GUYS, we are 4 days away from college football: I am so very excited. I will be posting my plays in this new thread to consolidate the other thread, and will look forward to valuable input from anyone who is interested. BOL this year guys.
Regular Season Wins LOCKED IN
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Utep UNDER 4.5 (-130) MONSTER PLAY (3 UNITS) Idaho UNDER 4.5 (-170) Army UNDER 5.5 (-110) Ohio UNDER 9.5 (+130) UNLV UNDER 4.5 (-195) Duke OVER 3.5 (-190)
WEEK 1 CARD
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Marshall +22 (-120) Washington St +13 UCF -21 Texas A&M vs La Tech Over 60 Oklahoma -30 ARK ST vs OREGON OVER 65 MONSTER PLAY 3 UNITS SMU +13 USC -39 North Texas +45.5 San Jose St +26
3 Team ML Parlay (NOT FOR OR AGAINST THE SEASON RECORD) Washington state +400 SMU +310 Western Michigan +290
GUYS, we are 4 days away from college football: I am so very excited. I will be posting my plays in this new thread to consolidate the other thread, and will look forward to valuable input from anyone who is interested. BOL this year guys.
Regular Season Wins LOCKED IN
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Utep UNDER 4.5 (-130) MONSTER PLAY (3 UNITS) Idaho UNDER 4.5 (-170) Army UNDER 5.5 (-110) Ohio UNDER 9.5 (+130) UNLV UNDER 4.5 (-195) Duke OVER 3.5 (-190)
WEEK 1 CARD
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Marshall +22 (-120) Washington St +13 UCF -21 Texas A&M vs La Tech Over 60 Oklahoma -30 ARK ST vs OREGON OVER 65 MONSTER PLAY 3 UNITS SMU +13 USC -39 North Texas +45.5 San Jose St +26
3 Team ML Parlay (NOT FOR OR AGAINST THE SEASON RECORD) Washington state +400 SMU +310 Western Michigan +290
SMU @ Baylor Line: 11 (I have 13) Total: 60 Date/Time: Sunday, Sept 2nd, 530pm -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SMU: 3 starters return on offense, 7 on defense SMU
is replacing QB's Kyle Padron and JJ Mcdermott. They elect to line up
in the spread offense and use the run and shoot passing scheme which
isolates Linebackers and allows for Receivers to choose what route they
want to run after the play has started (usually they have 2 or 3 route
options Ex. IN, OUT, Hitch) they are probably going to start Garrett
Gilbert, who started 14 games at Texas before quickly realizing that he
was a little out of his league. thier backup will be stephen kaiser who
has 1 pass attempt in garbage time.
SMU returns RB Zach Line who
is extremely physical at 6-1 230 lbs. Line averaged 5.9 a carry LY
running for 1224 and 17 TDs out of the spread set. also they will spell
line with rishard wimbly who avg. 4.4 ypc LY. they might have the best
backfield in CUSA.
the receiving corp for SMU is going to have
similar sucess to LY, due to the return of Darius Johnson 79 catches,
1118 and 8 scores. he is very fast and a very legit deep threat. Derrick
Thompson has plenty of experience as he grabbed 30 balls LY for 441 and
3 scores. the other 3 guys have 30 catches between them, but they
should step up and the passing numbers will be just fine.
SMU
only returns 1 on the OL (only 34 career starts return (weak)). although
only 1 started last year, others have starting experience and blake
mcjungen was granted a 5th year. SMU's season will ride on the
continuity of the offensive line, which has 4 guys at 300 lbs. pressure
should not be an issue as the majority of SMU's passes are 3 step throws
(no drop out of the shotgun) and the ball is released quickly.
smu returns a JR kicker in chase hover (8/10; 38/40 xp)
SMU
is inexperienced on the DL as just one starter returns from LY (margus
hunt) BUT all three starters on the DL are seniors with game reps under
thier belt.
the LB unit is the most experienced they have had in
recent history, with 3 seniors starting and 6 upper classmen in the 2
deep.
the secondary is very inexperienced as far as starts go,
but 3 are seniors and they should fill in nicely and continue the
success of LY (222 pass ypg,) Daniel roundtree is a very physical free
safety and the corners (cover) should be put in good situations if the
DL and LB's get pressure on the QB as expected.
SMU is movingMike Loftus to punter after he handled kickoffs ly, 13/62 TB's) overall 5 of the top 6 tacklers are back and should have a solid defensive season once again
SMU has stephen F Austin (weak D-1aa team) after baylor
BAYLOR Baylor returns 6 starters on offense and 8 on D Baylor
runs the spread, zone running scheme that requires sound QB decision
making and 0 hesitance in making the read. they also use a combination
of play action pass, spring out, and vertical stretch passing. Baylor
is looking to replace 98% of its total passing yards after the
Departure of Robert Griffin #3. they are filling the yield with Nick
Florence who was 9/12 with 2 tds and 0 picks LY in garbage time.
florence has sat behind RG3 for 3 years waiting for his chance to shine
or shit the bed, and either way he will have a fair shot at both.
Baylor
is looking to replace 79% of its rushing offense from last year with
RG3 leaving along with Terrance Gannoway. they look to Lache Seastrunk
(no logged stats LY) and 2nd stringer Jarred Salubi (very fast) to fill
the void.
Baylor does return 4 of their 5 top pass catchers from
LY including Terrance WIlliams (59/957/11) Tevin Reese (51/877/7) and
Laneer Sampson (42/572/3) so the receivers are in place to have a
sucessful passing season, QB willing.
Baylor returns 3 on the
offensive line (77 career starts) but the two they lost were very good
(C and RG, both 1st Team All B12) the offensive line is very big and
physical and the entire 2-deep is 285+ (7/10 over 300) HOW WILL THE LEFT
TACKLE HOLD UP? the projected starter has never played a snap in
college.
