Serious question, serious responses please...

Question

I want to get some advice from some of the top cappers in here…

I have a few theories of my own, and I want to run them by you all…

One of the first things I look at about a team is how they performed the week before. I look at the number of points scored, how well the QB and RB performed, and how well the defense performed. I also factor in the team they played, and the status of that team. Was this team ranked? How many starters did they return from last season? Who is their coach, and how well does he do against this coach? How do they do at home or on the road? Injuries, weather… (Am I missing anything here?) (Aside from QB, RB, and Defense, is there any other factors in looking at a team you need to look at?)

Now here is a big question I have been curious about… What does a point spread, and it’s movement throughout the week tell you? Does the public and its impact on a line ever help you determine anything about that team?

These are just some of the factors I use in placing a bet, but I would love to hear some new methods that I might be missing out on. Thanks for reading and thanks for the help.

Tappy · Answer

I want to get some advice from some of the top cappers in here…

I have a few theories of my own, and I want to run them by you all…

One of the first things I look at about a team is how they performed the week before. I look at the number of points scored, how well the QB and RB performed, and how well the defense performed. I also factor in the team they played, and the status of that team. Was this team ranked? How many starters did they return from last season? Who is their coach, and how well does he do against this coach? How do they do at home or on the road? Injuries, weather… (Am I missing anything here?) (Aside from QB, RB, and Defense, is there any other factors in looking at a team you need to look at?)

Now here is a big question I have been curious about… What does a point spread, and it’s movement throughout the week tell you? Does the public and its impact on a line ever help you determine anything about that team?

These are just some of the factors I use in placing a bet, but I would love to hear some new methods that I might be missing out on. Thanks for reading and thanks for the help.

mrquija27 · Answer

Every game is unique and every situation is different.  There is no cheat sheet that many try to find.  My theory is watch a lot of football.

tjohnsont · Answer

Great answer.   It&#x27;s almost like poker.   End of season most things probably even out to prevent systems.

BWS77 · Answer

Early line movement &gt;  Late line movement

jwheels86 · Answer

I wouldn&#x27;t worry so much about teams being ranked or not, the rankings really mean nothing when you watch the games like AMD said.

jwheels86 · Answer

excuse me MrQuija, assumed it was amd because of the avatar..

Tappy · Answer

I will clarify that I factor in SOS when I consider ranking...

SourSausage · Answer

Do you guys know a couple good specific sites to use to track early line movements?

Tappy · Answer

https://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/odds/las-vegas/That is what I use, which stays pretty accurate.

Zoot · Answer

Vegasinsider is actually way bhind with their numbers

gmanusc2001 · Answer

Suggestion on a better source?

Michfan15 · Answer

coaches, coaching staffs (OC, DC) their backgrounds, tendencies, and familiarity with the opponent and the opponent&#x27;s coach &#x2B; staff..   particularly good for angles to bet totals

gobuddygo · Answer

"The strategies of sharps are closely guarded secrets."(I&#x27;ll assume you can understand why.)

Serious question, serious responses please...

Hot Forum Topics