Maybe SMU to -4? .. that was close LY UNT w 500 yds of offense .. but SMU D played alot better in conference think the new coaches got a few xfers who will bolster things on that side, def have some guys on offense .. I really wasn't impressed w UNT in their win and don't subscribe to 'game under their belt' logic .. Maybe SMU start a little rusty/maybe not .. but UNT way more likely to show up next week w a few guys off the depth chart and also just gave Lashlee a good tape on them from a competitive conf game.. doubt NT has much of a beat on what SMU is gunna do .. I just played SMU at -10 today -115, the line on this one was like -21 last year and needed a mini miracle to get there .. but if I was teasing anything that would be on a short list ..
Would consider a big one like Utah State to +48 but coach might see Bonner hit in Q1 and put in a 4th stringer let bama just roll .. maybe not even put him in .. why risk your sure thing proven QB getting lost for the year so Will Anderson can have a bigger heisman reel .. maybe ULM to +45.. good key number and I think they might even score a few points and make that one tough to get to .. they score 14 and Horns need 59 lol .. idk maybe the QB is awesome but he better play mistake free to get there ..
Think the trouble w teasers this early is the results just so often end up far off from the line .. if you just beat the spread in week zero on almost anyone you were right big if wrong you were wrong big .. think Nevada was the only FBS/FBS within a TD of the closing line and that looked like the least competitive game ever w QB tryouts going on each team .. could tease Miss State -14 to -7 and feel good until we see Leach didn't bother preparing for Memphis again and loses to them again .. Miss St would def not go in my teaser ..
Maybe SMU to -4? .. that was close LY UNT w 500 yds of offense .. but SMU D played alot better in conference think the new coaches got a few xfers who will bolster things on that side, def have some guys on offense .. I really wasn't impressed w UNT in their win and don't subscribe to 'game under their belt' logic .. Maybe SMU start a little rusty/maybe not .. but UNT way more likely to show up next week w a few guys off the depth chart and also just gave Lashlee a good tape on them from a competitive conf game.. doubt NT has much of a beat on what SMU is gunna do .. I just played SMU at -10 today -115, the line on this one was like -21 last year and needed a mini miracle to get there .. but if I was teasing anything that would be on a short list ..
Would consider a big one like Utah State to +48 but coach might see Bonner hit in Q1 and put in a 4th stringer let bama just roll .. maybe not even put him in .. why risk your sure thing proven QB getting lost for the year so Will Anderson can have a bigger heisman reel .. maybe ULM to +45.. good key number and I think they might even score a few points and make that one tough to get to .. they score 14 and Horns need 59 lol .. idk maybe the QB is awesome but he better play mistake free to get there ..
Think the trouble w teasers this early is the results just so often end up far off from the line .. if you just beat the spread in week zero on almost anyone you were right big if wrong you were wrong big .. think Nevada was the only FBS/FBS within a TD of the closing line and that looked like the least competitive game ever w QB tryouts going on each team .. could tease Miss State -14 to -7 and feel good until we see Leach didn't bother preparing for Memphis again and loses to them again .. Miss St would def not go in my teaser ..