Baylors Defensive line is less experienced with the
loss of DT Jean baptise and will replace with Sr. Nick Johnson who saw
an average number of snaps LY. the rest of the DL will be a work in
progress and their numbers should still be as bad as LY (197 Rush ypg, 5.2 ypc!!)
the LB corp is very good with 5 of their top 6 back including Ahmad Dixon (56 tackles, 3 fumble recoveries)
in
the secondary they return 2 studs in Sam Holl and Mike Hicks. also the
return of chance casey should help improve on LY's 63% completion
percentage and 297 pass YPG given up.
baylor returns spencer roth at punter who avg'd 40.5 ypp and had 6/29 inside the 20.
overall
baylor was woeful on defense. they gave up 48(TCU) 31 (Rice) 36(kstate)
55 (A&M) 59 (OKST) 39 (Missori) 30 (Kansas) 38 (oklahoma) 42 (Texas
Tech) 56 (Washington)
they are so bad on defense and Must improve or this team will not make a bowl game IMO.
my
take on this game is that we have two teams that seem to be mirror
images of eachother as to what they stress importance on. these teams
like offense. SMU is very efficient on offense and baylor loves the Big
play. Both QB's are going to have to play well in this game, as the
defenses might not provide much help. the game is in waco which is an
advantage to Baylor, but im not sure that SMu will be that rattled.
Baylor is 9-0 vs SMU lifetime but the last game was a 28-23 win in 2005
(irrelevant) i think 13 is way too many points here, as i think the
team with the ball last will have the best chance to win. 38-31 someone
wins. really like SMU +13, would play 11 like the over at 60
SMU @ Baylor Line: 11 (I have 13) Total: 60 Date/Time: Sunday, Sept 2nd, 530pm -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SMU: 3 starters return on offense, 7 on defense SMU
is replacing QB's Kyle Padron and JJ Mcdermott. They elect to line up
in the spread offense and use the run and shoot passing scheme which
isolates Linebackers and allows for Receivers to choose what route they
want to run after the play has started (usually they have 2 or 3 route
options Ex. IN, OUT, Hitch) they are probably going to start Garrett
Gilbert, who started 14 games at Texas before quickly realizing that he
was a little out of his league. thier backup will be stephen kaiser who
has 1 pass attempt in garbage time.
SMU returns RB Zach Line who
is extremely physical at 6-1 230 lbs. Line averaged 5.9 a carry LY
running for 1224 and 17 TDs out of the spread set. also they will spell
line with rishard wimbly who avg. 4.4 ypc LY. they might have the best
backfield in CUSA.
the receiving corp for SMU is going to have
similar sucess to LY, due to the return of Darius Johnson 79 catches,
1118 and 8 scores. he is very fast and a very legit deep threat. Derrick
Thompson has plenty of experience as he grabbed 30 balls LY for 441 and
3 scores. the other 3 guys have 30 catches between them, but they
should step up and the passing numbers will be just fine.
SMU
only returns 1 on the OL (only 34 career starts return (weak)). although
only 1 started last year, others have starting experience and blake
mcjungen was granted a 5th year. SMU's season will ride on the
continuity of the offensive line, which has 4 guys at 300 lbs. pressure
should not be an issue as the majority of SMU's passes are 3 step throws
(no drop out of the shotgun) and the ball is released quickly.
smu returns a JR kicker in chase hover (8/10; 38/40 xp)
SMU
is inexperienced on the DL as just one starter returns from LY (margus
hunt) BUT all three starters on the DL are seniors with game reps under
thier belt.
the LB unit is the most experienced they have had in
recent history, with 3 seniors starting and 6 upper classmen in the 2
deep.
the secondary is very inexperienced as far as starts go,
but 3 are seniors and they should fill in nicely and continue the
success of LY (222 pass ypg,) Daniel roundtree is a very physical free
safety and the corners (cover) should be put in good situations if the
DL and LB's get pressure on the QB as expected.
SMU is movingMike Loftus to punter after he handled kickoffs ly, 13/62 TB's) overall 5 of the top 6 tacklers are back and should have a solid defensive season once again
SMU has stephen F Austin (weak D-1aa team) after baylor
BAYLOR Baylor returns 6 starters on offense and 8 on D Baylor
runs the spread, zone running scheme that requires sound QB decision
making and 0 hesitance in making the read. they also use a combination
of play action pass, spring out, and vertical stretch passing. Baylor
is looking to replace 98% of its total passing yards after the
Departure of Robert Griffin #3. they are filling the yield with Nick
Florence who was 9/12 with 2 tds and 0 picks LY in garbage time.
florence has sat behind RG3 for 3 years waiting for his chance to shine
or shit the bed, and either way he will have a fair shot at both.
Baylor
is looking to replace 79% of its rushing offense from last year with
RG3 leaving along with Terrance Gannoway. they look to Lache Seastrunk
(no logged stats LY) and 2nd stringer Jarred Salubi (very fast) to fill
the void.
Baylor does return 4 of their 5 top pass catchers from
LY including Terrance WIlliams (59/957/11) Tevin Reese (51/877/7) and
Laneer Sampson (42/572/3) so the receivers are in place to have a
sucessful passing season, QB willing.
Baylor returns 3 on the
offensive line (77 career starts) but the two they lost were very good
(C and RG, both 1st Team All B12) the offensive line is very big and
physical and the entire 2-deep is 285+ (7/10 over 300) HOW WILL THE LEFT
TACKLE HOLD UP? the projected starter has never played a snap in
college.
