Let's get some discussion going on the Division/Conf Bets as well as the RS Win Totals..
Using 5dimes as guideline as my book doesn't have these out yet, but here's what I'm looking at:
Baylor Under 9.5 +110 Truly great year last year, but struggled towards the end of the season and the biggest part of their success was the improvement on D (top 40 LY).. replacing 7 starters on D + 7 starters on O and while Petty and the O should put up points.. I'm concerned their D will cost them a game or two. OOC schedule is easy, but @ISU, @Texas, @OU will be tough
TCU Over 6.5 -160 Most of the D is back, including Devonte Fields and that should help the Frogs as they replace most of their offense (not their their O was that good to begin with). I really like the schedule too.. 7 wins: Samford, @SMU, Okie St, TT, @KU, ISU and then one of Minnesota at home, OU, @Baylor, @WVU, KSU or @Texas seems probably..
Indiana Over 5.5 +110 Think Wilson finally gets them to a bowl game.. lot depends on @BG the 3rd week of the season.. O should be lethal, and D returns almost everyone, even though the D sucked, they should be a bit better.. Indiana St, BG, Maryland, North Texas, Purdue and then one of MSU, PSU, @Rutgers, @Missouri would cash this..
Northwestern Over 6.5 -115 Unluckiest team last year.. lost games in multiple manners- hail mary, last second FG, OT, OT + had huge injuries.. Returns 16 starters- remember, this team was borderline top 25 going into last season.. schedule also isn't had.. Cal, UNI, WIU, Purdue, Illinois and then just needs 2 from: @PSU, Wisky, @Minny, Neb, @Iowa, UM, @ND.. think they could be very improved from last year
Wisky Under 9.5 +110 Think this is a rebuilding year for the Badgers.. Only 8 total starters return, include 3 on D (lose entire front 7) and they have LSU in week 1.. lose that, and, while their schedule is easy, I can find two losses here- @NW, @Iowa, Neb
Mississippi St Over 7.5 -110 16 total starters (8/8) and a pretty easy schedule.. Will start 3-0 and A&M, @UK, Arkansas, Ten-Martin, Vandy get them to 8 wins and that doesn't include @Ole Miss or Auburn at home..
Let's get some discussion going on the Division/Conf Bets as well as the RS Win Totals..
Using 5dimes as guideline as my book doesn't have these out yet, but here's what I'm looking at:
Baylor Under 9.5 +110 Truly great year last year, but struggled towards the end of the season and the biggest part of their success was the improvement on D (top 40 LY).. replacing 7 starters on D + 7 starters on O and while Petty and the O should put up points.. I'm concerned their D will cost them a game or two. OOC schedule is easy, but @ISU, @Texas, @OU will be tough
TCU Over 6.5 -160 Most of the D is back, including Devonte Fields and that should help the Frogs as they replace most of their offense (not their their O was that good to begin with). I really like the schedule too.. 7 wins: Samford, @SMU, Okie St, TT, @KU, ISU and then one of Minnesota at home, OU, @Baylor, @WVU, KSU or @Texas seems probably..
Indiana Over 5.5 +110 Think Wilson finally gets them to a bowl game.. lot depends on @BG the 3rd week of the season.. O should be lethal, and D returns almost everyone, even though the D sucked, they should be a bit better.. Indiana St, BG, Maryland, North Texas, Purdue and then one of MSU, PSU, @Rutgers, @Missouri would cash this..
Northwestern Over 6.5 -115 Unluckiest team last year.. lost games in multiple manners- hail mary, last second FG, OT, OT + had huge injuries.. Returns 16 starters- remember, this team was borderline top 25 going into last season.. schedule also isn't had.. Cal, UNI, WIU, Purdue, Illinois and then just needs 2 from: @PSU, Wisky, @Minny, Neb, @Iowa, UM, @ND.. think they could be very improved from last year
Wisky Under 9.5 +110 Think this is a rebuilding year for the Badgers.. Only 8 total starters return, include 3 on D (lose entire front 7) and they have LSU in week 1.. lose that, and, while their schedule is easy, I can find two losses here- @NW, @Iowa, Neb
Mississippi St Over 7.5 -110 16 total starters (8/8) and a pretty easy schedule.. Will start 3-0 and A&M, @UK, Arkansas, Ten-Martin, Vandy get them to 8 wins and that doesn't include @Ole Miss or Auburn at home..
