Saturday Specials....

73-49-3 +351.6 Units YTD

Business as usual last week. No matter how many people told me how bad of a play AF was, it cashed and leads us to our first play this weekend.....

10 Units Army +7

Just fading AF off their biggest game of the year. Dont see them duplicating the intensity of the Utah game now that they have to go on the road here. More of a fade on AF than a play on Army. But, Army has jumped leaps and bounds the past year. They can finally move the ball a bit on offense and are much faster on defense.

10 Units South Carolina -4

Just banking on the Ole Ball Coach to have his boys prepared. I also think losing Childs is going to hurt Mallett. South Carolina can get up for big games at home and if they keep rolling, they have a shot at a conference championship game. Arkansas has put up some less than impressive performances on the road. South Carolina plays a great bend-but-dont-break defense at home. I dont think Arkansas has the defense to keep them close enough.

10 Units Idaho +11

I have Idaho winning this game. I will gladly take 11. Idaho has been road warriors this season and they will gladly take a home game against a ranked team here. This is their biggest game of the year to date and I think the home crowd keeps em in it. Idaho not the easiest place to play, either. I fade Nevada a lot and this may be me just going back to the well, but this team hasnt covered a spread in a freaking month. They dont play enough defense. Enderle should find open receivers and I have this one coming down to the wire.

10 Units Indiana +17.5

That was a huge win for Iowa. They took down the conference darling. After, two rough games at home, I dont see how they get up for a 17+ point win over Indiana here. Ferentz record on the road is laughable. I think Iowa can be passed all over. Chappell should be healthy enough to do it.

10 Units Utah +4.5

TCU is overrated. One of the worst undefeated teams you will ever see - its basically the same story as last year. Dalton is known not to show up in big games. TCU doesnt have enough offense to beat Utah by this many. This line is a joke. Utah has just as good a defense as TCU. They are a bit deeper, too. While Kerley is a stud, hes not enough. Utah has the home crowd behind them. Its already not an easy place to play. I think the emotion carries them through this one. Utah hasnt gotten any pub, its been Boise and TCU. This team is going to be playing with a chip on their shoulder, they have something to prove.

10 Units LSU +6.5

Well, I often bet against Saban when I have the coaching advantage and I cannot claim that here, but I do think I am in the much better spot. Again, broken record time - betting on the home team, tough place to play. Bama has been less than impressive on the road this year. The target on their back has not suited them well. LSU will not give up 440 on the ground to this team - McElroy is not mobile enough. That leaves McElroy to beat them through the air. Take away one side of the field because of Patterson and I love my chances here. I am obviously betting on an anemic offense, but if LSU drops less passes, we are talking about an upset here, let alone a cover.

10 Units UCLA +4.5

Going back to the UCLA at home well. OSU just won by damn near 50, I get it. Who doesnt want to back them? UCLA has an injury list longer than most peoples practice squads. Still, I think, defensively UCLA has enough to get me a cover. Morris and Ayers are studs. OSU doesnt play defense on the road - not a team you want to be laying chalk with.

20 Units Arizona State +6
5 Units Arizona State ML +200

Talk about nothing left in the tank. What a shitty loss for USC last week. After putting themselves up by 3 a few minutes into the 3rd against Oregon, the wheels fell off. A clearly dejected USC team limped to the finish line while Oregon continued to push it down their throats. I think they suffer a bit of a hangover here. The clear # 2 in the Pac10 comes in and this team can do it all. They play defense, they play offense and they are quick. This is more of a fade of USC, but it doesnt hurt that I love ASU this year. One of the more underrated teams in the nation should go into USC and surprise a few folks. I really wouldnt expect USC to duplicate the effort from last week - or at least the one from the first 40 minutes. Its damn near impossible. ASU isnt the #1 team in the nation. ASU isnt undefeated. ASU is just another conference opponent. Hangover city.

20 Units Wake Forest +3

So, you are really telling me that BC should be laying road chalk? Thats beyond laughable. I couldnt get anyone to bet on BC earlier this year with a free play. Now, since they beat Clemson they deserve to be favored here? Not a chance. Thats a classic overreaction. Wake should be able to slow down the 'offense' that BC has. I am a huge fan of Grobe and what he can do for a team. You never bet on a team that just won as underdogs and are now favored - shit, throw in the fact that they are on the road and this is a no-brainer.

10 units Navy +3

All I do is nail ECU games. This is the easiest team to read in college ball. They dont play defense, at all. Navy should kill this team with TOP. I dont see Navy being off the field for very long this game. Triple-Option tough to defend. It also gets opposing offenses anxious because it they end up sitting on the bench for longer than average. There is a reason ECU is only being offered as a 3pt favorite at home and its not because they are the play. Never bet against a team that just lost SU as DD faves when they are getting points the next week. Its a losing prop.


