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Saturday Specials....

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Captain
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Posted: #76
Quote Originally Posted by sparty444:

How could you have started with 100 units?

On Sept. 17th you were 4-7 -19.5 units

But somehow that Saturday you put 145 units into play? That math doesn't add up to me.



I dont have to lay out money to make bets. I bet with a local with a site.

I dont need a bankroll to bet.

Although, I have one. Hence, my answer to your question.

Isnt a bankroll how much you can gamble and be comfortable losing? Before the season it was 100 Units. If I lost 100 Units, I would have stopped.

But losing? Thats what I leave up to people like you.



How dont you understand this? Arent you the guy that does this for a living? You cant wrap your head around things like this??

You never cease to amaze me.



Stalker in the HOUSE!!!



Jealousy on this site is getting so old. So old.....
 
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Posted: #77
Quote Originally Posted by mmac66:

 

I'm not arguing your Air Force pick.......I like the play.

I'm also not here to argue Utah's body of work ,which is less than impressive.

I just think it's a bit misleading to say that this is Utah's first test of the year......

I think Pitt opening the season was a test....although it was in SLC.

And I think Iowa State on the road is at least as big a test as going to Air Force.

Not saying ISU is great or Air Force is terrible, just that they are at least comparable.

 

Like I said, I like the play. GL RJ.



Oh, I guess I completely disagree then.

I dont think you can compare those two to AF. ISU or Pitt. I hardly call going on the road to Iowa State a test. That team is terrible.

Pitt a test? I dont see that. It was at home. It was against a Wannstadt coached team.

Oh well. Agree to disagree.  Not much we can do.





 
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Posted: #78
Quote Originally Posted by sparty444:

Care to elaborate?


Dont make me make you my mental midget again. While it was fun that one day, I might not have the time again today.


 
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Posted: #79
Sparty - Just do me a favor and keep this thread up top for me. Its easier to find that way.

If you need, go get some of your boys to help you.


 
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Posted: #80

Thats the best explanation you can come up with?

When you actually start playing with real money let us know... because its quite evident you don't

 
Prospect
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Posted: #81
GL RJ
 
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Posted: #82
Quote Originally Posted by JBone_Texas:

Your right, I'm just tormenting myself.  Gave me what I needed.

BTW, I'm in Houston and was all over that Dallas/Houston game myself.  One of the best plays of the year for me.  Houston will cover the 5.5 this week.



I was looking at Houston too....looking at Carolina, Houston, San Diego, San Fran - just think those teams pull it out, somehow.

NFL favorites that open at 5.5 usually lose outright, so it was interesting to see Houston get 5.5 off the bat. I was expecting a line of about 7.


 
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Posted: #83
Enjoying your thread and the give and take.  Not a big poster, and all about learning from the site.  That said, a question: in response to someone above, you said you play the spot/situation, and not so much the stats, as those are readily factored in by the books.  Well, aren't the situations factored as well?  Reason I ask is I do like Utah.  I hear the strength of schedule argument, and that sentiment can be related to other strong teams as well (see Boise, TCU). I follow the Academy teams pretty closely, and one thing they all have in common: seldom are they deep in talent at the skill positions.  C. Springs is a tough place to play, but Utah has been there before, they're a very disciplined squad that knows the falcon gameplan (usually a weakness that AF exploits as they are usually the much more disciplined squad).  All that said, I think if AFA covers, it'll be a tight, low-scoring game and I'm surprised at the 55 pt. total and like the under a lot as well. 
 
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Posted: #84
Quote Originally Posted by av8rg8r:


That said, a question: in response to someone above, you said you play the spot/situation, and not so much the stats, as those are readily factored in by the books.  Well, aren't the situations factored as well? 


I dont believe so. I mean, the lines are made off power ratings and adjusted from there. So, I dont see the lines accounting for spots and situations - too much. But, this is the type of year you hear people complain about the lines being 'sharper'. Maybe that is taken into account.

I dont know. I dont think you can quantify emotion and spots enough to justify altering a line because of them.

I am not young enough, though, to think I know everything. I can be wrong here.


 
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Posted: #85
your take on the under play?
 
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Posted: #86
Quote Originally Posted by sparty444:

Thats the best explanation you can come up with?

When you actually start playing with real money let us know... because its quite evident you don't

dont be a douchbag if you have a problem stay out of his thread. dont know what people like you are trying to accomplish exept hating.

 
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Posted: #87
I thikn itll be close. I dont have Utah keeping AF under 24.
 