Thanks bro… sorry about the attitude the other day… I appreciate the info… yeah I actually was thinking of taking N Texas plus 7 I like the way Aune is playing .. it’s at N Texas and New coach at SMU … SMU will also miss not only the QB but Grey and Bentley…that game is on my radar though.. and yes.. was thinking about giving some of those small fries with big spreads 7 like Utah St… all the damage will be done in first half but certain coaches don’t let off the gas … I also like Fl St a lot.. even outright.. as well as Boise… but they are going air raid now so might take a couple games to implement…leaning So Fl… Fl St… and Houston…UTSA coordinator gone will make a dent… he sure was helpful in that Illinios game lol
Thanks bro… sorry about the attitude the other day… I appreciate the info… yeah I actually was thinking of taking N Texas plus 7 I like the way Aune is playing .. it’s at N Texas and New coach at SMU … SMU will also miss not only the QB but Grey and Bentley…that game is on my radar though.. and yes.. was thinking about giving some of those small fries with big spreads 7 like Utah St… all the damage will be done in first half but certain coaches don’t let off the gas … I also like Fl St a lot.. even outright.. as well as Boise… but they are going air raid now so might take a couple games to implement…leaning So Fl… Fl St… and Houston…UTSA coordinator gone will make a dent… he sure was helpful in that Illinios game lol
@Bridge1 Thanks bro… sorry about the attitude the other day… I appreciate the info… yeah I actually was thinking of taking N Texas plus 7 I like the way Aune is playing .. it’s at N Texas and New coach at SMU … SMU will also miss not only the QB but Grey and Bentley…that game is on my radar though.. and yes.. was thinking about giving some of those small fries with big spreads 7 like Utah St… all the damage will be done in first half but certain coaches don’t let off the gas … I also like Fl St a lot.. even outright.. as well as Boise… but they are going air raid now so might take a couple games to implement…leaning So Fl… Fl St… and Houston…UTSA coordinator gone will make a dent… he sure was helpful in that Illinios game lol
@Bridge1 Thanks bro… sorry about the attitude the other day… I appreciate the info… yeah I actually was thinking of taking N Texas plus 7 I like the way Aune is playing .. it’s at N Texas and New coach at SMU … SMU will also miss not only the QB but Grey and Bentley…that game is on my radar though.. and yes.. was thinking about giving some of those small fries with big spreads 7 like Utah St… all the damage will be done in first half but certain coaches don’t let off the gas … I also like Fl St a lot.. even outright.. as well as Boise… but they are going air raid now so might take a couple games to implement…leaning So Fl… Fl St… and Houston…UTSA coordinator gone will make a dent… he sure was helpful in that Illinios game lol
@wolfeman3 We’ll he was cool even after I had a bad day… ..man earned my respect…
you told bridge
“You are just a regular bettor like everyone else on here… you post all these plays and 90 percent don’t hit… I get you are the information man.. but you also waste a lot of money… and don’t call me out that you have predicted this and that…
Ill give you all my division winners right now… take a snapshot and compare them to yours… but wait… you bet on everyone… smh…”
@wolfeman3 We’ll he was cool even after I had a bad day… ..man earned my respect…
you told bridge
“You are just a regular bettor like everyone else on here… you post all these plays and 90 percent don’t hit… I get you are the information man.. but you also waste a lot of money… and don’t call me out that you have predicted this and that…
Ill give you all my division winners right now… take a snapshot and compare them to yours… but wait… you bet on everyone… smh…”
This is still my favorite attack though Glad you stood down. Have a great season GL
“that’s how you win dummy… high probably high risk… you keep playing your 1 unit 10 dollar plays by the 100s and by the end of the season you can buy a happy meal… most of you cowards on here are just pathetic… I can tell when you Winnie’s get emotional… just bc you got beat up in middle school just remember… I personally didn’t take your lunch money..”
This is still my favorite attack though Glad you stood down. Have a great season GL
“that’s how you win dummy… high probably high risk… you keep playing your 1 unit 10 dollar plays by the 100s and by the end of the season you can buy a happy meal… most of you cowards on here are just pathetic… I can tell when you Winnie’s get emotional… just bc you got beat up in middle school just remember… I personally didn’t take your lunch money..”
Dude don't worry about it I was pissy about something else too and shouldn't have even responded how I did .. took it to next level and then predictably went back/forth.. too much of that on the board makes the forum worse w folks we want around with good info get frustrated and leaving not wanting to deal w it .. .. it was my bad .. cooler heads .. .. no need to repost all the action again wolfman lol
Dude don't worry about it I was pissy about something else too and shouldn't have even responded how I did .. took it to next level and then predictably went back/forth.. too much of that on the board makes the forum worse w folks we want around with good info get frustrated and leaving not wanting to deal w it .. .. it was my bad .. cooler heads .. .. no need to repost all the action again wolfman lol
Anyway .. back to football .. i'll drop my couple nuggets I got on where I think SMU is but bottom line I wouldn't look at the changes as being bad ..