After a couple run-throughs I narrowed my list to 31 teams. I've spent the past 48 hours going over that list in detail, and then assigning a rating between 1 and 10 to each play. This helps me gauge how much strongly I feel about plays in reference to others. Below is some analysis beginning with the ones I am most confident in. Would be happy to hear any feedback, positive or negative, that people have on these leans. Hopefully we can all make a little money.
After a couple run-throughs I narrowed my list to 31 teams. I've spent the past 48 hours going over that list in detail, and then assigning a rating between 1 and 10 to each play. This helps me gauge how much strongly I feel about plays in reference to others. Below is some analysis beginning with the ones I am most confident in. Would be happy to hear any feedback, positive or negative, that people have on these leans. Hopefully we can all make a little money.
Included for each of these is the 5 dimes line as of July 8th.
Tennessee under 5.5 -115 The schedule is brutal. I need 7 losses and I see 6 coming at the hands of @Oklahoma, @Georgia, Florida, @Ole Miss, Alabama, and @South Carolina. Additionally I see 3 games they very well could lose: Utah State who I'm very high on this year, Missouri, and a road trip finale @Vanderbilt. They could legitimately go 3-9
Worst-case if they have 5 wins going into the Vanderbilt game I could always hedge, as I expect this game to be near a pick em.
Included for each of these is the 5 dimes line as of July 8th.
Tennessee under 5.5 -115 The schedule is brutal. I need 7 losses and I see 6 coming at the hands of @Oklahoma, @Georgia, Florida, @Ole Miss, Alabama, and @South Carolina. Additionally I see 3 games they very well could lose: Utah State who I'm very high on this year, Missouri, and a road trip finale @Vanderbilt. They could legitimately go 3-9
Worst-case if they have 5 wins going into the Vanderbilt game I could always hedge, as I expect this game to be near a pick em.
Michigan. I like them more than the public does. LB jake ryan who was hurt last year is the best player and leader on D. He'll add a lot of structure to the D. The qb is such a wild card though, on a good day he's a Heisman candidate, on a bad day he doesn't even belong on the field. Try to get a read on Gardner. I'm optimistic, but will bail out real quick if he doesn't show more consistency
Michigan. I like them more than the public does. LB jake ryan who was hurt last year is the best player and leader on D. He'll add a lot of structure to the D. The qb is such a wild card though, on a good day he's a Heisman candidate, on a bad day he doesn't even belong on the field. Try to get a read on Gardner. I'm optimistic, but will bail out real quick if he doesn't show more consistency
I really like that Wisky Under combined with the Iowa Over
Usually don't love to bet on multiple teams in the same division, but I really think Wisky loses a couple they shouldn't this year.. 9.5 at +$$ is very nice IMO
I'll be throwing some on Iowa to win the B1G West as well.. hoping for +350 or more
I really like that Wisky Under combined with the Iowa Over
Usually don't love to bet on multiple teams in the same division, but I really think Wisky loses a couple they shouldn't this year.. 9.5 at +$$ is very nice IMO
I'll be throwing some on Iowa to win the B1G West as well.. hoping for +350 or more
Michigan. I like them more than the public does. LB jake ryan who was hurt last year is the best player and leader on D. He'll add a lot of structure to the D. The qb is such a wild card though, on a good day he's a Heisman candidate, on a bad day he doesn't even belong on the field. Try to get a read on Gardner. I'm optimistic, but will bail out real quick if he doesn't show more consistency
UM's schedule is also kind to hit 7.5.. @ND, @MSU, @OSU is brutal, but toughest outside that is @NW or PSU at home.. no Wisky, Iowa, Neb from the B1G West
Michigan. I like them more than the public does. LB jake ryan who was hurt last year is the best player and leader on D. He'll add a lot of structure to the D. The qb is such a wild card though, on a good day he's a Heisman candidate, on a bad day he doesn't even belong on the field. Try to get a read on Gardner. I'm optimistic, but will bail out real quick if he doesn't show more consistency
UM's schedule is also kind to hit 7.5.. @ND, @MSU, @OSU is brutal, but toughest outside that is @NW or PSU at home.. no Wisky, Iowa, Neb from the B1G West
So then only need one of @SCe, @UF, UGA, @A&M, @Tenn
They lose a ton, but 8-4 seems likely, no?
