MONDAY 151

 

 

Norfolk st @ Del st should be interesting, Norfolk had beaten del st 16 times in a row till last year when Delaware st won at home as a 2.5 pt dog 85-71, they are playing well right now and are at home getting 7, and another thing they are scoring points, which brings the OVER into play at 147 , Del st is 5-0 STR up at home and are 2-0 ats at home, but Norfolk is also 2-0 ats as an away favorite......as far as the OVER Norfolk st is 6-2 OVER after a win, and Del st is 4-1 OVER after a loss both those are in play so I do favor the over also .....man I love digging into these games lol   have to like Delaware st at home here getting 7  I have been on them 3 of last 4 and they covered each time  was not on them at St Joe's ,   I'm on them again and may play the over also  

 

delaware st +7.5 -120 HardRock I always grab the half point  or go up to next point  or drop the half pt is laying, they say it will cost you??  well if your betting 100  and paying 5 or 10 extra, and you get a push by doing it where you would have lost, or you win and don't push or lose  that 100 you win will in turn cover the nest 10 you do it on...I have won so many I should not have, or by buying to 9 from 8,5 when it lands on 9  its well worth it in my book, how many times does that half pt fk ya   and if ya say that it don't well then it does not fuck others who buy the half    its a personal choice but so many   Saturday night NFL Cinn was -2.5  they won by 2  and guess who said fuck it I'll lay 1.5  lol   I see people all the time -3.5  +3.5 I mean supposedly we are wagering hundreds a game  we going to worry about -115 and -120???  like 1st time in Vegas  19 yrs old I asked the waitress how much the carafe of coffee was? and she looked at me weird and said why, does it make a diff, your in Vegas...lol

 

Opinion over 146.5

ICW @ Lamar could be interesting, looking at it I am kind of leaning to ICW +5 , they do well on the road and as a dog, won their last 4 and 5 of 6 losing at Duke, but 3 of those games were against smaller schools, and Lamar has won their last 2 and 7 of their last 8 but they are very good away, they each won at home last year playing each other, but ICW is 4-1 ats away and 4-1 ats as a dog, but just 1-4 STR up away...and 4-2 ats after a win,and 2-0 ats with 1 day off.... Lamar is 0-2 ats at home, and 1-1 ats as a favorite, and 0-1 ats as a home favorite, and 1-0 ats with 1 day off.....ICW does shoot better on the road, 43% and 37% from 3, while Lamar at home shoots 39% and 29% from 3 at home , 3 of the 5 losses for ICW were within 5 points 70-72, 74-75, and 78-83 so they do tend to keep things close, so 5 may be worth a look ...just passing info along 

 Great stuff, GL 

@RUM151

Do you ever attack lines with a euro approach? 

1 unit at -2.5  (-120)    
1 unit at -3 (-110)

= 2 units at -2.75 

Good luck Rum.  

@JJWoods

 no I handicap as if I was setting a line, I did this stuff at WWTS for a few years in the late 90's , down in Antigua 

good luck

FWIW, I do the same. Purely anecdotal but I've tracked the results a couple of times. Both times very close to break-even. Others may feel differently, but for me well worth it to avoid losing by a half point which makes my head explode! lol. Always very much appreciate your posts and write-ups. Best of luck to you and all! 

Hope some of ya maybe took ICW if you liked them I did get 4.5 and now its 3  or 3.5  does not mean its a winner, but I did get the best line available for the team that I liked and that is the goal  and I did put a small play on the over 146 in the del st game 

over 146 del st  small  half unit

 

 

ICW +4.5  1 unit 

Lamar is due for some regression and Word doesn't seem fazed by going on the road. 

Norfolk St / Delaware St now starts at 4:30 Eastern, 1:30 Pacific

@RUM151

 Like your perspective

intersting take on yesterday's slate- of the 16 games that had the team that had won more games head to head S/U vs. their opponent, 13 teams that had lost more S/U covered the spread yesterday. Only Purdue and Iona had more wins S/U and also covered the spread. One game was a push.7 favorites and 6 dogs covered w/ that scenario. Smaller slate today , and there are 9 games matching that formula, and Del. St. is one of those teams. See how it plays out today

Immaculate Word is another on the list.

I know I posted about taking the OVER 155 yesterday in the Wisconsin game  I'll bet I wrote it and never hit send  hate that  but I did bet over 155 in the game when it came out last night

 

over 155 1.5 units  I know its like 158 now 

You like over in Norfolk 145?

Good Luck today Rum!!

man looking at Texas pan am or Texas Rio Grande  the line is only 3 and this team has the stats that they should win this game by more than 3 but the line worries me some, they won 10 of last 12 and last 5 but 3 were against smaller schools, they are 10-4  7-2 STR up after a win, but 1-3 STR up away, 5-2 ats after a win and 4-0 ats away, 5-2 ats as a favorite too, SEL has only had 1 home game, and they are 6-4-1 ats as a dog, both teams do score some points and the total is 147, its hard to see how a team shoots at home when they had 1 game.... 

 

I sort of favor Nicholls st laying 5 , and Texas AM com does turn it over a lot, they are avg 18 to's at home this year, and Nicholls has won on the road a few times this year, and even their losses have been really  close except for the loss at Gonzaga, so they I think would maybe make sense too

 

NW st getting 11.5 or 12 might make sense too, they are 6-2 ats as a dog, and 4-1 STR up at home, they shoot well at home and they do avg 17 assist at home and Mcneese st avg's just 9 away, and they should be able to rebound at home also,   

just a few   and maybe Ohio st on the road, Minnesota is struggling, and the last 2 times these 2 played they scored a lot of pts, Minnesota won 88-79 last year at home and Ohio st won at home 84-74  this total is like 136  but Minnesota does want to keep games in the 50's  they just have a hard time holding teams to that, 

 

to be honest I do not like the card  I bet the games I bet   Delaware st is down 42-30 at home, they started out slow and got 72 at half, maybe my over comes through, del st has to pick it up in the 2nd half..Norfolk is shooting 53%  to 30%  only thing keeping them in it is that they are 9/10 at the ft line  

 

I am laying off  may play something  but will not be posting   gl everyone   151

@Interstellar

 I bet it over 146   so yea I would have