The posted total for tonight's game of 142.5 is the highest total for a game between these two teams in the last 8 meetings. In those eight meetings, the halftime total has been:
49, 71, 50, 58, 46, 61, 60, 61 (Bold are games played @ GMU)
In the one game last year that did go over tonight's halftime total, there were only 61 possessions / team in the game -- the teams were a combined 15 - 33 on 3PA, and 32 - 43 from the foul line
George Mason's average total in 13 CAA games this year is 54.8 points. And for their 11 home games, the average halftime score has been 58.9 points.
George Mason has played only two games this year with a total posted over 140, vs Villanova and UNC-Wilmington. Both games were unders, and halftime unders.
Based on history and the fact that I don't think Laranaga is going to want to get into a track meet with his young team in such a pivotal game in terms of CAA seeding, I see GMU dictating the pace in a home game and the first half sailing under.
As I began to write this, I figured I would see CobraKai on this as well later in the day. I just checked and he already has made it a posted play late last night as well
The posted total for tonight's game of 142.5 is the highest total for a game between these two teams in the last 8 meetings. In those eight meetings, the halftime total has been:
49, 71, 50, 58, 46, 61, 60, 61 (Bold are games played @ GMU)
In the one game last year that did go over tonight's halftime total, there were only 61 possessions / team in the game -- the teams were a combined 15 - 33 on 3PA, and 32 - 43 from the foul line
George Mason's average total in 13 CAA games this year is 54.8 points. And for their 11 home games, the average halftime score has been 58.9 points.
George Mason has played only two games this year with a total posted over 140, vs Villanova and UNC-Wilmington. Both games were unders, and halftime unders.
Based on history and the fact that I don't think Laranaga is going to want to get into a track meet with his young team in such a pivotal game in terms of CAA seeding, I see GMU dictating the pace in a home game and the first half sailing under.
As I began to write this, I figured I would see CobraKai on this as well later in the day. I just checked and he already has made it a posted play late last night as well
I know you usually only have one play a day, but I would really look at Under 66 Western Michigan/Ohio. The numbers look very good for this one too. In fact, it's my favorite play of the night.
I know you usually only have one play a day, but I would really look at Under 66 Western Michigan/Ohio. The numbers look very good for this one too. In fact, it's my favorite play of the night.
nice breakdown .. seems its the under or nothing here .. i like vcu though for some reason .. no perticular reason lol just have a weird feeling which usually bites me in the ass lol
nice breakdown .. seems its the under or nothing here .. i like vcu though for some reason .. no perticular reason lol just have a weird feeling which usually bites me in the ass lol
what do you think about the entire game as a whole? i have a heavy lean on george mason (+4.5). 10-1 at home, vcu 4-5 on the road.. george mason coming off 2 losses looking to bounce back at home. any thoughts???
what do you think about the entire game as a whole? i have a heavy lean on george mason (+4.5). 10-1 at home, vcu 4-5 on the road.. george mason coming off 2 losses looking to bounce back at home. any thoughts???
I know you usually only have one play a day, but I would really look at Under 66 Western Michigan/Ohio. The numbers look very good for this one too. In fact, it's my favorite play of the night.
I know you usually only have one play a day, but I would really look at Under 66 Western Michigan/Ohio. The numbers look very good for this one too. In fact, it's my favorite play of the night.
what do you think about the entire game as a whole? i have a heavy lean on george mason (+4.5). 10-1 at home, vcu 4-5 on the road.. george mason coming off 2 losses looking to bounce back at home. any thoughts???
I see a tight game, like you said GMU plays well at home and already has a home win vs ODU and a 1 pt loss to Dayton. I made a small play on the ML since they have 17 straight wins at home vs conference opponents
what do you think about the entire game as a whole? i have a heavy lean on george mason (+4.5). 10-1 at home, vcu 4-5 on the road.. george mason coming off 2 losses looking to bounce back at home. any thoughts???