I would take the U7.5 for +$ if anything. IU, Vandy, UK and Arky....Mizzou will lose at least 1 of those games. I also dont think they will be winning any of the road games from the 2nd list (A&M possible), and they are gonna get destroyed by UGA imo. Mizzou lost a lot on defense (Sam, Ealy and Gaines) as well as Franklin, Josey and DGB on offense. maty Mauck is a stud, but I just dont know if he has the pieces around him.
To make matters worse, they went in their 1st year and put a huge bullseye on their own back. I think A&M and Mizzou are gonna have some tough sledding, as they are "rebuilding", while the rest of the SEC is lookin like they will be improved. I think 6-6 is about right and 7-5 is the best case scenario imo.
So then only need one of @SCe, @UF, UGA, @A&M, @Tenn
They lose a ton, but 8-4 seems likely, no?
I would take the U7.5 for +$ if anything. IU, Vandy, UK and Arky....Mizzou will lose at least 1 of those games. I also dont think they will be winning any of the road games from the 2nd list (A&M possible), and they are gonna get destroyed by UGA imo. Mizzou lost a lot on defense (Sam, Ealy and Gaines) as well as Franklin, Josey and DGB on offense. maty Mauck is a stud, but I just dont know if he has the pieces around him.
To make matters worse, they went in their 1st year and put a huge bullseye on their own back. I think A&M and Mizzou are gonna have some tough sledding, as they are "rebuilding", while the rest of the SEC is lookin like they will be improved. I think 6-6 is about right and 7-5 is the best case scenario imo.
Went to Vegas earlier in this week and made some plays. Intended to make more but Cantor sucks. Below is an email I sent to them explaining my experience:
I'm emailing to inform you of my experience at the Cantor sportsbook at the Hard Rock Hotel in Las Vegas. I flew from Dallas to Las Vegas specifically to place bets on college football season win totals as I knew Cantor had released lines.
I arrived at the Hard Rock the night of Monday, July 14th. Since the book was closed I grabbed sheets so I could study them that night and place bets in the morning. The sheets were dated July 8th and I am aware that lines can move. The morning of Tuesday, July 15th I went back to the book and asked for new sheets for college football season win totals. I was told the ones dated July 8th were the most current available. The Cantor employee (I'm guessing he was the supervisor, white guy, shaved head, and had a different colored shirt than the ticket writers) said if I had a couple teams I wanted to check I could ask the ticket writer. The problem was I wanted the lines for every team listed. Nevertheless I asked the ticket writer the lines on a couple teams. The first three teams I asked had each moved a half game from what was listed on the sheet. At this point I was frustrated because none of the lines matched what the sheet said. I mentioned this to the supervisor and asked him if there was anything he could do to get me accurate lines. He simply said "no". I asked if they could print me a new sheet, and he said "no we are not able to do that". He said they only bring him new sheets on Wednesdays. I asked if the ticket writer could use my cell phone to take a picture of their computer screen that has all the lines. They said they can't do that either.
I went back to the book later that day and got lines for about 30 teams from the ticket writer. I would tell her the team, she would pull it up on the computer, and she would relay to me "Nebraska, 7.5 wins, over -140, under +120". I had to write each one down by hand like we were in the 1960s. I believe there were a total of 69 college teams that had season win totals listed. Unfortunately I was only able to obtain lines for about half of the teams because my only option was to write the lines down by hand. Every other sportsbook in Vegas will print customers a new copy of the current lines. Even older books like South Point and Palace Station have done this for me.
Sorry for the rant, but I wanted to provide the details of this frustrating experience. In summary...
1. Why does Cantor, who is supposed to be the most technologically advanced sportsbook, not have the ability to print lines for customers?
2. Two of the ticket writers I spoke with at Hard Rock were helpful and friendly - a female working July 15 provided me with lines for about 30 teams, and a male working July 16 gave me lines for 10 teams.
However, the supervisor was unfriendly, unhelpful, and slightly arrogant. He usually sat off to the side surfing the internet, and was too lazy to even get out of his chair to talk to me. He failed to provide alternatives on how I could more easily obtain the lines, and his only response was "they usually bring new sheets on Wednesday". When I left Wednesday afternoon new sheets had not yet arrived.
