L2Thirst Week 6 Already

Isn’t Dante Moore like a senior 

The answer could lie in one fact of how did other teams handle the first trip out west crossing 2-3 times zones, and then coming back home crossing 3 more so quickly. I do know your Circadian rhythm needs 6-7 days to recover from a 3hr or 6+ hour time zone leap. Now do that within 14 days two times.....and do it to 'youth' who are not yet fully developed and you get potential strong influences in their play.

Minny went to California and lost 27-14 to a team that had a worse rank than them....and I wouldn't say a juggernaut defense

Minny's first game back from out west was a shaky 31-28 win at home..... their defense did not perform as expected

Minny should be fully recovered from their trip

Ohio St should not and I would expect Minny to put up a pretty good fight vs a dopey Buckeye team so I think Minny could score 10 pts in the first half and limit Ohio St to 10-14 maybe .....and then we see the Buckeyes wakeup on defense and then score two more TDs themselves and limit Minny to 1 FG or 1 TD but maybe not....

This Minny offense is moving the ball better this year at times and Calif had a good defense, but obviously not as good as the Buckeyes.....

28-13 or 24 - 10 were my suggestions when I mapped out the matchup. Could I see a 24-9, 28 - 7 game? Sure

Do I see the Buckeyes going wild on offense vs a very good Gopher defense? NOPE!

I just checked. He is in his 3rd season but I read he carried the clipboard last season when I was doing my preseason capping so I assumed he was a 2nd year player 

I agree with all of those and I always check the dominant team first in a matchup and consider underdog motivation, secondarily to firm up my decision 

How come every year Michigan defeats the Buckeyes???? Even with an inferior team? Well....we know they cheated haha....but part of that was getting intel on what the Buckeyes were doing intimately in practices and I suspect and believe, the Buckeyes know now... that you need to crank the passion meter up at the END of the season but you can lollygag on your offensive output during the regular season if you want to push the dominance button and element of surprise onto another bull like team later come playoffs....

Minny side and total will be a “key” type of game for me this week 

key not meaning I am using other team along with it I’m just taking on more props within the game which equates to more units risked and higher rewards.  If all my SGP hit this game will certainly be significantly my brightest star this week

money lines straight bets and multiple SGP’s 

Totally agree 

- you are in your sweetspot with reasoned fades ..... me with matchup stat simulation/other angles..... and this one can be a deadly good pick so I am putting together parlays over the past few days $5 -10 bet combos with other football and soccer

Also note: With the USF line going up to -28 the past two days and the 55 total not moving at all.....I have been leaning UNDER and will pick in that direction rather than the +28 fade of them...I have watched Charlotte play ...they are a lot like Sam Houston... they can straighten the wheels for most of a drive but they go sideways and cough it up or do not execute on FG or 4th down gamble in opponents 30-40 yd linr

these extra unit risked games and not weekly thing for me this is a rare week where I see something that can happen.  Minny is not a great offense so if they win and or even cover tgey have to limit Ohio state.  

Ohio state within themselves are not the strong offensive proficiency team that some season have.  So far this team is having difficult as we both agree to. Referring to past seasons productivity. 

this is why I’m selecting this game to possibly maximize profits.  It’s an opportunity that’s all. 

this game is a “pleaser” (which if someone isn’t familiar with, it  is the opposite of a teaser. Essentially I’m selling points not buying points) game and a teaser nightmare game to me. After so many good performances and covers if and when Ohio state misses it could be a big miss.  This in my opinion is a good chance for that to occur.  

opportunity and nice risk reward possibilities. 

Ohio St is choosing to not show a lot and letting their young QB Sayin develop ....its smart. But hey, we might as well try to take advantage of it

When the playoffs came, they exploded in points and were nails on defense... OSU will do that formula again!

@Last2thirst

 Agree also.  Charlotte is anemic and S.Florida isn’t elite so they will play to win.  The only way this goes over and a favorite cover is mistakes and capitalization on turnovers and big mistakes 

If that is true....USF not elite   

I guess we cannot consider Florida elite....so surely you are on Texas -7 biggly???

By the way...in local parlays, I took USF -27.5 and UNDER 55.5 (split them)

Wow is this USF game fishy....weird 2nd half

Now USF cares?

This was a cooked OVER and cover for Charlotte

@Last2thirst

 They (USF) don’t get many opportunities to sub In with a huge lead.  That’s why these non elite teams are dangerous when laying 4 tds 

go Charlotte +28 and 49.5 

The over hit unexpectedly because it was USF turning the ball over. 

Ya...and Charlotte is driving the ball up the field with a backup....really bizarre

That line was .-27 all week and then Friday it turns??? Vegas set a big trap

HAMMER TEXAS TOMORROW..... florida lost to USF and Texas just beat a team 55 - 0 with a similar rank of Charlotte

I have small parlays with -27.5....and UNDER ....I wouldn't recommend junk like this in my thread

Wow, they gonna cover haha

Haha wild I’ll tell ya wild 28 was good but I could have waited for 28.5.  It’s all good 

Not one complaint from me about them not taking a knee 

that’s life.  Fortune works both ways 

JJ Woods 

I don't know about you, but ....not liking the card this weekend and going to run an analysis on covers and I suspect mostly favorites are covering so far....doing last week as well

T2 

No Teasers this week, just don't like the lines (should have played early in week Wyoming teased to 11.5 and Minny teased to 31.5 or Minny UNDER 51.5 ....those would have been key mix and maybe Mississippi St)...but I will be playing in game Michigan 

Probably go OVER 41.5 to 42.5 ..... Wisky scored on first drive messes my plans 

Cheers Fuse 

Might get a chance here to go OVER in Michigan game.....gonna watch next Michigan drive after this punt 

1 Unit Over 38.5 @+86  Michigan -Wisky 

Would rather only have a $215 loss than -300 if I don't get the UNDER 41.5 .......game is tightening up but I feel Michigan is going to switch approach soon

My Week: 

Play #1 - MICHIGAN UNDER 41.5 x 3 UNITS     +3 U gain!  

" I see a tidy 27 - 13 at most, likely 24 - 10 win for Michigan"  << correct score predicted in game analysis!

BU play after game started very open .... in-game bet  1 Unit Over 38.5 @+86  Michigan -Wisky   

NMSU ML x HALF U    

-----------coming up -----------------

Play #2 - UNDER 53.5 Washington/Maryland x 1U   

Play #3 - Under 44.5 x 1U  Gophers/Buckeyes