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Posted: #88

Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle:



I was looking at Houston too....looking at Carolina, Houston, San Diego, San Fran - just think those teams pull it out, somehow.

NFL favorites that open at 5.5 usually lose outright, so it was interesting to see Houston get 5.5 off the bat. I was expecting a line of about 7.


Posted my picks in the NFL forum.  Sounds like we are on the same page.

 
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Posted: #89
Quote Originally Posted by JBone_Texas:

I used KC last week and SD a few weeks ago.  I have NYJ, NE, and available but I'm leary of at least one of those being an upset (I know there is no way Minnesota should beat NE at home but anything that can happen in the NFL will).

This probably sounds crazy but I'm going with Dallas this week.  I think they have a great shot of beating Jacksonville even without Romo and if there is an upset in any of those other games the field will be cut severely. 




Bud...your in a survivor pool....you want to survive right?...take NYJ....move on to next week....let the others make mistakes and eliminate themselves...the best way to play this kind of pool is to play the smart play...do not take risks with the likes of Dallas and other weak teams when you don't have to(yet)....later in the pool, if you can and probably will avoid an upset, the # of players will be small and then and only then should you really have to start to cap your games...for now just keep it simple and play the more obvious play(s)... if you go down you go down.....I personally would rather get eliminated due to an upset, the by playing a risky pick before I was forced to....I'm still alive in mine ... I like the NYJ...this week...Zona, SD, and N.O....are risky and not too wise of a decision IMO.......as far as maybe trying to play a weaker team that will probably have success,...( because you want to save your guns for later)..... Rams.....but then again ...you don't want to save all you big guns for late in the season because you may get caught having to play them when they begin to sit player for the playoffs...not a good situation to be in...anyway..

Sincerely, GL

Slo~
 
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Posted: #90
great picks!!

i like them all.

maybe Duke is a little scary, but i like everything else...

if you just want a place for a some good beers (i think they have 800 different ones!!) then try the Brickskellar.
 
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Posted: #91
5.5 or 5 favorites in the NFL are automatic fade material.

that -6.5 opener in the Oregon/USC game really sticks out to me.

USC should cover or win easily.

good luck RJ
 
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Posted: #92
is a "sizzle"
 
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Posted: #93
Quote Originally Posted by sparty444:

Thats the best explanation you can come up with?

When you actually start playing with real money let us know... because its quite evident you don't

 

This dude absolutely KILLS me! Oh the HATERS in this world...that we could live without

 BOL this week RJ...as always..enjoy the thread and the drama in it 

 
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Posted: #94

Quote Originally Posted by slomotion:




Bud...your in a survivor pool....you want to survive right?...take NYJ....move on to next week....let the others make mistakes and eliminate themselves...the best way to play this kind of pool is to play the smart play...do not take risks with the likes of Dallas and other weak teams when you don't have to(yet)....later in the pool, if you can and probably will avoid an upset, the # of players will be small and then and only then should you really have to start to cap your games...for now just keep it simple and play the more obvious play(s)... if you go down you go down.....I personally would rather get eliminated due to an upset, the by playing a risky pick before I was forced to....I'm still alive in mine ... I like the NYJ...this week...Zona, SD, and N.O....are risky and not too wise of a decision IMO.......as far as maybe trying to play a weaker team that will probably have success,...( because you want to save your guns for later)..... Rams.....but then again ...you don't want to save all you big guns for late in the season because you may get caught having to play them when they begin to sit player for the playoffs...not a good situation to be in...anyway..

Sincerely, GL

Slo~

Appreciate the advice and I've been an advocate of this myself all season.  I just don't think Dallas is that big of a stretch.   It is a better situation than Jets beating the Packers. Sometimes what you think is a "safe play" is not.  Several people got caught last week with this kind of thinking (New Orleans and Denver both big favorites).  I took KC who was also a big favorite but had a good situaiton.  This week I don't have any teams I can take who are in a good situation. 

I might get burned but I'd rather get burned playing a good situation rather than backing a public favorite for no good reason. 

 
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Posted: #95
love the indiana and air force plays GL
 
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Posted: #96
strong gl bgk
 
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Posted: #97
gl rj
 
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Posted: #98
I'm sure the same people questioning all these plays are the same knuckleheads that were questioning South Carolina, Kentucky, Wisconsin, Missouri, etc. Did anyone bring up those games after the fact? No.. of course not
 
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Posted: #99
Love the plays.
Sent u a friends request
 
 
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Posted: #100
love the plays
sent u a friends request
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