Baylors Defensive line is less experienced with the
loss of DT Jean baptise and will replace with Sr. Nick Johnson who saw
an average number of snaps LY. the rest of the DL will be a work in
progress and their numbers should still be as bad as LY (197 Rush ypg, 5.2 ypc!!)
the LB corp is very good with 5 of their top 6 back including Ahmad Dixon (56 tackles, 3 fumble recoveries)
in
the secondary they return 2 studs in Sam Holl and Mike Hicks. also the
return of chance casey should help improve on LY's 63% completion
percentage and 297 pass YPG given up.
baylor returns spencer roth at punter who avg'd 40.5 ypp and had 6/29 inside the 20.
overall
baylor was woeful on defense. they gave up 48(TCU) 31 (Rice) 36(kstate)
55 (A&M) 59 (OKST) 39 (Missori) 30 (Kansas) 38 (oklahoma) 42 (Texas
Tech) 56 (Washington)
they are so bad on defense and Must improve or this team will not make a bowl game IMO.
my
take on this game is that we have two teams that seem to be mirror
images of eachother as to what they stress importance on. these teams
like offense. SMU is very efficient on offense and baylor loves the Big
play. Both QB's are going to have to play well in this game, as the
defenses might not provide much help. the game is in waco which is an
advantage to Baylor, but im not sure that SMu will be that rattled.
Baylor is 9-0 vs SMU lifetime but the last game was a 28-23 win in 2005
(irrelevant) i think 13 is way too many points here, as i think the
team with the ball last will have the best chance to win. 38-31 someone
wins. really like SMU +13, would play 11 like the over at 60
San Jose St
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
San Jose returns 6 starters on offense. they are breaking in a new QB,
but havent chosen a starter. the battle includes David Fales (juco),
dasmen Stewart (very athletic dual threat QB who is very elusive and
fast) and Blake Jurich (only a few attempts last year)
San Jose has physical RB Deloen Eskridge who transfered from the U. of
Minn. and produced very sucessful numbers in his 2 years playing for the
Goofs. (led team in rushing in 2010 and had almost 1200 career yds in
the B10.)
San jose returns a good group of WR led by Noel Grigsby who is a top
25-30 WR in college football. LY he had 89 catches for 889 and he had
882 yds in 2010 as a freshman. they also have chandler jones, jabari
carr and a stud TE in Ryan Otten. Ryan otten is an NFL Tight End at 6-5
245lbs and he is very versatile, catching passes for 750 yds LY and
contributing in the run game.
san jose returns 66 career starts on the OL (average) and are starting 3
Jrs. and 2 Srs. all with experience. while they dont have a starter
over 300 lbs on the OL, this group is quick and should allow for plenty
of big running plays around the outside. they are also very good in the
screen game.
San jose returns a Jr. Kicker, who was the supplementary kicker last
year going 2/5 on FGs but had a net 42.8 punting average. he will be
asked to do all of the kicking this year. on kickoffs, he had 8 TBs in
65 Kickoffs.
Defensively the spartans return 5 on D, and they have a very underrated
DL, which should have improved numbers. the Linebacking Corp. should be
solid as they return 2nd team WAC LB keith smith, along with their 2nd
leading tackler from LY in Vince Buhagiar.
the secondary for SJSU should be as good as last years team who only
allowed 221 Pass Yds per game. their top interception guy from last year
James Orth ( 4 picks, 50 int ret. yards) is back along with experienced
corner ronnie yell.
their punter is also thier placekicker and he avg. 42.8 on the net punting average LY.
Stanford.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
stanford returns 6 starters on offense and 7 on Defense.
they obviously lose andrew luck, and look to replace him with Brett
Nottingham. (5-8 LY with a TD pass and 78 yds.) Nottingham is unproven
as he only played in garbage time.
stanford used a RB by committee last year, but are going to make Stepfan
Taylor the feature back this year. he had 242 carries for 1333 last
year and 10 tds.
stanford loses their top 4 pass catchers from last year and their
leading returning catcher is their full back ryan Hewett (34 catches,
282 yds. also they return a solid TE in Zach Ertz (27 catches for 343)
but this is a very inexperienced unit overall and should have
significantly less production with the new QB and i would expect minimal
continuity right away.
the offensive line for stanford is down their two best OL from last year
and only return 37 career starts (weak). this OL will undoubtably give
up more sacks this year and thier run average should suffer as well, as
their heaviest OL is 308.
the stanford DL has 2 starters back and should be as productive as they
were last season. the LB corp returns Jarek Lancaster and Shayne Skov.
they do lose two of thier top 3 tacklers from LY but should have no
problem in the P12 sustaining their defensive numbers, although i look
for thier run stopping production to decrease.
the stanford secondary is very inexperienced and they project to start a
guy at corner in wayne lyons who has never played a snap in college.
they lose a 1st team all P12 corner in Delano howell, and their numbers
should be about what they were last year in the secondary ( 61.7% comp.
percentage, only 3 picks!!)
stanford returns a senior punter and a very solid sophomore kicker.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
my take on the game:
i truely believe stanford will come back down to reality this year. in
this game, san jose should be able to load 8 in the box and dare the new
QB to beat them, with inexperienced WR's. i think stanford will score,
but they will be long, methodical drives and some might stall and
result in FG's. I think San jose will suprise many this year with a very
improved offense that should spread the ball around nicely to 4-5 WR's.
( who should all have 30+ catches as seasons end, even with grigsby
getting 90+)
i think the spread is way too high. stanford should score about 35 in
this game, but i think sanjose will score enough to cover the number. i
think the 1st half will be extremely low scoring and with both teams
having solid punters, field position will be at a premium.
I like San Jose State +25.5 in this matchup and will call for a 35-16 final.
San Jose St
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
San Jose returns 6 starters on offense. they are breaking in a new QB,
but havent chosen a starter. the battle includes David Fales (juco),
dasmen Stewart (very athletic dual threat QB who is very elusive and
fast) and Blake Jurich (only a few attempts last year)
San Jose has physical RB Deloen Eskridge who transfered from the U. of
Minn. and produced very sucessful numbers in his 2 years playing for the
Goofs. (led team in rushing in 2010 and had almost 1200 career yds in
the B10.)
