Sloop Wednesday (100-79-5)

Question

100-79-5 YTD17-14 JanuaryYesterday:2-4 College2-6 NBABurn, baby, burn!One as of right now:Drexel u117.5

sloop703 · Answer

100-79-5 YTD17-14 JanuaryYesterday:2-4 College2-6 NBABurn, baby, burn!One as of right now:Drexel u117.5

richmondfan · Answer

Loving towson&#x2B;21 here...they have been playing "better" of late...drexel plays at such a snails rate I cant see them blowing anyone out....I see a 55-40 game here

mariner24 · Answer

like it

sloop703 · Answer

Drexel underTowson is the #314 team in adjusted tempo, and Drexel is #311. So obviously, these are two of the slowest teams in the country, and neither have great offenses. Towson is the #343 team in points per game, at 52.3, and #324 overall in FG%. They&#x27;ve only put more than 60 points on the board once this season, and have had over 1/3 of their games in the 40s.I feel kind of bad for Towson, because everyone knew they were going to be awful, but somehow they got stuck with the #36 hardest overall non-conference schedule.I went back and looked at all the games that Towson has played, and was pretty surprised at what I found. Their schedule has been loaded with fast teams. Take a look. These are the teams, followed by their adjusted tempos (out of a possible 345 teams) from Kenpom:Kansas: 39Michigan: 287Belmont: 101Greensboro: 17Oregon St.: 16Massachusetts: 7Mason: 150La Salle: 69Baltimore County: 95Coppin State: 144Manhattan: 75Vermont: 322Virginia: 339Northeastern: 201As you can see, only four of their oppenents out of fourteen have fallen out of the top 250 in tempo. Here they are:vs. Michigan: 64-47vs. Vermont: 65-49vs. UVa: 57-50vs. Northeastern: 57-48And every single one of those games stayed under the total for this Drexel game. Also, in every single one of those games, Towson failed to score over 50 points. I couldn&#x27;t believe none of the opponents were able to score over 65. And Michigan has the #38 offense in the country, and UVa has #92. (Vermont and Northeastern have offenses similar to Drexel.)Drexel prides themselves on their defense, and has been struggling offensively lately. They are #291 in points per game, are #236 in FG%, #178 in adjusted efficiency, but only #217 at effective FG%. They don&#x27;t shoot the long ball, and are 8th in the country at preventing it (not that it matters, because Towson doesn&#x27;t shoot 3s anyway).Towson&#x27;s defense is horrible, yet somehow, they&#x27;ve held 7 of their 14 opponents to 66 or less points. And remember, that&#x27;s on the #44 overall schedule and #36 non-conference schedule, with offensive powerhouses such as Kansas, Michigan, Belmont, Oregon St., UVA....Also, this is Towson&#x27;s 3rd game in 6 days, and Drexel&#x27;s 4th game in 8 days. So hopefully they&#x27;re both gassed and will play at their usual crawl pace.Good luck if you decide to play

sloop703 · Answer

I absolutely agree. In fact, I think that might be even safer than playing the total.Towson &#x2B;21

mariner24 · Answer

excellent write up my friend

sloop703 · Answer

Towson &#x2B;21Towson &#x2B;1h whatever it isBecause of all of the reasons stated above. And, Towson has only had 3 games this season that have resulted in losses greater than 20 points:1) Away, @ Kansas: lost by 46. This was the first game of the season for Towson. Kansas has the #21 offense and the #39 tempo. And #3 defense.2) Semi-Away against Belmont, lost by 46. Third game of the season; Belmont has the #11 offense and the #101 overall tempo. And #67 defense.3) Away @ UMass, lost by 30, 6th game of the season. UMass is the #7 fastest team in the country, and the #165 offense. And the #72 defense.(&#xD;&#xA;I failed to mention before: Drexel is #46 in the country at overall adjusted efficiency at defense. So hopefully you didn&#x27;t miss the point I was trying to emphasize: Drexel plays lockdown defense.)So, as you can see, although these teams are similar to Drexel in that they play lockdown defense, all of these teams have offenses WAYYYY better than Drexel, are extremely fast-paced, and and all three of them are non-conference so are likely unfamiliar. And all three happened in November. Since that time, Towson has improved I think it&#x27;s fair to say, and has remained playing very tough opponents. Towson should be more familiar with Drexel as they are in conference, and not have to worry about them pushing the tempo or about them putting up crazy amounts of points.This is not the type of team that can cover a 21 point spread as a favorite. They have one win this year by a margin greater than 21 points: a 24 point win against Binghamton, one of the 5 division 1 teams that are worse than Towson. And Binghamton plays the #224 overall pace, which is not fast, but still much, much faster than Towson.I should mention that Drexel beat #300 St. Francis by exactly 21 points at home. St. Francis is a slow team like Towson is, at #312 in tempo, and is similar in most numbers. But I still love my chances here.

