back/forth shootout .. Pitt had plenty of those last year ..
GL on the appy one was a little wtf when FAMU was scoring on em .. also maye got some wheels .. picked it a while back still like it was hoping to see UNC's D like come to play last week shut D5 school down .. think you got an extra couple extra pts because of it though it was trending lower for a while .. till .. yesterday ..
And yeah don't let me talk you in/out of anything WV could be fine I just got ideas in my head and sometimes they pan out .. haven't seen em play yet .. nobody surprised if Pitt WV is just a back/forth shootout .. Pitt had plenty of those last year ..
I would always choose to tease a small dog up (over a TD), or a single digit favorite down (under a FG).
I don't find much value in teasing spreads at anything higher. Consider teasing an Alabama from 42 to 48, that is moving the line by roughly 15%. Compared to 7 to 1, that is moving the line 600%. Thus, indicating 42 points and 48 points aren't near as different from a final margin standpoint as 1 and 7 is.
I would always choose to tease a small dog up (over a TD), or a single digit favorite down (under a FG).
I don't find much value in teasing spreads at anything higher. Consider teasing an Alabama from 42 to 48, that is moving the line by roughly 15%. Compared to 7 to 1, that is moving the line 600%. Thus, indicating 42 points and 48 points aren't near as different from a final margin standpoint as 1 and 7 is.
I absolutely understand.. when I tease it’s more of a feel… I run the game senario in my head and play a game with myself called “ what would have to happen” for X team to cover by this or those points… can’t just put a blanket senario down for every team… for instance…if I thought strongly C Mich could hang around long enough in the OK St game-20.5… adding 7 would just make it that much more difficult for OK St… you gotta weigh every game factor… time of possession…run D ..ect.. basically do a formula like you do with every spread bet…. In the end…
I feel 2 of your best picks plus 7 insurance points is better than 1 pick…I think it’s the most effective way to get close to even money…or like I posted… the ML parlay game=1:1
Everyone needs a 1:1 game in their Arsenal to climb the latter unless you are just playing for fun or pizza money which is totally fine also
I absolutely understand.. when I tease it’s more of a feel… I run the game senario in my head and play a game with myself called “ what would have to happen” for X team to cover by this or those points… can’t just put a blanket senario down for every team… for instance…if I thought strongly C Mich could hang around long enough in the OK St game-20.5… adding 7 would just make it that much more difficult for OK St… you gotta weigh every game factor… time of possession…run D ..ect.. basically do a formula like you do with every spread bet…. In the end…
I feel 2 of your best picks plus 7 insurance points is better than 1 pick…I think it’s the most effective way to get close to even money…or like I posted… the ML parlay game=1:1
Everyone needs a 1:1 game in their Arsenal to climb the latter unless you are just playing for fun or pizza money which is totally fine also
I used to love 10pt teasers too… 3 teams = 83% return… but many brick and mortor books have taken them away… wonder why??
All I’m saying is we are sharp enough to make 2 picks per week with 7 points insurance… if we can’t do that, should we even be betting? The only bad part is you have to risk more… but you only have to get the first one right… put that money to the side… and now you can go on a ML or 1:1 run ….
Many people won’t like my game.. but I’ve experimented for a long time and this is this most effective for me to climb… GL everyone…
I used to love 10pt teasers too… 3 teams = 83% return… but many brick and mortor books have taken them away… wonder why??
All I’m saying is we are sharp enough to make 2 picks per week with 7 points insurance… if we can’t do that, should we even be betting? The only bad part is you have to risk more… but you only have to get the first one right… put that money to the side… and now you can go on a ML or 1:1 run ….
