I like the way you broke down the picks for Saturday especially highlighting the overs and unders for key matchups. The Kansas vs WVU and Houston vs Baylor overs make sense with both teams pushing the pace early and the Georgia Tech vs Miami under feels solid given Miamis defensive consistency. I was also looking at Creighton at home against St. John their spacing and shooting could make them a strong cover. For some of the under plays like Michigan TT under 94.5 do you think thats more about slower game pace or just their offensive struggles lately?
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I like the way you broke down the picks for Saturday especially highlighting the overs and unders for key matchups. The Kansas vs WVU and Houston vs Baylor overs make sense with both teams pushing the pace early and the Georgia Tech vs Miami under feels solid given Miamis defensive consistency. I was also looking at Creighton at home against St. John their spacing and shooting could make them a strong cover. For some of the under plays like Michigan TT under 94.5 do you think thats more about slower game pace or just their offensive struggles lately?
I haven't been great at getting recent stats incorporated for CBB so for the Michigan TT I am looking at pace of play and efficiency YTD for offense and defense to come up with a number to model against the line. Then setting a Home Court advantage or away penalty if necessary.
I would like to get to the point where I can weigh recent play with YTD play but I am not there yet. Pretty tough with CBB dealing with the 300 plus teams and the significant strength of opponent issues.
BOL Smith
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@smithjon
I haven't been great at getting recent stats incorporated for CBB so for the Michigan TT I am looking at pace of play and efficiency YTD for offense and defense to come up with a number to model against the line. Then setting a Home Court advantage or away penalty if necessary.
I would like to get to the point where I can weigh recent play with YTD play but I am not there yet. Pretty tough with CBB dealing with the 300 plus teams and the significant strength of opponent issues.
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