San jose returns a good group of WR led by Noel Grigsby who is a top
25-30 WR in college football. LY he had 89 catches for 889 and he had
882 yds in 2010 as a freshman. they also have chandler jones, jabari
carr and a stud TE in Ryan Otten. Ryan otten is an NFL Tight End at 6-5
245lbs and he is very versatile, catching passes for 750 yds LY and
contributing in the run game.
san jose returns 66 career starts on the OL (average) and are starting 3
Jrs. and 2 Srs. all with experience. while they dont have a starter
over 300 lbs on the OL, this group is quick and should allow for plenty
of big running plays around the outside. they are also very good in the
screen game.
San jose returns a Jr. Kicker, who was the supplementary kicker last
year going 2/5 on FGs but had a net 42.8 punting average. he will be
asked to do all of the kicking this year. on kickoffs, he had 8 TBs in
65 Kickoffs.
Defensively the spartans return 5 on D, and they have a very underrated
DL, which should have improved numbers. the Linebacking Corp. should be
solid as they return 2nd team WAC LB keith smith, along with their 2nd
leading tackler from LY in Vince Buhagiar.
the secondary for SJSU should be as good as last years team who only
allowed 221 Pass Yds per game. their top interception guy from last year
James Orth ( 4 picks, 50 int ret. yards) is back along with experienced
corner ronnie yell.
their punter is also thier placekicker and he avg. 42.8 on the net punting average LY.
Stanford.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
stanford returns 6 starters on offense and 7 on Defense.
they obviously lose andrew luck, and look to replace him with Brett
Nottingham. (5-8 LY with a TD pass and 78 yds.) Nottingham is unproven
as he only played in garbage time.
stanford used a RB by committee last year, but are going to make Stepfan
Taylor the feature back this year. he had 242 carries for 1333 last
year and 10 tds.
stanford loses their top 4 pass catchers from last year and their
leading returning catcher is their full back ryan Hewett (34 catches,
282 yds. also they return a solid TE in Zach Ertz (27 catches for 343)
but this is a very inexperienced unit overall and should have
significantly less production with the new QB and i would expect minimal
continuity right away.
the offensive line for stanford is down their two best OL from last year
and only return 37 career starts (weak). this OL will undoubtably give
up more sacks this year and thier run average should suffer as well, as
their heaviest OL is 308.
the stanford DL has 2 starters back and should be as productive as they
were last season. the LB corp returns Jarek Lancaster and Shayne Skov.
they do lose two of thier top 3 tacklers from LY but should have no
problem in the P12 sustaining their defensive numbers, although i look
for thier run stopping production to decrease.
the stanford secondary is very inexperienced and they project to start a
guy at corner in wayne lyons who has never played a snap in college.
they lose a 1st team all P12 corner in Delano howell, and their numbers
should be about what they were last year in the secondary ( 61.7% comp.
percentage, only 3 picks!!)
stanford returns a senior punter and a very solid sophomore kicker.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
my take on the game:
i truely believe stanford will come back down to reality this year. in
this game, san jose should be able to load 8 in the box and dare the new
QB to beat them, with inexperienced WR's. i think stanford will score,
but they will be long, methodical drives and some might stall and
result in FG's. I think San jose will suprise many this year with a very
improved offense that should spread the ball around nicely to 4-5 WR's.
( who should all have 30+ catches as seasons end, even with grigsby
getting 90+)
i think the spread is way too high. stanford should score about 35 in
this game, but i think sanjose will score enough to cover the number. i
think the 1st half will be extremely low scoring and with both teams
having solid punters, field position will be at a premium.
I like San Jose State +25.5 in this matchup and will call for a 35-16 final.
Washington State +13 o/u 61 Time: 10:15 ET 8/30/12
Washington State Cougars Returning starters: O 7 D 7 Washington
state introduced Mike Leach as head football coach early this summer.
Leach is returning to college football after taking the last two years
off from coaching. Washington state is going to run the Spread, Air
Raid, screen, short, methodical passing game. they are also going to
give some pistol looks with a Tight End and a FB to incorporate the run
game.
Wazzu returns Sr. Quarterback Jeff Tuel, Tuel has had an
interesting stint in pullman as he was a starter early in his career,
but LY he was injured in the 1st game of the season with a broken
clavical.
The RB situation for washington state is better than
you would think, although they wont get many opportunities. Ricky Galvin
had 662 yds and 5 scores last year and backup carl winston returns as
well (440, 4 tds)
the WR corp for washington state is very
experienced and should perform very nicely this year. Marquess Wilson is
the best Wide Receiver in the country IN MY OPINION, but regarded a top
5 WR in the country everywhere else. as a freshman, Wilson had 55
catches for 1006 and 6 scores. last year he logged 82,1388 and 12. he is
unbelievable running routes and has breakaway speed also. Bobby ratliff
(28,348,1) and Andrei Lintz (7,96,1 as a TE) return with Wilson along
with Galvin out of the backfield.
the offensive line returns 57
career starts (average) and 3 guys who started 7+ games last year.
everyone has some experience and 8/10 in the two deep are either
Jr's/Sr/s or Juco.
Washington state returns Kicker Andrew Furney 14/16 FG's (L51)
washington
state WILL have another QB throw for 3000+ yards in a season (Jason
Gesser, Ryan Leaf, Drew Bledsoe) and will put up unbelievable offensive
numbers. the team will find success if they can convert 3rd downs, stay
on the field and find a productive running game when the short yardage
situation arises itself.