Offense .. Yeah SMU has some transitions going on but think they're all very positive... Lashlee in from Miami / OC there and already a star OC but took that situation w the injured QB last year from disaster to puttin in Van D and he just took over late in the year beating Pitt and leaves Miami in a great spot for this year and he's obvi in charge of the offense too.. Mordechi still there and was 68% 39-12 LY, legit QB .. and still has a solid WR in Rice and some decently talented xfers we'll see how it fills in .. can only say Lash able to be selective taking WR's out of the portal, its a great career move for them lol ... and yeah lose Bentley but bring in RB Camar Wheaton former bama 5 star 2021 class .. no action from him LY so we don't really know maybe he's a headcase or really just a 3 star that was out of his league at Bama figured he'd go way down to G5 give that a try ... I'm guessing he wanted to play w Lash and get his CFB career started as RB1 right away .. Siggers was the top RB LY w Bentley injured after a few games they got stopped vs very best run D's in the ACC otherwise pretty good year .. #3 and #5 RB's in Steele Mcdaniel and Levine played since Fr year in '19 behind a good 1-2 punch that year and prob expected to be the next 1-2 punch duo by now but between Bentley, Siggers and Wheaton coming in and injuries, etc they got pushed down the lineup. Its a very deep unit w maybe a real nfl gem at the top of it, we'll see.
Defense .. real untapped potential this year improvement wise.. they stunk so bad all these years as the offense took off, it was just totally ignored under Dykes.. obvi he didn't bring his DC to TCU, got the good one from Tulsa .. but LY they did get some xfers in the door plus some decent ret production and the raw stat numbers were a little better but still far off from a D that would let them compete in the AAC .. Now get Scott Symons from Liberty a really under the radar great get IMO, Lash obvi has a budget he can be selective in his hires because Lib had Symons as one of the top paid G5 assistants and he was worth a whole lot more for what he did there .. Lib came into FBS close to last on D by any measure back in '18 w more/less the same FCS players .. '19 SS shows up and landed a bunch from the portal but not exactly household name star recruits guys he found nobody else wanted .. and big jump out of the gutter to ~95th in the FEI opponent adj D stats.. its a big move because realistically Lib's schedule shouldnt have them finishing much higher than 60ish in adv stats unless they are a really next level G5 defense .. the very best maybe crack the top 25 Boise/Houston w better conf opponents and decent non-con schedule can get up there .. Cincy's D finishing 8th in the adv stats is an incredible feat .. Symons found Lib totally dead at #123, the bottom 10 or so D's are usually total outliers and in VERY bad shape .. tough to escape that black hole and jump 20 spots into top 100 ... but he did that and then huge jump #72 in '20, it was covid year maybe a bit flukey w lotta bad D's around them ... but another unreal jump to #48 last year kinda sorted that out .. in basic stats yards / game Symons finished #11 and #10 the last 2 years and it was def not because the O was sittin on the ball killing clock, legit good ..
Anyway .. back to football .. i'll drop my couple nuggets I got on where I think SMU is but bottom line I wouldn't look at the changes as being bad ..
Offense .. Yeah SMU has some transitions going on but think they're all very positive... Lashlee in from Miami / OC there and already a star OC but took that situation w the injured QB last year from disaster to puttin in Van D and he just took over late in the year beating Pitt and leaves Miami in a great spot for this year and he's obvi in charge of the offense too.. Mordechi still there and was 68% 39-12 LY, legit QB .. and still has a solid WR in Rice and some decently talented xfers we'll see how it fills in .. can only say Lash able to be selective taking WR's out of the portal, its a great career move for them lol ... and yeah lose Bentley but bring in RB Camar Wheaton former bama 5 star 2021 class .. no action from him LY so we don't really know maybe he's a headcase or really just a 3 star that was out of his league at Bama figured he'd go way down to G5 give that a try ... I'm guessing he wanted to play w Lash and get his CFB career started as RB1 right away .. Siggers was the top RB LY w Bentley injured after a few games they got stopped vs very best run D's in the ACC otherwise pretty good year .. #3 and #5 RB's in Steele Mcdaniel and Levine played since Fr year in '19 behind a good 1-2 punch that year and prob expected to be the next 1-2 punch duo by now but between Bentley, Siggers and Wheaton coming in and injuries, etc they got pushed down the lineup. Its a very deep unit w maybe a real nfl gem at the top of it, we'll see.
