L2Thirst Week 6 Already

Hey Sac, been busy, how you been?  I am working on my soccer patterns tonight and football angles.

Jays in the ALS Series. I think they are going to be a scrappy team to put to bed and no pitching is too tough for this team as I have watched them find ways to turn on a 99mph high strike into the stands all year in situations where they need it

What do you like this week?

South Florida is laying so many points it’s out of their range. I do t like betting Charlotte and overlook them so many weeks because they don’t get this line vs a team like s Florida.  

s Florida is a dog team not a -27 team.  If I lose fine but I know I had the stronger chance. 

these college teams need so talent at all positions to cover -27.  Unless the dog has a bad game of costly mistakes the dog should be fine.  

I have a modest record because I can’t stay away from favorites this season.  If I went back and looked at my record I would be north of 55% on my dog picks.  

Most of my weeks action is posted.  now I wait for better lines and be patient.  

You have a lot of work to do.  Get busy do you can get  hot again

Hey Spottie,

I don't need to do anything except what I want especially now and ya, part time work that is lucrative and I enjoy is starting to get in the way 2-3 days a week....I can't turn down $300 a day! It funds my betting fun...haha

Last year I had a very successful season by refining the number of plays so I am moving toward that. The difference this year is, I am charting everything this year and maybe next, so I get some 'usual' data flow

Good luck L2T.  

Michigan Total is climbing? > up to 42.5 and ATS also, now -17 

If you saw Michigan fly around on defense against Raiola, you would have been impressed, but the final score result was not typical. Raiola has come a long way from his first season

There is no Raiola and playmakers on the Wisky team. 

How did Michigan score so much? 280+ yds on the ground but now, they face the #1 run defense and they won't get Wisky answers on their drives like Huskers did. Even still, did I rush on my bet placing?

Wisky is 74th vs the pass

Michigan is 54th 

Wisconsin now #2 vs run 

Michigan now #8

Lets see where this total goes for the week

@Last2thirst

 I wanted to reflect on how comedy is rolled out.  Seems like our comedy is lacking so that is congruent.  

@Last2thirst

 Looking at BYU. Tough game on Friday night for the Mountaineers with the long travel. But byu has kind of played no one yet. The line is that high for a reason and I usually don't like playing thur or fri games.

One that sticks out is Louisville is -7. Unranked fav vs ranked Virginia coming off what looked like their super bowl win vs fsu...

You have a good eye Sac  but make sure you line up their matchups OFF strength vs DEF strength

I guarantee you, Vegas sees a lot of people fishing for pts when some good faves are to be had. I tend to go with faves but don't mind taking pts in about 1/3 of my plays 

I am going to limit myself to 1 side and 1 more Total if I can find the right mojo....... it has to hit me square in the eyes when I do my matchup analytics

I definitely know I will be doing a TEASER flight soon with 2 teams that I will separate and taking pts +7 more .....

The lines are brewing nicely so gonna watch and be patient

Michigan Line keeps going up higher > 43.5 (+2 from what I bought)

In game, I might buy 41.5 or if a slow first Q Over a total like 37.5 ....... right now to buy this out, it would cost me about $80 because its a 3U play and OVER 41.5 is at 1.70 on Bet365

Holding the line and gonna watch it instead and decide in-game maybe

@Last2thirst

 I think Michigan is going to score some points. After a bye week they are going to get some guys back from injury. Wisconsin is a bad loss or two away from losing any kind of motivation.