Defensively Washington state is moving
from the 4-2-5 scheme to the 3-4 with a traditional nose guard. they
return 2 on the DL from last year and are moving Stud DE travis Long to
LB.
washington state returns 4 of their top 7 tacklers from last year, but they do lose Alex Hoffman-Ellis who had 88 tackles.
in
the secondary the ENTIRE 2 deep returns, including nolan washington,
deone buccannon, damonte horton and tyree toomer. ALL 4 STARTED LAST
YEAR, and the pass defense numbers should continue to improve from last
year. the defensive success will depend on how they adjust to the 3-4
and if the defensive line can create pressure on the opposing teams QB.
they have a great secondary and should really make it tough to score via
the deep threat, but i do worry about this team getting worn down late
in the season.
BYU Cougars Returning Starters: O 7 D 7 BYU
uses a very balanced offensive attack which averaged over 400 yards per
game in 2011. they run the ball effectively and also have a solid
returning starter at the Quarterback position, in Reilly Nelson. Nelson
passed for 1717 yds last year with a solid 19-7 TD/INT ratio. Nelson was
also 3rd on their team with 392 rushing yards last year.
Returning
at RB is Michael Alisa Jr, who rushed for 455 LY and 3 TD's. Alisa is a
pretty good sized back (6'1'' 221) and had a pretty productive season
last year after becoming the featured RB in game 6. last year, BYU used a
RB by committee system and that should change this year with the
departure of JJ DiLuigi, Bryan Kariya, and Josh Quezada. it will be
interesting to see how BYU performs when a back is asked to have 25+
carries per game (none could say healthy last year when asked to do so).
BYU
has good receivers coming back in Cody Hoffman and Ross Apo. both
returning WR's have big frames and provide good targets for the QB. the
two had 1400 yards and 19 touchdowns between them. Marcus matthews
returns at tight end after averaging 23 ypg last year and scoring 1
touchdown.
BYU's offensive line is average (77 career starts)
with the departure of LT Houst Reynolds, Marco thorston, and terrance
brown. they start a rFr at Left Tackle who has never played a snap in
college. they are also starting a sophomore with no starting experience.
the other three guys are going to be ok if they can stay healthy. BYU
started 9 on the OL last year, and it will be imparative that they stay
healthy this year or they are going to really struggle.
BYU returns Justin sorenson at kicker (15/25 L46 FG's)
Defensively
BYU loses alot of talent on the defensive line, including usc transfer
Fandugo, hebron Putnam, and gram rowley. they are starting a true
freshman on the DL and two others who have limited experience.
The
linebacking corp will be very good with brandon ogletree, kyle van noy,
and uona kovenga returning from LY. they also return 4 of their top 5
tacklers from LY. the secondary is experienced compared to years
passed with the return of preston hadley and daniel sorenson. BYU has to
improve upon last years total of 12 INT's as a defensive unit.
overall
BYU was 10-3 last year but i believe they benefited from a very easy
schedule. LY they played Ole miss, utah state, san jose state, idaho
state, idaho, new mexico state, hawaii...
my take on this game
is that we are in for a shootout in Provo on opening night. i think
washington state is going to have to get pressure on the BYU QB or they
are not going to get off the field. BYU has the balance on offense to
keep WSU guessing and methodically move the ball down the field, using
10+ play drives.
If the cougars can get pressure, the Quarterback will have to throw early and WSU has a really, really athletic secondary.
Washington
state is going to throw the ball all over the field in this game, and i
am very confident the numbers are going to be good. i think the cougs
are going to score at least 4 touchdowns in the game, and will have a
chance TO WIN THE GAME in the 4th quarter. BYU is weak up front and
Washington state should have plenty of time to throw, and i am betting
that their WR corp is better than BYU defensive secondary.
this
game will be fun. i dont think either defense will be able to shut down
either offense, and i think there will be lots of scoring
i can
see it coming down to the last posession. whoever has the ball last will
have the chance to control their destiny in this game.
Washington State +13 o/u 61 Time: 10:15 ET 8/30/12
Washington State Cougars Returning starters: O 7 D 7 Washington
state introduced Mike Leach as head football coach early this summer.
Leach is returning to college football after taking the last two years
off from coaching. Washington state is going to run the Spread, Air
Raid, screen, short, methodical passing game. they are also going to
give some pistol looks with a Tight End and a FB to incorporate the run
game.
Wazzu returns Sr. Quarterback Jeff Tuel, Tuel has had an
interesting stint in pullman as he was a starter early in his career,
but LY he was injured in the 1st game of the season with a broken
clavical.
The RB situation for washington state is better than
you would think, although they wont get many opportunities. Ricky Galvin
had 662 yds and 5 scores last year and backup carl winston returns as
well (440, 4 tds)
the WR corp for washington state is very
experienced and should perform very nicely this year. Marquess Wilson is
the best Wide Receiver in the country IN MY OPINION, but regarded a top
5 WR in the country everywhere else. as a freshman, Wilson had 55
catches for 1006 and 6 scores. last year he logged 82,1388 and 12. he is
unbelievable running routes and has breakaway speed also. Bobby ratliff
(28,348,1) and Andrei Lintz (7,96,1 as a TE) return with Wilson along
with Galvin out of the backfield.
the offensive line returns 57
career starts (average) and 3 guys who started 7+ games last year.
everyone has some experience and 8/10 in the two deep are either
Jr's/Sr/s or Juco.
Washington state returns Kicker Andrew Furney 14/16 FG's (L51)
washington
state WILL have another QB throw for 3000+ yards in a season (Jason
Gesser, Ryan Leaf, Drew Bledsoe) and will put up unbelievable offensive
numbers. the team will find success if they can convert 3rd downs, stay
on the field and find a productive running game when the short yardage
situation arises itself.