Defense .. real untapped potential this year improvement wise.. they stunk so bad all these years as the offense took off, it was just totally ignored under Dykes.. obvi he didn't bring his DC to TCU, got the good one from Tulsa .. but LY they did get some xfers in the door plus some decent ret production and the raw stat numbers were a little better but still far off from a D that would let them compete in the AAC .. Now get Scott Symons from Liberty a really under the radar great get IMO, Lash obvi has a budget he can be selective in his hires because Lib had Symons as one of the top paid G5 assistants and he was worth a whole lot more for what he did there .. Lib came into FBS close to last on D by any measure back in '18 w more/less the same FCS players .. '19 SS shows up and landed a bunch from the portal but not exactly household name star recruits guys he found nobody else wanted .. and big jump out of the gutter to ~95th in the FEI opponent adj D stats.. its a big move because realistically Lib's schedule shouldnt have them finishing much higher than 60ish in adv stats unless they are a really next level G5 defense .. the very best maybe crack the top 25 Boise/Houston w better conf opponents and decent non-con schedule can get up there .. Cincy's D finishing 8th in the adv stats is an incredible feat .. Symons found Lib totally dead at #123, the bottom 10 or so D's are usually total outliers and in VERY bad shape .. tough to escape that black hole and jump 20 spots into top 100 ... but he did that and then huge jump #72 in '20, it was covid year maybe a bit flukey w lotta bad D's around them ... but another unreal jump to #48 last year kinda sorted that out .. in basic stats yards / game Symons finished #11 and #10 the last 2 years and it was def not because the O was sittin on the ball killing clock, legit good ..
SMU Cont'd .. last notes I know its long winded but think worth mentioning ..
SMU was at 85th in the opp adj D stats LY basically has them near Bowling Green, Troy, La-Tech, N.Texas .. all teams they should be wayyy better than givin they're much better program, better conf w much better talent and resources .. much better launch pad for Symons than when he showed up at Lib and wayyyyy better returning production, recruits and portal talent than Lib ever had esp when they made their big move in '20 .. obvi nobody expecting much outta SMU's D now or ever, models are gunna look back and see they were more/less duds, they'll not project much improvement ... I obvi have no idea when the (**purely potential**) surprise might hit w this D, maybe takes a few games maybe a year but I doubt they'll be pushovers this year the talent is already there and experienced .. I'll consider myself wrong if Symons doesn't end in the DFEI stats somewhere in the 60's, a considerable jump to 'good' G5 D.... UTSA, ECU, UAB all finished around there LY ... but might surpass that because they got MD, TCU, Houston, UCF, Cincy on the schedule .. some really good tests vs opponent offensive firepower for the models to chew on and even if the D gives up big points we still should see real (albeit fairly well hidden) improvement in those games .. should def see some of it in week 1 ..
Games at NT but that's just across town should be a hefty SMU crowd and it is a big old rivalry so for sure both gunna play tough.. but again the spot of having a really big conf game opener vs SMU week 1 is really the diff between a need and a want .. sure he wants to beat SMU really needed last week and prepped accordingly .. SMU should be real focused on this game only which was wayyy closer than the score says LY that can't be lost on anyone .. N.Tex QB also had all day in the pocket nobody bothering him .. I'm def thinking Symons changes that up this game .. will def look for N.Texas TT Under if they're around the 30 point mark as the line/total suggests.. -10ish / 71.5 .. be surprised if the total doesn't get zapped down to like 67 or so .. if not could get degen'd higher if can't get a good TT might hit under for a few bucks instead ..
