L2Thirst Week 7

BEST TEAMS /PLAYOFF SETUP - as I see it looking ahead

Old King Reigns #1 = BUCKEYES 

-they equal what Oregon did....jetlag and all like the Ducks!

-that win by the Ducks is paling now given the implosion on defense by Penn St. (my question is, who does the committee rate as the best 2 loss team now? Notre Dame or Penn St.? One of those two are out completely now!)

#2. OREGON

--------------------------------Next 2 are what the Committee would choose if the season ended most likely , but they are not the 3rd and 4th best teams

3. Miami ....impressive, but not BIG 10 impressive

4. Texas Tech ...impressive road win again

---------------In the Playoff--------(some from #9 - 12 fit due to conference inclusion)

5. Ole Miss

6. Indiana

7. Alabama

8. Oklahoma

9. Texas AM

10. Missouri

11. Georgia Tech

12. Memphis  (best Group of 5?)

------------------- THE REST are next in line best teams/chance for playoffs

13. BYU

14. LSU

15. Michigan

16. USC

---------------------Have a chance

17. Georgia 

18. North Texas

19. UNLV

20. Utah

---------------------------------------------

These teams get plugged in as others falter above in the Top 20:

Worst Undefeated team  = Navy

Best (2 losses) Team Not in Top 20 = Notre Dame, Penn St.

Top 30 (One Loss) Teams = Vanderbilt, Tennessee, Illinois, Virginia, Nebraska, Washington, Cincy, Arizona St, Iowa St.. USF

My week:

3 - 1  ATS /Totals  (+3.5 Units)

- $100 exotic bet on Michigan Over when I saw the wide open play 

Season:

23 - 18  ATS/Totals (+4.5 Units)

Exotic betting = -$90

I saw some people blow their brains out in Week #6 ..... but I commend a lot of new posters in this season who are really starting to get a good grip and record. Nice to see 

Still miss my friend and person I look up to quite a bit every season = Wahoo  aka Mr. Classy! Hope he is ok

Like Caiifornia and Fresno in these late games 

Week 7 Key Games for Playoffs:

USF @ North Texas << if USF wins, they gain the #2 position in Group of 5 for a Playoff Seat.... depending on what Memphis does going forward 

- if N.Texas wins fairly convincingly, they are in the conversation for a Playoff

Alabama @ Missouri - if Bama beats another undefeated team, they can solidify a strong foothold in the Top 8 seeds for the Playoffs..... Missouri wins, they move into the Top 12 (they need a signature win)

Indiana @ Oregon - Indiana could keep themselves in consideration if they still lose but it is going to have to be a close game

Georgia @ Auburn - tricky game for the 'Dogs > any loss, you have to pull Georgia out of the Playoff picture until they beat a top 12 team later in the season?

Michigan @ USC - USC would be out of Playoff Picture most likely if they lose.....Michigan could backdoor if they won the rest of the way impressively including beating their biggest rivals and #1 team 

- a win for USC would put them on the edges of a Playoff but not a seat yet

BYU @ Arizona - big game for both teams as they are in the hunt for the Big 12 Conference

-BYU is obviously closet to a Playoff Seat but will have to go undefeated to get there most likely

Arizona St @ Utah - loser of this game is likely out of the BIG12 race but if a close game, even the loser would be highly considered especially if TTECH finishes undefeated

Play #1 - North Texas -1.5 x 1U >> will add more Units if line swings down or to other side

-N. Texas defense has been improving all year

- their secondary is impressive but I wonder it their high ranking has to do with the fact that they played Army who didn't throw much on them (they are #8 /136 for passing yds against)

- this should be a close game but the NTex QB has not thrown an INT yet and USF defense is not super strong ....its good though

Play #2 - Alabama-Missouri Under 53.5 x 1U

-another gritty game of field advantage for Bama ....all four games against good teams stayed UNDER this number 

-Missouri with great defensive stats and they like running the ball

Looking for more...