Many people won’t like my game.. but I’ve experimented for a long time and this is this most effective for me to climb… GL everyone…
I play teasers occasionally, very selective when I do and have had success with them. I like taking points especially when I feel strongly the dog could win outright. One game I like this weekend, App St. I usually play 6 pt teasers but with 7, you're getting +8.5 right now. This will be a close game and App St might just be the better team. 7 returning starters on offense, 6 on defense, this program is solid year in and year out going back to when they marched into Ann Arbor and knocked off Michigan way back when and the college football world learned about this small NC school. They're experienced and solid offensively, top 3 receivers are gone but with a good O line, 4 returning starters, a solid and deep run game, luv Camerun Peoples, QB Chase Brice who once backed up Trevor Lawrence, 27 TDS, 11 pix last season, they're going to be a handful for a still highly suspect UNC defense that struggled for 3 quarters against highly undermanned FL A&M and a team that's frankly not that good with all their players. App St lost some good players off a respectable defense last season but they like the backups in those roles last year who now become the starters, players who have been in their system and know their roles.
Always nice to get a game under your belt but when it's against an opponent like UNC had, that can be deceptive especially to the players confidence, or should I say overconfidence. App St is in Boone, small school in the mountains, and the redheaded stepchild to UNC in the state of NC, who is the darling of most UNC residents, I know I lived there for a few years. I'll guarantee you this game is more important to them than it is to the Heels, and I'm a Carolina fan, have been for eternity. Boone will be rocking, and the Mountaineers will be ready, they know they can play with anyone in the state of NC. An outright win is very possible, the small line is there for a reason, oddsmakers are hip to this game. Beware Carolina backers.
"I'm afraid all we may have done is awakened a sleeping giant."
I play teasers occasionally, very selective when I do and have had success with them. I like taking points especially when I feel strongly the dog could win outright. One game I like this weekend, App St. I usually play 6 pt teasers but with 7, you're getting +8.5 right now. This will be a close game and App St might just be the better team. 7 returning starters on offense, 6 on defense, this program is solid year in and year out going back to when they marched into Ann Arbor and knocked off Michigan way back when and the college football world learned about this small NC school. They're experienced and solid offensively, top 3 receivers are gone but with a good O line, 4 returning starters, a solid and deep run game, luv Camerun Peoples, QB Chase Brice who once backed up Trevor Lawrence, 27 TDS, 11 pix last season, they're going to be a handful for a still highly suspect UNC defense that struggled for 3 quarters against highly undermanned FL A&M and a team that's frankly not that good with all their players. App St lost some good players off a respectable defense last season but they like the backups in those roles last year who now become the starters, players who have been in their system and know their roles.
Always nice to get a game under your belt but when it's against an opponent like UNC had, that can be deceptive especially to the players confidence, or should I say overconfidence. App St is in Boone, small school in the mountains, and the redheaded stepchild to UNC in the state of NC, who is the darling of most UNC residents, I know I lived there for a few years. I'll guarantee you this game is more important to them than it is to the Heels, and I'm a Carolina fan, have been for eternity. Boone will be rocking, and the Mountaineers will be ready, they know they can play with anyone in the state of NC. An outright win is very possible, the small line is there for a reason, oddsmakers are hip to this game. Beware Carolina backers.
Yeah I with you on an App teaser…huge regional battle at Boone…just not huge on that App QB.. he’s ok when he doesn’t have pressure but struggles when there is any pressure… I went under because Cam peoples has been effective for years and he will be running like a maniac in this game and will definitely chew some time off the clock… I think both are good plays… could actually go: App+7/under 64… GL Russo
Yeah I with you on an App teaser…huge regional battle at Boone…just not huge on that App QB.. he’s ok when he doesn’t have pressure but struggles when there is any pressure… I went under because Cam peoples has been effective for years and he will be running like a maniac in this game and will definitely chew some time off the clock… I think both are good plays… could actually go: App+7/under 64… GL Russo
Agree...as long as you stay away from OT you should be fine. OT is the kiss of death on Unders in college, I've been burned before so I rarely play unders in College football, has to be a line that I perceive to be a mile off, i.e. Georgia/Clemson last season, hammered that under and won easily, write-up game on Covers too. GL MAV!
"I'm afraid all we may have done is awakened a sleeping giant."
Agree...as long as you stay away from OT you should be fine. OT is the kiss of death on Unders in college, I've been burned before so I rarely play unders in College football, has to be a line that I perceive to be a mile off, i.e. Georgia/Clemson last season, hammered that under and won easily, write-up game on Covers too. GL MAV!
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