SMU Cont'd .. last notes I know its long winded but think worth mentioning ..
SMU was at 85th in the opp adj D stats LY basically has them near Bowling Green, Troy, La-Tech, N.Texas .. all teams they should be wayyy better than givin they're much better program, better conf w much better talent and resources .. much better launch pad for Symons than when he showed up at Lib and wayyyyy better returning production, recruits and portal talent than Lib ever had esp when they made their big move in '20 .. obvi nobody expecting much outta SMU's D now or ever, models are gunna look back and see they were more/less duds, they'll not project much improvement ... I obvi have no idea when the (**purely potential**) surprise might hit w this D, maybe takes a few games maybe a year but I doubt they'll be pushovers this year the talent is already there and experienced .. I'll consider myself wrong if Symons doesn't end in the DFEI stats somewhere in the 60's, a considerable jump to 'good' G5 D.... UTSA, ECU, UAB all finished around there LY ... but might surpass that because they got MD, TCU, Houston, UCF, Cincy on the schedule .. some really good tests vs opponent offensive firepower for the models to chew on and even if the D gives up big points we still should see real (albeit fairly well hidden) improvement in those games .. should def see some of it in week 1 ..
Games at NT but that's just across town should be a hefty SMU crowd and it is a big old rivalry so for sure both gunna play tough.. but again the spot of having a really big conf game opener vs SMU week 1 is really the diff between a need and a want .. sure he wants to beat SMU really needed last week and prepped accordingly .. SMU should be real focused on this game only which was wayyy closer than the score says LY that can't be lost on anyone .. N.Tex QB also had all day in the pocket nobody bothering him .. I'm def thinking Symons changes that up this game .. will def look for N.Texas TT Under if they're around the 30 point mark as the line/total suggests.. -10ish / 71.5 .. be surprised if the total doesn't get zapped down to like 67 or so .. if not could get degen'd higher if can't get a good TT might hit under for a few bucks instead ..
My suggestion would be to not invest very much (money or time) in teasers, too much uncertainty and variability in CFB for any "teaser system" to be profitable. I will play them on occasion but usually stick to point totals when doing so.
In week 0, only Florida State and New Mexico State would have benefited from teasing their number. That's 2 out of 22 teams where the tease would have mattered. Trust me, I get the appeal, but if you believe in a side just make the straight bet. Over the long term, it will be more profitable.
If you must... the Wong strategy for NFL teasers can be applied to the college game but only when point totals are 47.5 or less. Underdogs at +1.5-2.5 or Favorites at -7.5-8.5; tease through key numbers of 3 & 7.
My suggestion would be to not invest very much (money or time) in teasers, too much uncertainty and variability in CFB for any "teaser system" to be profitable. I will play them on occasion but usually stick to point totals when doing so.
In week 0, only Florida State and New Mexico State would have benefited from teasing their number. That's 2 out of 22 teams where the tease would have mattered. Trust me, I get the appeal, but if you believe in a side just make the straight bet. Over the long term, it will be more profitable.
If you must... the Wong strategy for NFL teasers can be applied to the college game but only when point totals are 47.5 or less. Underdogs at +1.5-2.5 or Favorites at -7.5-8.5; tease through key numbers of 3 & 7.
Nice GD .. . said kinda the same thing up top in one of my posts about week 0 just pick the side and it was big win or big loss, no need to tease anything .. i'll check the article but is the crux that it doesn't matter for CFB all season or just early goings? . I'd think all season CFB is just too unpredictable .... maybe only certain specific matchups like the really highest level matchups w the sharpest lines or Army / Navy or Iowa/Iowa St .. something w a predictably low score .. even then I'd screw it up for sure lol
Nice GD .. . said kinda the same thing up top in one of my posts about week 0 just pick the side and it was big win or big loss, no need to tease anything .. i'll check the article but is the crux that it doesn't matter for CFB all season or just early goings? . I'd think all season CFB is just too unpredictable .... maybe only certain specific matchups like the really highest level matchups w the sharpest lines or Army / Navy or Iowa/Iowa St .. something w a predictably low score .. even then I'd screw it up for sure lol
I think the article was actually starting data at week 5 when there *should* be more consistent results.