3. Another older employee, possibly a ticket writer, was unfriendly as well. After I placed 2 bets of $500 each I was trying to obtain current lines on a couple teams. As I was writing down the lines the younger ticket writer was giving me, the older ticket writer walks over, interrupts us, points to a guy standing in line behind me, and tells me "he's gonna have to take bets from the guy behind you before he keeps giving you lines". I thought this was a rude comment to make considering I had just made over $1000 in bets and was preparing to risk a couple thousand dollars more.
4. I was impressed that Cantor had college football lines available for so many teams and was looking forward to placing a number of bets. Unfortunately the logistics of the operation made it impossible to get accurate lines efficiently.
5. To be clear I am NOT complaining about the lines changing, I understand how that works. I am complaining that the sheets were nearly a week old and I was not provided any options to obtain current lines, other than write each one down by hand.
Overall this was a frustrating experience, especially considering I made a trip from Texas to try and make these bets.
Went to Vegas earlier in this week and made some plays. Intended to make more but Cantor sucks. Below is an email I sent to them explaining my experience:
I'm emailing to inform you of my experience at the Cantor sportsbook at the Hard Rock Hotel in Las Vegas. I flew from Dallas to Las Vegas specifically to place bets on college football season win totals as I knew Cantor had released lines.
I arrived at the Hard Rock the night of Monday, July 14th. Since the book was closed I grabbed sheets so I could study them that night and place bets in the morning. The sheets were dated July 8th and I am aware that lines can move. The morning of Tuesday, July 15th I went back to the book and asked for new sheets for college football season win totals. I was told the ones dated July 8th were the most current available. The Cantor employee (I'm guessing he was the supervisor, white guy, shaved head, and had a different colored shirt than the ticket writers) said if I had a couple teams I wanted to check I could ask the ticket writer. The problem was I wanted the lines for every team listed. Nevertheless I asked the ticket writer the lines on a couple teams. The first three teams I asked had each moved a half game from what was listed on the sheet. At this point I was frustrated because none of the lines matched what the sheet said. I mentioned this to the supervisor and asked him if there was anything he could do to get me accurate lines. He simply said "no". I asked if they could print me a new sheet, and he said "no we are not able to do that". He said they only bring him new sheets on Wednesdays. I asked if the ticket writer could use my cell phone to take a picture of their computer screen that has all the lines. They said they can't do that either.
I went back to the book later that day and got lines for about 30 teams from the ticket writer. I would tell her the team, she would pull it up on the computer, and she would relay to me "Nebraska, 7.5 wins, over -140, under +120". I had to write each one down by hand like we were in the 1960s. I believe there were a total of 69 college teams that had season win totals listed. Unfortunately I was only able to obtain lines for about half of the teams because my only option was to write the lines down by hand. Every other sportsbook in Vegas will print customers a new copy of the current lines. Even older books like South Point and Palace Station have done this for me.
Sorry for the rant, but I wanted to provide the details of this frustrating experience. In summary...
1. Why does Cantor, who is supposed to be the most technologically advanced sportsbook, not have the ability to print lines for customers?
2. Two of the ticket writers I spoke with at Hard Rock were helpful and friendly - a female working July 15 provided me with lines for about 30 teams, and a male working July 16 gave me lines for 10 teams.
However, the supervisor was unfriendly, unhelpful, and slightly arrogant. He usually sat off to the side surfing the internet, and was too lazy to even get out of his chair to talk to me. He failed to provide alternatives on how I could more easily obtain the lines, and his only response was "they usually bring new sheets on Wednesday". When I left Wednesday afternoon new sheets had not yet arrived.
3. Another older employee, possibly a ticket writer, was unfriendly as well. After I placed 2 bets of $500 each I was trying to obtain current lines on a couple teams. As I was writing down the lines the younger ticket writer was giving me, the older ticket writer walks over, interrupts us, points to a guy standing in line behind me, and tells me "he's gonna have to take bets from the guy behind you before he keeps giving you lines". I thought this was a rude comment to make considering I had just made over $1000 in bets and was preparing to risk a couple thousand dollars more.
4. I was impressed that Cantor had college football lines available for so many teams and was looking forward to placing a number of bets. Unfortunately the logistics of the operation made it impossible to get accurate lines efficiently.
5. To be clear I am NOT complaining about the lines changing, I understand how that works. I am complaining that the sheets were nearly a week old and I was not provided any options to obtain current lines, other than write each one down by hand.
Overall this was a frustrating experience, especially considering I made a trip from Texas to try and make these bets.