sloop703 · Answer

Thanks man. I&#x27;ve been pretty mediocre lately, so hopefully I can start getting back on track and getting some easier wins with my write-ups. I feel really strongly about this one though.

sloop703 · Answer

It&#x27;s absolutely poor logic to assume that Towson can remain competitive based on this fact, but it&#x27;s still interesting:Drexel lost to Virginia earlier in the season on a neutral court @ the Paradise Jam, 49-35Towson lost to Virginia last week, at Virginia, 57-50

sloop703 · Answer

Adding:West Virginia -3

sloop703 · Answer

Tennessee &#x2B;9 (b.5)Tulsa &#x2B;1Texas PKIowa &#x2B;8 (b.5)

sloop703 · Answer

Get you some road dogs!

sloop703 · Answer

god damnit i just booked them all and i didnt see that iowa has Ohio State on Saturday. Fuck that, might buy off. decide in the morning

sloop703 · Answer

talk about the absolute KING of all sandwich spots, w/ a win @ Wisconsin on Saturday and a huge game vs Ohio St this SaturdaySCRATCH IOWA

sloop703 · Answer

Buying points in college basketball is stupid. It&#x27;s even more idiotic when you wind up buying off a game. DUH, smooth move, Sloop.

jabbadon · Answer

Good luck brother Sloop keep doing your thing

phurrr-dimes · Answer

Marathon sir

ECUWalker · Answer

with you on towson.

Orangemen44 · Answer

GL

DRE-DAY · Answer

gl

zamigo6 · Answer

like the Towson pick...if vegas didnt think they could cover they would have left them off the board...as soon as the public sees them they pounce on whoever they are playing

zamigo6 · Answer

actually appears the public is 60% on towson, i take back what i said but still like them to cover this number...BOL

BravesFan1984 · Answer

BOL Sloop &#xD;&#xA;Let&#x27;s get &#x27;em!

sloop703 · Answer

Xavier -2Because they have to win eventually, right???All jokes aside....it&#x27;s a bad idea to bet on teams that are in a slide. I&#x27;ve learned this the hard way by betting on this team once before, as well as by continuously betting on Memphis and Pitt. But I love my chances here; Xavier is finally back to full strength and I&#x27;m expecting their chemistry to start clicking in this game. I didn&#x27;t get to catch the Gonzaga game the other day, but I know it was a 7 point loss at home, where they&#x27;re supposedly invincible. And they were back in full strength for that game. But you have to remember, this Gonzaga team is an 11-2, top 25 team, earning that record through the #56 overall strength of schedule and #46 non-conference SoS; if Xavier had lost to them by this same margin, regardless of the whole fight and whatever even happening, most people wouldn&#x27;t think much of it and say "oh ok, well there goes Xavier&#x27;s home record; they lost to a very talented Gonzaga team." So, in my opinion, it&#x27;s not fair to throw them in the shitter in their first game back at full strength. Xavier catches a 10-4 La Salle team tonight, and it&#x27;s the perfect opportunity for them to take their frustration out and to get back on the right foot. Chris Mack is 29-3 in conference play since his time at Xavier. Unbelievable. A little bit about this La Salle team:They were projected to finish 13 out of 14 in the A-10 and #217 all NCAA. They&#x27;re a very young team; #287 on experience on Kenpom. This Xavier team is very talented and very experienced, returning their top 3 scorers this year. These two teams met once last year, which resulted in a 100-62 slaughter (Xavier winning).La Salle&#x27;s record is impressive, but there&#x27;s a good opportunity it might be a sham. Sure, they&#x27;ve had close losses to Pitt, Villanova, and Robert Morris, which shouldn&#x27;t be ignored, but all of those teams are having a lot of trouble this year as well. Look at their wins: only two of them were against top 200 teams: #129 Bucknell and #182, James Madison (my alma mater, and a terrible basketball school). They play the #319 overall and non-conference schedule this year.Also, likely a mismatch in the frontcourt, as La Salle is a fast-paced team that relies heavily on guard play. La Salle is #275 in offensive rebounding and #118 in defensive.Control the boards. LaSalle is a poor rebounding team and they are on the short end of the spectrum as far as their big men are concerned. Other than 6&#x27;11" freshman Steve Zack - who plays only about a quarter of the Explorer&#x27;s minutes - they don&#x27;t have anyone who can challenge Kenny Frease for size on the glass. After getting crushed on the glass against Gonzaga, the Muskies need to have a bounce back game. If Xavier can&#x27;t control the glass against LaSalle, there&#x27;s the distinct possibility that they&#x27;re a bad rebounding team.&#xD;&#xA;Like my chances here, and think this is the game that Xavier gets back on the right foot.

Sloop Wednesday (100-79-5)

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