The curve is going to flatten & restrictions are going to be lifted on a state to state basis in my opinion. What we're doing with social distancing is clearly working, and projections are being crushed at the facility I'm employed by. We've cancelled plans for converting clinics to extra ER space, and have also plans to open surge hospitals for the influx of patients that were just a few weeks ago expected to over run our normal capacity.
SARS and MERS are coronaviruses that we've dealt with in 2003 and 2012, so while this new strain is more widespread it's not a challenge we haven't met and beaten in the past. You can point fingers as to why we're in the position we are now, but that's not going to do you any good. Did China try to hide it? Did the WHO try to protect China? Who knows, conspiracy galore. Did the left ride the racism card too far when Trump locked down travel early on (not early enough unfortunately). Did Trump downplay it to a fault early on? Could be a little of all of that, but it's all useless blame at this point in time.
With this coronavirus we're going to continue to learn and adapt as more information comes out. How will it respond to hot, humid summer weather? Typically viruses don't like heat, but will it return in the fall and spread like wildfire again? One thing I know for sure is human behavior is going to change regardless of government guidelines. Most people will want to continue to distance in May/June, wear masks, etc out of fear.
But man we are talking about a sport/classes 5 months from now, our response to this virus is going to be completely different by then in terms of screening, testing capabilities, therapies, and possibly even a limited vaccine by fall of 2020. To give you perspective of the advancements we made in testing... A family member of mine was tested March 19 and the result took 5-6 days, by the time I showed symptoms and needed a test on April 2 the result took 3 hours. That's an unbelievable change in less than 2 weeks time. Companies are racing to produce testing mechanisms that spit out results in 10-15 minutes, do you have any idea what that does for containment efforts and ability to isolate sick individuals, and effectively squash this virus completely? Check out the containment of SARS for reference, no vaccine and the strain is gone in 8 months time. MERS is still floating around, but no vaccine, just very tight containment and you have probably never heard of that one before (it's fatality rate is significantly higher than covid-19 for documented cases.) The difference with this one is so many people were spreading asymptomatically, and Wuhan being a major commerce hub people were all over the world before anyone showed symptoms after infection. Cat was out of the bag before anybody really knew the extent.