A few more I am looking at....Lou - Hou - Clem - Mich - Kst - Tex Tech



Let the madness begin....

great looking card. already on all these except ucla is a no play bol

1 Unit BC/Wake U49

1 Unit UNC/FSU U49

already on a handful of those plays
BOL this weekend RJ

one thing i do diagree with is your saying air force cant get up for this game or match the intensity of the utah game.  trust me when i tell you these armed forces games mean more to these teams than any other game on the schedule.  i do agree with army +7 just to many points in game where u can throw all the numbers out th window.

army +7 love it

Liking Doggie Style except in the SC...

love the wake play! bc a favorite on the road

 

This does not have very often, so im not sure what you're talking about. SaturDAY in Death Valley is a death sentence for my Tigers.

BOL Brother ....

May you Have a Fantastic Week 10

Once Again you are going the Sharp Route....

Fading away at MY Plays

 

VS you on Air Force, Nevada,Oregon St, Alabama

 

with you on Arizona St 

BOL this weekend Sizzle! I have been winning all year on Army even as dogs and if was 2nite Id take them, but lotta good plays on the board!  Heres to a great weekend!

It does happen often. We just have different opinions on how good of a coach Saban is.

I just do the same thing week in and week out, it works for me.

I wouldnt call myself sharp, but I appreciate the gesture.

GL this weekend Du4L.

RJ, like the card, better yet, love reading your write ups, you really know your shit bro! (That is for a square and all!)

I am on OU -3, talk about over reaction, atleast in my mind.  OU not the best on the road, to say the least, but A & M, with a WR starting now at QB beats Tech now they are only getting three from OU who is still in the race, seriously.  I fee total over reaction to both.  You may think opposite, but I see OU destroying this team. Also like the under in the Lou/Cuse game, food for thought thats all.

Keep up the great work! 

 

CB - I wouldnt touch OU, this screams the Mizzou game all over again. But I do see your valid points. Notice, I dont have a lean to A&M. Keep in mind that Tannehill was the starting QB before he was moved to WR. Now, I find it damn near impossible he can duplicate that performance from last week, but hes no slouch.

GL buddy.

Solid Card Bro....Good Luck

I really like Indiana, I actually even sprinkled the ML a little bit at +650   IU almost won last year at Kinnick and there's no way Iowa can get real "up" for this one after the last 2 weeks.  Good luck this week, man 

     Solid looking card, as usual, Sizzle.  I'm on four games with you, against in four, and not playing the two others.  Tonight's Houston/ UCF game though has me perplexed.  I want badly to pull the trigger on the Cougars for a couple of reasons, but mainly for the revenge from last years upset at the hands of the Knights. Probably only going to have to see you make the play or even tell me you think UCF can't keep playing like "world beaters" week in and out, in prime time, and I'll be on it.                                                                                                                                                                                                 Also noticed one other of your leans is against what I perceive as one of your favorite teams, Texas.  Wonder if you even think they can win outright after one disappointment after another. Thought it looked like too many points when I first looked at it, also.   BOL this weekend, and nice call on the G Tech game last night.                                                                                                                                               

I have been to a lot of these games, I know what you are saying, I have a few family members that went to Army and Navy.

But, I dont even think its possible to play with the same intensity as they did against Utah. One team is undefeated. That game could have made AF's year. They gave it their all. I think they left it all on the field.

People talk about the discipline of these service academies etc, but where was that when AF went up into Wyoming? These are just kids, they let emotion and spots get the best of them at times.

Just one opinion. It can be wrong. But I will agree to disagree.

Siz...I see it differently then Mizzou, in that Miz game, Miz should of been the team favored, not here, OU is clearly the better team, that wasn't the case 2 weeks ago, just seems like good value, but who knows?

It does make me feel better that you are not on A & M though

222 - I would play Houston on two things...one, revenge, two, the line. Its begging for UCF action. People jumped off that Houston bandwagon long ago.

About Texas, I just dont see how they can get up for this game. Brown is a great coach, but how doesnt this young team throw in the towel? They have no faith in Gilbert and are losing games they shouldnt. Dont think KST can run on them, so the game looks like an under. But I just couldnt justify laying laying points on the road.

The most important thing for service academies is the Commander in-Chiefs trophy. Huge game for both Army and Air Force...both will bring top of the line intensity.

You have zero credibility.

Sorry to break it to you.

Ask anyone who attended the the Air Force Academy this question .... would you rather beat Utah or Army? Unlikely you will find anyone who will say Utah

But Air Force played harder versus Utah

You are missing the point.

I dont care about anything you say. You could tell me you like my plays, I dont care.

You have zero credibility. You are a disgusting homer. You have no place on boards like this. Go find a fan message board.