Another study I read looked at 5 years of data and the Wong system was barely profitable in the long term, all other instances of teasers lost money long term.
BetOnline, and other books may do it as well, offers a 21pt teaser option... just think about that for a second. Seems ludicrous, but despite the horrible payout, it wouldn't be on the table if it didn't hold value for the book. All it would have taken is Hawaii +28 to miss and that teaser is a loss.
Again... bet what you want to bet folks... teasers can be fun. Just don't dump a ton of money in them week over week.
I think the article was actually starting data at week 5 when there *should* be more consistent results.
Another study I read looked at 5 years of data and the Wong system was barely profitable in the long term, all other instances of teasers lost money long term.
BetOnline, and other books may do it as well, offers a 21pt teaser option... just think about that for a second. Seems ludicrous, but despite the horrible payout, it wouldn't be on the table if it didn't hold value for the book. All it would have taken is Hawaii +28 to miss and that teaser is a loss.
Again... bet what you want to bet folks... teasers can be fun. Just don't dump a ton of money in them week over week.
Yeah I understand that not many people agree with the math on teasers but everyone bets different…in the past when I first started I tried everything…. Parlays… 5-10 teams teasers… sweetheart teasers… monster teasers … and even the long game like most people do climbing a couple units and maybe putting 5% more on a real confident play…the main reason I don’t do any of that anymore is-TIME
if you want to get somewhere you gotta bet 500-1k per bet.. and roll it over a couple times… in 3 weeks you are already at 8k… and it’s highly probable because you are making highly probable bets.. each week you are only betting 2-3 games on a 7 pt teaser (which in my opinion… if you get 2-3 near locks and tease them 7 points it’s highly probable you win.. the goal is to just make an even money bet… another even money bet is the moneyline parlay… for instance:
Michigan ST-halftime ML -11
Illinios-10
Miss St-15
Ohio St -14
NC St -11
getting 85-100 return is the name of the game… you survive those games… you just made a grand or you are rolling it for big money… especially when you get up in the 10k 20k range.. moneyline parlay or other 1:1 ratio bets are the only way to go..
with all the expertise we have we should all be able to put together a bet to double our money…I know it’s weird but this is what I do… I’ve been on streak where I have won 10 weeks in a row…for instance NFL week one/college week 2-
Cowboys at home-+9
maybe TN +3 vs Pitt (after the backyard brawl/revenge angle last year-TN was up on them by two TDs and with no Pickett and Addison/and Hooker didn’t even start that game)
And then maybe UCF vs Louisville -line will probably be -3 UCF .. +4 UCF at UCF Friday night at the bounce house …
I guess I’d rather make 2-3 strategic plays and win some real money then playing the long game…
And you can build up the old way until you get to 500 or 1k and then switch to the 1:1 plays so you don’t lose anything…
at some point you gotta take the risk and this I have found is the highest probability route…
so if you guys have any teasers for me or ML half value or money lines under -15 send them my way:))
I appreciate it…
my big one 1:1 as stated before for week 1 was
ML parlay:
Illinios -leg done
Ohio St
James Madison return 80% I could die on James Madison but that’s how it goes…
Yeah I understand that not many people agree with the math on teasers but everyone bets different…in the past when I first started I tried everything…. Parlays… 5-10 teams teasers… sweetheart teasers… monster teasers … and even the long game like most people do climbing a couple units and maybe putting 5% more on a real confident play…the main reason I don’t do any of that anymore is-TIME
if you want to get somewhere you gotta bet 500-1k per bet.. and roll it over a couple times… in 3 weeks you are already at 8k… and it’s highly probable because you are making highly probable bets.. each week you are only betting 2-3 games on a 7 pt teaser (which in my opinion… if you get 2-3 near locks and tease them 7 points it’s highly probable you win.. the goal is to just make an even money bet… another even money bet is the moneyline parlay… for instance:
Michigan ST-halftime ML -11
Illinios-10
Miss St-15
Ohio St -14
NC St -11
getting 85-100 return is the name of the game… you survive those games… you just made a grand or you are rolling it for big money… especially when you get up in the 10k 20k range.. moneyline parlay or other 1:1 ratio bets are the only way to go..