I flew out to Vegas july 1st to make college season win bets at Cantor (at Venetian and Palms) and had no problems. Luckily all the lines were still the same as being reported by bettingmoves.com. Looks like you went after LVH released their lines on 7/13, so some big movers.
I actually played Northwestern over 6, and UNC over 7, both have moved 1.5 games.
I'll probably go out next year when CTG releases theirs again. (which is after 5dimes usually).
What did you play at CTG? Did you look at the LVH lines to compare?
I flew out to Vegas july 1st to make college season win bets at Cantor (at Venetian and Palms) and had no problems. Luckily all the lines were still the same as being reported by bettingmoves.com. Looks like you went after LVH released their lines on 7/13, so some big movers.
I actually played Northwestern over 6, and UNC over 7, both have moved 1.5 games.
I'll probably go out next year when CTG releases theirs again. (which is after 5dimes usually).
What did you play at CTG? Did you look at the LVH lines to compare?
2014 NCAAF RSW Minnesota under 6.5 wins, 525 to win 500 (offshore) TCU over 6.5 wins, 720 to win 400 (offshore) Tennessee under 6 wins, 600 to win 400 (offshore) Auburn under 9.5 wins, 780 to win 600 (Vegas)
Florida State under 11 wins, 400 to win 1080 (Vegas) Florida State over 11 wins, 663 to win 466 (offshore) Equates to a risk free bet on the under
Texas under 8 wins, 700 to win 500 (Vegas) Texas over 7 wins, 660 to win 400 (offshore) Good chance they go 7-5 or 8-4, love this play
NCAA Futures Northwestern to win Big 10 West division, 30 to win 600 TCU to win Big 12, 30 to win 450 MSU to win Big 10 East division 100 to win 260 (wanted to go more since I think you can hedge on the Ohio State game, but 100 was max at this offshore book)
Heisman Plays Marcus Mariotta 200 to win 1400 Melvin Gordon 40 to win 1080 Nick Marshall 40 to win 1200 Hutson Mason 15 to win 2250
NFL Plays Patriots under 11, 1050 to win 1000 (Vegas) Titans under 7, 500 to win 575 (Vegas) Cowboys under 8, 850 to win 500 (offshore) NY Giants to win NFC East, 300 to win 840 (Vegas)
2014 NCAAF RSW Minnesota under 6.5 wins, 525 to win 500 (offshore) TCU over 6.5 wins, 720 to win 400 (offshore) Tennessee under 6 wins, 600 to win 400 (offshore) Auburn under 9.5 wins, 780 to win 600 (Vegas)
Florida State under 11 wins, 400 to win 1080 (Vegas) Florida State over 11 wins, 663 to win 466 (offshore) Equates to a risk free bet on the under
Texas under 8 wins, 700 to win 500 (Vegas) Texas over 7 wins, 660 to win 400 (offshore) Good chance they go 7-5 or 8-4, love this play
NCAA Futures Northwestern to win Big 10 West division, 30 to win 600 TCU to win Big 12, 30 to win 450 MSU to win Big 10 East division 100 to win 260 (wanted to go more since I think you can hedge on the Ohio State game, but 100 was max at this offshore book)
Heisman Plays Marcus Mariotta 200 to win 1400 Melvin Gordon 40 to win 1080 Nick Marshall 40 to win 1200 Hutson Mason 15 to win 2250
NFL Plays Patriots under 11, 1050 to win 1000 (Vegas) Titans under 7, 500 to win 575 (Vegas) Cowboys under 8, 850 to win 500 (offshore) NY Giants to win NFC East, 300 to win 840 (Vegas)
I flew out to Vegas july 1st to make college season win bets at Cantor (at Venetian and Palms) and had no problems. Luckily all the lines were still the same as being reported by bettingmoves.com. Looks like you went after LVH released their lines on 7/13, so some big movers.
I actually played Northwestern over 6, and UNC over 7, both have moved 1.5 games.
I'll probably go out next year when CTG releases theirs again. (which is after 5dimes usually).
What did you play at CTG? Did you look at the LVH lines to compare?
Hey ArbyMelt,
Great plays on UNC and NW! Yes, I compared lines at both. I think I was a day late as LVH released Sunday and I arrived Monday night. As you mentioned, I think this was the problem with Cantor's lines changing so much. It was frustrating. I may try and go in a couple weeks as William Hill and Stations are both supposed to be releasing NCAA RSW in a week or so. Found some good lines at Stations last year. They were the only book with UNC and had it at 9.5. I put as much as I could on the under and it was a winner after week 5. Good luck to you this year.