I see a tight game, like you said GMU plays well at home and already has a home win vs ODU and a 1 pt loss to Dayton. I made a small play on the ML since they have 17 straight wins at home vs conference opponents
all of GMU home conference games this year were against opponents that rank well below 200 nationally in points. tonight's opponent is 44th. If you look at the boxscore of GMU's home conference games from this season, GMU has scored in the 30's but their opponent has put up crap. VCU overall first half average is 69, their away average is 69, and their last 5 game average is 72+. the total is 142.5 for a reason, they ain't playing Ga.St or NCWil tonight. I hope it cashes for you, I'm eating the road chalk with VCU for the game.
all of GMU home conference games this year were against opponents that rank well below 200 nationally in points. tonight's opponent is 44th. If you look at the boxscore of GMU's home conference games from this season, GMU has scored in the 30's but their opponent has put up crap. VCU overall first half average is 69, their away average is 69, and their last 5 game average is 72+. the total is 142.5 for a reason, they ain't playing Ga.St or NCWil tonight. I hope it cashes for you, I'm eating the road chalk with VCU for the game.
Seeing 66.5 at most books now. The logic seems right but I believe that given the chance GMU can score. The Patriots have a 8-5 o/u mark in conference play this year but their home 1H's have been low scoring, averaging just below 60 points as you stated earlier. But...
I'm leaning the other way here. In all seven VCU road games this year where a 1H total line was available (no line for @WMU or @ Hampton), Rams games have combined to surpass tonight's total mark six times and equal a total of 66 in the other. Definitely a clash of two wills as VCU likes to keep their games up-tempo versus GMU who sets basketball play back to the pre-shot clock era. The two major factors that have me leaning towards the 1H over is strictly an examination of VCU road games. For the season, VCU has held opponents below 30% from behind the arc. Look deeper though and this number is misleading. In six road conference games this year, VCU has given up 37 3-pointers at a clip of nearly 40% allowing 16 attempts/game. This plays into GMU's strength where 3 of the Patriots' shooters are averaging over 35% from 3-range, especially Andre Cornelius who attempts 4 3's a game and hits at a 43% clip. Expect at least 6-8 3-point attempts from him tonight.
The second factor is that in VCU road games, VCU and their opponent have combined for over 40 FTA per game. The Rams are clearly not the most disciplined team on the defensive end and are subject to early foul trouble. If this trend continues tonight with a tightly called game, we could very well see several stoppages and points being scored without the clock running. Also VCU leads the conference in FT percentage so when they get their opportunities they do not miss often. A side factor would also be that GMU games are averaging over a 142 points over their last seven games, indicating that Coach Larranaga has allowed his players to open up the offense, albeit against lesser competition.
The one difference in this matchup from previous years is that George Mason was forced to grind the game to a snail's pace because they lacked scoring options. This year's team relies heavily on several underclassmen for the bulk of their scoring, including Cornelius and Pearson but who are capable of creating their own shot. Add in Cam Long who leads the team in scoring and this gives GMU three viable scoring threats for VCU to worry about tonight.
Still looking but if I play this it will either be a 1H over or a no play. Just my thoughts. Either way, GL with the play tonight. Hope you do not mind the discussion. Should be interesting to see how Larry Sanders handles the pressure from GMU's double teams in the low block.
Really liking a play for tomorrow, NM/UNLV 1H o70.5 (my predicted line). If you get a chance tomorrow take a look and tell me what you think.
Seeing 66.5 at most books now. The logic seems right but I believe that given the chance GMU can score. The Patriots have a 8-5 o/u mark in conference play this year but their home 1H's have been low scoring, averaging just below 60 points as you stated earlier. But...
I'm leaning the other way here. In all seven VCU road games this year where a 1H total line was available (no line for @WMU or @ Hampton), Rams games have combined to surpass tonight's total mark six times and equal a total of 66 in the other. Definitely a clash of two wills as VCU likes to keep their games up-tempo versus GMU who sets basketball play back to the pre-shot clock era. The two major factors that have me leaning towards the 1H over is strictly an examination of VCU road games. For the season, VCU has held opponents below 30% from behind the arc. Look deeper though and this number is misleading. In six road conference games this year, VCU has given up 37 3-pointers at a clip of nearly 40% allowing 16 attempts/game. This plays into GMU's strength where 3 of the Patriots' shooters are averaging over 35% from 3-range, especially Andre Cornelius who attempts 4 3's a game and hits at a 43% clip. Expect at least 6-8 3-point attempts from him tonight.