with all the expertise we have we should all be able to put together a bet to double our money…I know it’s weird but this is what I do… I’ve been on streak where I have won 10 weeks in a row…for instance NFL week one/college week 2-
Cowboys at home-+9
maybe TN +3 vs Pitt (after the backyard brawl/revenge angle last year-TN was up on them by two TDs and with no Pickett and Addison/and Hooker didn’t even start that game)
And then maybe UCF vs Louisville -line will probably be -3 UCF .. +4 UCF at UCF Friday night at the bounce house …
I guess I’d rather make 2-3 strategic plays and win some real money then playing the long game…
And you can build up the old way until you get to 500 or 1k and then switch to the 1:1 plays so you don’t lose anything…
at some point you gotta take the risk and this I have found is the highest probability route…
so if you guys have any teasers for me or ML half value or money lines under -15 send them my way:))
I appreciate it…
my big one 1:1 as stated before for week 1 was
ML parlay:
Illinios -leg done
Ohio St
James Madison return 80% I could die on James Madison but that’s how it goes…
Thanks for the SMU data… even with all that I just hate betting on new coordinators the first week… but you seem very confident about them… definitely a team to watch throughout the season…I’ll most likely skip the N Texas game though…
Thanks for the SMU data… even with all that I just hate betting on new coordinators the first week… but you seem very confident about them… definitely a team to watch throughout the season…I’ll most likely skip the N Texas game though…
Yeah give em a look we'll see .. I feel good about their situation obvi can't say it'll all be there game 1 .. maybe UNT plays still on a high and play lights out for this one .. I'm not even all over this game didn't even post my SMU -10 its something but not nothing wild .. might peep the TT later I think 31 I would be a taker for a smaller bet .. last year NT put up 500 yds and scored 12 points lol .. anything's possible!!!
Yeah give em a look we'll see .. I feel good about their situation obvi can't say it'll all be there game 1 .. maybe UNT plays still on a high and play lights out for this one .. I'm not even all over this game didn't even post my SMU -10 its something but not nothing wild .. might peep the TT later I think 31 I would be a taker for a smaller bet .. last year NT put up 500 yds and scored 12 points lol .. anything's possible!!!
Oh I’ll definitely keep my eye on them.. but look a couple posts up at my game that I responded to Gamblindawg… if you see any near locks that fits my 1:1 game let me know.. including teasing game totals…especially really high totals teasing up/playing the under and really low totals teasing down/over… tell me what you are looking for too and I can look out for things to help your game too… I teased the backyard brawl +14 for West V on a leg but as time goes on not feeling great about it..
Oh I’ll definitely keep my eye on them.. but look a couple posts up at my game that I responded to Gamblindawg… if you see any near locks that fits my 1:1 game let me know.. including teasing game totals…especially really high totals teasing up/playing the under and really low totals teasing down/over… tell me what you are looking for too and I can look out for things to help your game too… I teased the backyard brawl +14 for West V on a leg but as time goes on not feeling great about it..
I got Pitt in that one .. Pitt on my short list of the outsider teams with the talent and schedule to make a deep playoff run .. it doesn't mean they will could lose week 1 but no doubt team has a big goal this year and everything's a must win so they're gunna show up in this big home opener.. Plus got a good backup w Patti who I hope we don't need .. the concern w WVA besides consistently underwhelming teams over the years is that back end of the D and the secondary, they did get a couple guys I liked from watching the spring FCS Marcis Floyd who was legit good AA at Murray and Jasir Cox like a cover LB/NB from NDSU think we can count on him to be pretty good too.. his brother xferred from there to LSU a few years back total stud ... both are good football players, I'll be watching them and also want to see if Harrell can draw up effective running plays not sure they did that at USC .. gunna be some passing in this one for sure, backdoor could be open .. 14 not bad I mean I'd have teased Pitt to a pick if I had to but rather just play em and not tie up the bet needing other stuff to work ..