I flew out to Vegas july 1st to make college season win bets at Cantor (at Venetian and Palms) and had no problems. Luckily all the lines were still the same as being reported by bettingmoves.com. Looks like you went after LVH released their lines on 7/13, so some big movers.
I actually played Northwestern over 6, and UNC over 7, both have moved 1.5 games.
I'll probably go out next year when CTG releases theirs again. (which is after 5dimes usually).
What did you play at CTG? Did you look at the LVH lines to compare?
Hey ArbyMelt,
Great plays on UNC and NW! Yes, I compared lines at both. I think I was a day late as LVH released Sunday and I arrived Monday night. As you mentioned, I think this was the problem with Cantor's lines changing so much. It was frustrating. I may try and go in a couple weeks as William Hill and Stations are both supposed to be releasing NCAA RSW in a week or so. Found some good lines at Stations last year. They were the only book with UNC and had it at 9.5. I put as much as I could on the under and it was a winner after week 5. Good luck to you this year.
K 9 7 - if u got an unlimited bankroll, go nuts. But tying up a couple grand on coordinated bets that likely chop? I think that 2500 could be better served week to week
K 9 7 - if u got an unlimited bankroll, go nuts. But tying up a couple grand on coordinated bets that likely chop? I think that 2500 could be better served week to week
getoffmyface, thanks for the input. I definitely do not have an unlimited bankroll. The problem with week-to-week betting is that I've learned I'm not very good at it. My take is anything can happen in one game but over the course of a season things tend to even out, and there's less volatility. I'm trying to be more disciplined and get away from betting a lot of games each week.
If I can risk say $10K on futures and cash in for $14K at the end of the season that's a 40% return on my money,... in only 4-5 months. To my knowledge there are no other investments that offer this type of return.
I also prefer the futures b/c of the ability to hedge and reduce risk throughout the season.
getoffmyface, thanks for the input. I definitely do not have an unlimited bankroll. The problem with week-to-week betting is that I've learned I'm not very good at it. My take is anything can happen in one game but over the course of a season things tend to even out, and there's less volatility. I'm trying to be more disciplined and get away from betting a lot of games each week.
If I can risk say $10K on futures and cash in for $14K at the end of the season that's a 40% return on my money,... in only 4-5 months. To my knowledge there are no other investments that offer this type of return.
I also prefer the futures b/c of the ability to hedge and reduce risk throughout the season.
I hear ya on the discipline. Very easy to lose ur mind day to day in this business. Making bets with confidence and a clear head is mandatory. I'm a big futures player too, but a lot less risk up front. I prefer the real big prices and hedge.
I hear ya on the discipline. Very easy to lose ur mind day to day in this business. Making bets with confidence and a clear head is mandatory. I'm a big futures player too, but a lot less risk up front. I prefer the real big prices and hedge.
"Tennessee under 5.5 -115 The schedule is brutal. I need 7 losses and I see 6 coming at the hands of @Oklahoma, @Georgia, Florida, @Ole Miss, Alabama, and @South Carolina. Additionally I see 3 games they very well could lose: Utah State who I'm very high on this year, Missouri, and a road trip finale @Vanderbilt. They could legitimately go 3-9
Worst-case if they have 5 wins going into the Vanderbilt game I could always hedge, as I expect this game to be near a pick em."
Love this play. My book does not a win total posted yet. I was shocked to see 5.5. I love the play for everything you said but you left out a very important detail: UT is replacing their interior D line. AND the interior O line!
"Tennessee under 5.5 -115 The schedule is brutal. I need 7 losses and I see 6 coming at the hands of @Oklahoma, @Georgia, Florida, @Ole Miss, Alabama, and @South Carolina. Additionally I see 3 games they very well could lose: Utah State who I'm very high on this year, Missouri, and a road trip finale @Vanderbilt. They could legitimately go 3-9
Worst-case if they have 5 wins going into the Vanderbilt game I could always hedge, as I expect this game to be near a pick em."
Love this play. My book does not a win total posted yet. I was shocked to see 5.5. I love the play for everything you said but you left out a very important detail: UT is replacing their interior D line. AND the interior O line!
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