Defensively Washington state is moving
from the 4-2-5 scheme to the 3-4 with a traditional nose guard. they
return 2 on the DL from last year and are moving Stud DE travis Long to
LB.
washington state returns 4 of their top 7 tacklers from last year, but they do lose Alex Hoffman-Ellis who had 88 tackles.
in
the secondary the ENTIRE 2 deep returns, including nolan washington,
deone buccannon, damonte horton and tyree toomer. ALL 4 STARTED LAST
YEAR, and the pass defense numbers should continue to improve from last
year. the defensive success will depend on how they adjust to the 3-4
and if the defensive line can create pressure on the opposing teams QB.
they have a great secondary and should really make it tough to score via
the deep threat, but i do worry about this team getting worn down late
in the season.
BYU Cougars Returning Starters: O 7 D 7 BYU
uses a very balanced offensive attack which averaged over 400 yards per
game in 2011. they run the ball effectively and also have a solid
returning starter at the Quarterback position, in Reilly Nelson. Nelson
passed for 1717 yds last year with a solid 19-7 TD/INT ratio. Nelson was
also 3rd on their team with 392 rushing yards last year.
Returning
at RB is Michael Alisa Jr, who rushed for 455 LY and 3 TD's. Alisa is a
pretty good sized back (6'1'' 221) and had a pretty productive season
last year after becoming the featured RB in game 6. last year, BYU used a
RB by committee system and that should change this year with the
departure of JJ DiLuigi, Bryan Kariya, and Josh Quezada. it will be
interesting to see how BYU performs when a back is asked to have 25+
carries per game (none could say healthy last year when asked to do so).
BYU
has good receivers coming back in Cody Hoffman and Ross Apo. both
returning WR's have big frames and provide good targets for the QB. the
two had 1400 yards and 19 touchdowns between them. Marcus matthews
returns at tight end after averaging 23 ypg last year and scoring 1
touchdown.
BYU's offensive line is average (77 career starts)
with the departure of LT Houst Reynolds, Marco thorston, and terrance
brown. they start a rFr at Left Tackle who has never played a snap in
college. they are also starting a sophomore with no starting experience.
the other three guys are going to be ok if they can stay healthy. BYU
started 9 on the OL last year, and it will be imparative that they stay
healthy this year or they are going to really struggle.
BYU returns Justin sorenson at kicker (15/25 L46 FG's)
Defensively
BYU loses alot of talent on the defensive line, including usc transfer
Fandugo, hebron Putnam, and gram rowley. they are starting a true
freshman on the DL and two others who have limited experience.
The
linebacking corp will be very good with brandon ogletree, kyle van noy,
and uona kovenga returning from LY. they also return 4 of their top 5
tacklers from LY. the secondary is experienced compared to years
passed with the return of preston hadley and daniel sorenson. BYU has to
improve upon last years total of 12 INT's as a defensive unit.
overall
BYU was 10-3 last year but i believe they benefited from a very easy
schedule. LY they played Ole miss, utah state, san jose state, idaho
state, idaho, new mexico state, hawaii...
my take on this game
is that we are in for a shootout in Provo on opening night. i think
washington state is going to have to get pressure on the BYU QB or they
are not going to get off the field. BYU has the balance on offense to
keep WSU guessing and methodically move the ball down the field, using
10+ play drives.
If the cougars can get pressure, the Quarterback will have to throw early and WSU has a really, really athletic secondary.
Washington
state is going to throw the ball all over the field in this game, and i
am very confident the numbers are going to be good. i think the cougs
are going to score at least 4 touchdowns in the game, and will have a
chance TO WIN THE GAME in the 4th quarter. BYU is weak up front and
Washington state should have plenty of time to throw, and i am betting
that their WR corp is better than BYU defensive secondary.
this
game will be fun. i dont think either defense will be able to shut down
either offense, and i think there will be lots of scoring
i can
see it coming down to the last posession. whoever has the ball last will
have the chance to control their destiny in this game.
Texas A&M
finished last year with a disappointing 7-6 record and they were just
4-9 ATS last year. They lost their best player in Ryan Tannehill to the
NFL Draft and are going to struggle to replace him. Currently battling
for the spot are redshirt freshman Johnny Manziel, r-Fr Jameill Showers
(5 career pass attempts) and freshman Matt Davis. Inexperience will no
doubt be a factor for A&M QB's throughout this season, although it
may not show as badly until SEC play. On the offensive line, A&M
returns 95 career starts. They are very experienced on the O-line which
should protect the QB. they also return two good WR's in Ryan Swope and
Uzoma Nwachukwu, both had very productive seasons last year. swope had
1207 yds last year and Nwachukwu had 639. A&M has a r-Fr kicker.
On
D- A&M loses two 300lb D-Tackles. They also lose three in the
secondary that already struggled to defend the pass last year. They
should be ok at LB, with Three seniors returning, all with experience.
They have a Sophomore Punter. A&M also has a new coach in Kevin Sumlin, coming over from Houston.
LaTech
is returning Sr. QB Colby Cameron, who struggled last year and
eventually lost the job to ross Jenkins, who is no longer there. They
have a few other guys who will compete to push Cameron, and with the
return of 4 quality WR's, the QB play should get much better in 2012.
The 4 receivers of mention are Myles White, David Gru, DJ Banks (Tulane
Transfer), and Quinton Patton. each of these guys is capable of catching
passes for 1000 yards in the WAC this year. This is the best WR group
Sonny Dykes has had in three years at La Tech and the best in a while.
La La Tech also returns 92 career starts on the O-Line and 9 of the top
10 contributors. The o-line is very experienced and should give the QB
time to analyze any Defense A&M throws out there.
La
Tech will have a mediocre D-Line, which returns two starters. their
secondary will be solid, with the return of Chad Boyd and seniors Jamel
Johnson and Dave Clark. This Secondary should be better than last years,
although the numbers may not reflect that. The front four are going to
struggle to get pressure on the QB.
I
really feel like the in-experience of the QB for Texas A&M will
keep La Tech very much in this game. La Tech should be able to move the
football on offense and should put up points. Both QB's should be
protected with veteran O-Lines and drives should not stall because of
sacks or pressure picks. Texas A&M has put up 46,48 and 41 points
in their last three season openers. The last time they played La Tech,
the spread was 19 in favor of A&M and the final was 48-16 A&M.