I'm just playin angles I like haven't seen the teams play yet obvi .. happy to hear about screwy depth charts or ones that look just as expected.. Wisco's looks screwy btw at least compared to what Phil thought it would be .. OL coach jumbled it up now starting center injured maybe a few weeks LY's backup now in there not sure if he was even playing C anymore but either way could def see some mistakes from that guy or whenever the starter gets back maybe next week idk .. tons of dings and guys out this week, backup QB now OFY too, .. WR room looks barren which was expected 1 guy has 34 catches everyone else has 2 combined .. new OC Bobby Engram supposed to be drawin up Mertz some winners, i don't think so .. lotta new faces on D but the depth chart looked in tact some hits in the depth .. playing Ill State this week you can bet the #3 QB gets a few reps if they're up enough points .. and Wazoo coming to town next week, they better have their act together by then .. got a real funnnnny feeeeelin about that one .. Wisco was on my naughy list already the messy depth chart didn't raise my expectations ..
gun to head teaser ..
ULM +45 SMU -4 if available PITT Pick'Em
There's others I bet bigger on but those are the line moves I'd lean to ... ULM could be just too horrible and blow it, sark wants to show off .. SMU had a close one last year .. Pitt I just talked about .. my FCS boys each get a pick 6 .. could lose all 3 so obvi not playing it lol ..
I got Pitt in that one .. Pitt on my short list of the outsider teams with the talent and schedule to make a deep playoff run .. it doesn't mean they will could lose week 1 but no doubt team has a big goal this year and everything's a must win so they're gunna show up in this big home opener.. Plus got a good backup w Patti who I hope we don't need .. the concern w WVA besides consistently underwhelming teams over the years is that back end of the D and the secondary, they did get a couple guys I liked from watching the spring FCS Marcis Floyd who was legit good AA at Murray and Jasir Cox like a cover LB/NB from NDSU think we can count on him to be pretty good too.. his brother xferred from there to LSU a few years back total stud ... both are good football players, I'll be watching them and also want to see if Harrell can draw up effective running plays not sure they did that at USC .. gunna be some passing in this one for sure, backdoor could be open .. 14 not bad I mean I'd have teased Pitt to a pick if I had to but rather just play em and not tie up the bet needing other stuff to work ..
I'm just playin angles I like haven't seen the teams play yet obvi .. happy to hear about screwy depth charts or ones that look just as expected.. Wisco's looks screwy btw at least compared to what Phil thought it would be .. OL coach jumbled it up now starting center injured maybe a few weeks LY's backup now in there not sure if he was even playing C anymore but either way could def see some mistakes from that guy or whenever the starter gets back maybe next week idk .. tons of dings and guys out this week, backup QB now OFY too, .. WR room looks barren which was expected 1 guy has 34 catches everyone else has 2 combined .. new OC Bobby Engram supposed to be drawin up Mertz some winners, i don't think so .. lotta new faces on D but the depth chart looked in tact some hits in the depth .. playing Ill State this week you can bet the #3 QB gets a few reps if they're up enough points .. and Wazoo coming to town next week, they better have their act together by then .. got a real funnnnny feeeeelin about that one .. Wisco was on my naughy list already the messy depth chart didn't raise my expectations ..
gun to head teaser ..
ULM +45 SMU -4 if available PITT Pick'Em
There's others I bet bigger on but those are the line moves I'd lean to ... ULM could be just too horrible and blow it, sark wants to show off .. SMU had a close one last year .. Pitt I just talked about .. my FCS boys each get a pick 6 .. could lose all 3 so obvi not playing it lol ..
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