The second factor is that in VCU road games, VCU and their opponent have combined for over 40 FTA per game. The Rams are clearly not the most disciplined team on the defensive end and are subject to early foul trouble. If this trend continues tonight with a tightly called game, we could very well see several stoppages and points being scored without the clock running. Also VCU leads the conference in FT percentage so when they get their opportunities they do not miss often. A side factor would also be that GMU games are averaging over a 142 points over their last seven games, indicating that Coach Larranaga has allowed his players to open up the offense, albeit against lesser competition.
The one difference in this matchup from previous years is that George Mason was forced to grind the game to a snail's pace because they lacked scoring options. This year's team relies heavily on several underclassmen for the bulk of their scoring, including Cornelius and Pearson but who are capable of creating their own shot. Add in Cam Long who leads the team in scoring and this gives GMU three viable scoring threats for VCU to worry about tonight.
Still looking but if I play this it will either be a 1H over or a no play. Just my thoughts. Either way, GL with the play tonight. Hope you do not mind the discussion. Should be interesting to see how Larry Sanders handles the pressure from GMU's double teams in the low block.
Really liking a play for tomorrow, NM/UNLV 1H o70.5 (my predicted line). If you get a chance tomorrow take a look and tell me what you think.
Justice, very insightful post as always. And a differing opinion is always welcomed.
The pace at which VCU would like to play always makes their unders scary. However, I am counting more on them to bring a defensive intensity tonight. In terms of adj. def. efficiency, VCU is 5th in the conference behind NE, ODU, Drexel, and Hofstra. In the 5 games GMU has played against these opponents, the halftime scores have been 56, 59, 53, 68, and 46. Can VCU get to 35-38 pts in the first half tonight, sure, they have proven it multiple times this year. But I'm not sure it will be easy for GMU to get to 30 based on VCU's D.
And because of the importance of the game in term's of this year's conf. standings and a rematch of last year's conference title game, I foresee some early game jitters from both sides before settling into a "normal" game flow.
Justice, very insightful post as always. And a differing opinion is always welcomed.
The pace at which VCU would like to play always makes their unders scary. However, I am counting more on them to bring a defensive intensity tonight. In terms of adj. def. efficiency, VCU is 5th in the conference behind NE, ODU, Drexel, and Hofstra. In the 5 games GMU has played against these opponents, the halftime scores have been 56, 59, 53, 68, and 46. Can VCU get to 35-38 pts in the first half tonight, sure, they have proven it multiple times this year. But I'm not sure it will be easy for GMU to get to 30 based on VCU's D.
And because of the importance of the game in term's of this year's conf. standings and a rematch of last year's conference title game, I foresee some early game jitters from both sides before settling into a "normal" game flow.
I've watched a # of GMU games this year, they certainly seem like a tempo person and not the dictator. I like your thoughts on VCU D shutting them down under 30 in the first half.
I've watched a # of GMU games this year, they certainly seem like a tempo person and not the dictator. I like your thoughts on VCU D shutting them down under 30 in the first half.
Very good points as well riccio. The adj. def. efficiency is substantial here and I agree that both teams could come out tentative but if VCU creates frontcourt pressure I could see a few turnovers leading to fastbreak chances and more fouls. You definitely give another perspective to consider on this total though.
Might just lay off and enjoy the game and I'll probably just stick with my two plays locked in so far for tonight WF 1H -3 and Akron/CMU 1H o60.5. I have to go dig out my car here from the Arctic Circle known as Michigan... getting 8-10 inches tonight and the crap is already coming down hard. I really need to move! GL with the play tonight.
Very good points as well riccio. The adj. def. efficiency is substantial here and I agree that both teams could come out tentative but if VCU creates frontcourt pressure I could see a few turnovers leading to fastbreak chances and more fouls. You definitely give another perspective to consider on this total though.
Might just lay off and enjoy the game and I'll probably just stick with my two plays locked in so far for tonight WF 1H -3 and Akron/CMU 1H o60.5. I have to go dig out my car here from the Arctic Circle known as Michigan... getting 8-10 inches tonight and the crap is already coming down hard. I really need to move! GL with the play tonight.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.