If the o/u is around 58, i would lean over.
Texas A&M
finished last year with a disappointing 7-6 record and they were just
4-9 ATS last year. They lost their best player in Ryan Tannehill to the
NFL Draft and are going to struggle to replace him. Currently battling
for the spot are redshirt freshman Johnny Manziel, r-Fr Jameill Showers
(5 career pass attempts) and freshman Matt Davis. Inexperience will no
doubt be a factor for A&M QB's throughout this season, although it
may not show as badly until SEC play. On the offensive line, A&M
returns 95 career starts. They are very experienced on the O-line which
should protect the QB. they also return two good WR's in Ryan Swope and
Uzoma Nwachukwu, both had very productive seasons last year. swope had
1207 yds last year and Nwachukwu had 639. A&M has a r-Fr kicker.
On
D- A&M loses two 300lb D-Tackles. They also lose three in the
secondary that already struggled to defend the pass last year. They
should be ok at LB, with Three seniors returning, all with experience.
They have a Sophomore Punter. A&M also has a new coach in Kevin Sumlin, coming over from Houston.
LaTech
is returning Sr. QB Colby Cameron, who struggled last year and
eventually lost the job to ross Jenkins, who is no longer there. They
have a few other guys who will compete to push Cameron, and with the
return of 4 quality WR's, the QB play should get much better in 2012.
The 4 receivers of mention are Myles White, David Gru, DJ Banks (Tulane
Transfer), and Quinton Patton. each of these guys is capable of catching
passes for 1000 yards in the WAC this year. This is the best WR group
Sonny Dykes has had in three years at La Tech and the best in a while.
La La Tech also returns 92 career starts on the O-Line and 9 of the top
10 contributors. The o-line is very experienced and should give the QB
time to analyze any Defense A&M throws out there.
La
Tech will have a mediocre D-Line, which returns two starters. their
secondary will be solid, with the return of Chad Boyd and seniors Jamel
Johnson and Dave Clark. This Secondary should be better than last years,
although the numbers may not reflect that. The front four are going to
struggle to get pressure on the QB.
I
really feel like the in-experience of the QB for Texas A&M will
keep La Tech very much in this game. La Tech should be able to move the
football on offense and should put up points. Both QB's should be
protected with veteran O-Lines and drives should not stall because of
sacks or pressure picks. Texas A&M has put up 46,48 and 41 points
in their last three season openers. The last time they played La Tech,
the spread was 19 in favor of A&M and the final was 48-16 A&M.
If the o/u is around 58, i would lean over.
Arkansas State vs Oregon OVER 65 ***BREAKDOWN*** ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- This
will be my largest wager of Week 1 and the total comes in a full
touchdown lower than i projected it to be. Oregon returns 11 starters
overall (6o, 5d) including 65 career starts on the OL (8 of the top 10
back) and some very athletic receivers. I think Oregon will have no
issues on offense running their fast paced attack, and their ground game
will excel greatly in this matchup with ArkSt.
Defensively
Oregon is sporting a very highly touted defensive line, and an average
secondary with three of the top 5 guys back. they have very athletic
safeties, but are very inexperienced at corner, with two projected
sophomores as starters. they have solid special teams units and should
have several big plays with this unit on the field.
ArkSt
returns 4 yr starter Ryan Aplin at QB, and they are going to look to
spread the football around to a very experienced bevy of wide
receievers. they have Josh Jarboe, Taylor Stockemer, and some very
capable backups that should be able to expose oregons suspect corner
play. Ark St's Offensive line is very inexperienced and might struggle
to sustain drives after the 1st half, causing short fields and easy 2nd
Half oregon touchdowns.
Defensively ark state returns only 4
starters and have alot of holes to fill. they are looking to replace 3
starters on the DL and are using 4 guys who played NJUCO ball last year
to do so. at Linebacker, they lose thier top two and their secondary is
very inexperienced as they lose 3 all conference DB's. oregon should see
some BIG plays in the passing game after they establish an effective
run attack.
Initially i really liked arkansas state (projected
spread was 28.5, now 33) but i think oregon might overwhelm this team
and mistakes and unsustainable drives could lead to a very high scoring
day for oregon. I look for the ducks to put up at least 52 points in
this game, and if they score as quick as they have the last two years,
they might be in the 60's. similar to the game last year vs. nevada, BIG
plays, Turnovers, and short fields might lead to a blowout here.
Arkansas State vs Oregon OVER 65 ***BREAKDOWN*** ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- This
will be my largest wager of Week 1 and the total comes in a full
touchdown lower than i projected it to be. Oregon returns 11 starters
overall (6o, 5d) including 65 career starts on the OL (8 of the top 10
back) and some very athletic receivers. I think Oregon will have no
issues on offense running their fast paced attack, and their ground game
will excel greatly in this matchup with ArkSt.
Defensively
Oregon is sporting a very highly touted defensive line, and an average
secondary with three of the top 5 guys back. they have very athletic
safeties, but are very inexperienced at corner, with two projected
sophomores as starters. they have solid special teams units and should
have several big plays with this unit on the field.
ArkSt
returns 4 yr starter Ryan Aplin at QB, and they are going to look to
spread the football around to a very experienced bevy of wide
receievers. they have Josh Jarboe, Taylor Stockemer, and some very
capable backups that should be able to expose oregons suspect corner
play. Ark St's Offensive line is very inexperienced and might struggle
to sustain drives after the 1st half, causing short fields and easy 2nd
Half oregon touchdowns.
Defensively ark state returns only 4
starters and have alot of holes to fill. they are looking to replace 3
starters on the DL and are using 4 guys who played NJUCO ball last year
to do so. at Linebacker, they lose thier top two and their secondary is
very inexperienced as they lose 3 all conference DB's. oregon should see
some BIG plays in the passing game after they establish an effective
run attack.
Initially i really liked arkansas state (projected
spread was 28.5, now 33) but i think oregon might overwhelm this team
and mistakes and unsustainable drives could lead to a very high scoring
day for oregon. I look for the ducks to put up at least 52 points in
this game, and if they score as quick as they have the last two years,
they might be in the 60's. similar to the game last year vs. nevada, BIG
plays, Turnovers, and short fields might lead to a blowout here.
jdnmoney picks... wonder y u dnt ever do parlays buddy..its virtually impossible for u to even hit 1 gm lololol come on buddy marshall?!! san jose st?!!! lmao
jdnmoney picks... wonder y u dnt ever do parlays buddy..its virtually impossible for u to even hit 1 gm lololol come on buddy marshall?!! san jose st?!!! lmao
but dont take it personal jdn, i still wish u the best cause u seem like a cool guy who loves wagering just like i do buddy.. we just seem to see a number of games different.. however, i do like alot of ur total picks
but dont take it personal jdn, i still wish u the best cause u seem like a cool guy who loves wagering just like i do buddy.. we just seem to see a number of games different.. however, i do like alot of ur total picks
jdnmoney picks... wonder y u dnt ever do parlays buddy..its virtually impossible for u to even hit 1 gm lololol come on buddy marshall?!! san jose st?!!! lmao
virtually impossible for me to even hit 1 game?? I picked almost 60% last year all plays documented here on covers...
you pick about 40% winners and never keep a record...
ur a clown who will be off of covers and a wallet full of maxed out swipe cards and reload receipts within a year
I'm here for the long haul, and my plays make money...
I've never seen you break down a game, post reasoning, post a record, percentages, Or anything else that quality cappers post...
we are on different levels buddy, and ur 5 team parlays will make ur bankroll go up in
jdnmoney picks... wonder y u dnt ever do parlays buddy..its virtually impossible for u to even hit 1 gm lololol come on buddy marshall?!! san jose st?!!! lmao
virtually impossible for me to even hit 1 game?? I picked almost 60% last year all plays documented here on covers...
you pick about 40% winners and never keep a record...
ur a clown who will be off of covers and a wallet full of maxed out swipe cards and reload receipts within a year
I'm here for the long haul, and my plays make money...
I've never seen you break down a game, post reasoning, post a record, percentages, Or anything else that quality cappers post...
we are on different levels buddy, and ur 5 team parlays will make ur bankroll go up in
come on jdn calm dwn buddy.. i was just messin with u afterall the hate and bashing i receive, its the least i can do.. buuut!! i will win alot this year.. ima be in da fkn money!!
come on jdn calm dwn buddy.. i was just messin with u afterall the hate and bashing i receive, its the least i can do.. buuut!! i will win alot this year.. ima be in da fkn money!!
come on jdn calm dwn buddy.. i was just messin with u afterall the hate and bashing i receive, its the least i can do.. buuut!! i will win alot this year.. ima be in da fkn money!!
come on jdn calm dwn buddy.. i was just messin with u afterall the hate and bashing i receive, its the least i can do.. buuut!! i will win alot this year.. ima be in da fkn money!!
come on jdn calm dwn buddy.. i was just messin with u afterall the hate and bashing i receive, its the least i can do.. buuut!! i will win alot this year.. ima be in da fkn money!!
come on jdn calm dwn buddy.. i was just messin with u afterall the hate and bashing i receive, its the least i can do.. buuut!! i will win alot this year.. ima be in da fkn money!!
well.....mmmm..... i wish u sir a very profitable year.... i lke most of ur picks...as for stanford..well.... i think thwy will cover, ths team is trained and coached-pro style...and Sjst div II football style ....
and .... why dont you play T&AM if thats ur proyected score???
well.....mmmm..... i wish u sir a very profitable year.... i lke most of ur picks...as for stanford..well.... i think thwy will cover, ths team is trained and coached-pro style...and Sjst div II football style ....
and .... why dont you play T&AM if thats ur proyected score???
Quick question - do you happen to know if you can get the over/under for Oregon/Ark State in VEGAS? Or is it strictly off-shore books? thx & BOL week 1....
Quick question - do you happen to know if you can get the over/under for Oregon/Ark State in VEGAS? Or is it strictly off-shore books? thx & BOL week 1....
Great write ups! What are your thoughts on the S. Carolina/Vandy and Mich St/Boise St games? I'm going with the D on this one early on and leaning MSU and the gamecocks....thoughts? BOL this season
Great write ups! What are your thoughts on the S. Carolina/Vandy and Mich St/Boise St games? I'm going with the D on this one early on and leaning MSU and the gamecocks....thoughts? BOL this season
we don't know how they are gonna be coached this year cause last years coach plays QB for the Colts now
..that assesment is incorrect. although its true shaw oppened the play book to luck and leave him be and make calls and make decisions...well ... the coach still the coach, stanford program was designed by harbaugh to be a plug and play program, and althoug Luck cant be replaced, stanford will still have boats loads of talent, and shaw will be more than eager to shaw his last year succes wasnt a fluke just because he inhherited harbaughs program ...with that in mind.. he is a running up the score type of coach and stanford has the talent to light up the score on sjst
we don't know how they are gonna be coached this year cause last years coach plays QB for the Colts now
..that assesment is incorrect. although its true shaw oppened the play book to luck and leave him be and make calls and make decisions...well ... the coach still the coach, stanford program was designed by harbaugh to be a plug and play program, and althoug Luck cant be replaced, stanford will still have boats loads of talent, and shaw will be more than eager to shaw his last year succes wasnt a fluke just because he inhherited harbaughs program ...with that in mind.. he is a running up the score type of coach and stanford has the talent to light up the score on sjst
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