Week 4 Early Plays

8-3-0 so far (-0.05) Units.

TOR@OTT : TOR +2.5 ATS for the full game, (-1.05).  1.05 to win 1.

TOR@OTT : TOR ML (+1.20).  1.00 to win 1.20.

I am seriously thinking of taking HAM this week hosting MTL.  Just waiting for the line to move to 3 or higher.

Let down spot for MTL.

GL

Back later...

If you caught the post game press conference, Ryan Dinwiddie was pissed!

Calling out players, called one guy fat!.  Said other players are on their way home.

The entire team is on notice.

I like to back a team with its back against the wall.  Bob dyce got his win last week in this very same role.

TOR's Arbuckle actually looked good later in the game.  Protection & confidence + one HELL of a motivated team!!

Give me TOR all around.

Tomorrow I will see what the database has to say about all of this.

GL.

I go check the line & HAM moves to +3.

MTL@HAM : HAM +3, 1.10 to win 1.

Tomorrow the database might scare me but I always like to get my bets in early & if I have to, I buy off the bet.

Get rid of it.  Pay a little juice, so what.

Oftentimes you lose the value on a team later in the week.

This HAM line might go higher?  

Already the lines are on the move.

So far 3 plays.

TOR +2.5, (-1.05) 1.05 to win 1.

TOR ML (+1.20) 1.00 to win 1.20.

HAM +3 (-1.10) 1.10 to win 1.

GL.

If that TOR line hits +3 which it should, Hmm, I might have to go back to the window.

is brown playing QB for OTTAWA  this week?

Big question?  Nothing on CFL.ca so far.  He has suffered some sort of hip injury.  It must be serious.

Nothing on any podcasts I have listened to.  It is Monday night, lol.  Even if he plays, It has been a long time since he last played meaning football.

It will take him a game or 2 to get acclimated.

If you hear anything, post it please.

If he has a hip pointer or flexor, it will only take one good hit to put him back on the sidelines.

I have never seen Mr. Crum put 2 good games together, back to back & it is Bob Dyce.

He got his win last week in CGY but the weather played a big part.  Not his coaching.

I am still on TOR all around.

What a run you have been on Chef during regular season going back 2 seasons now.

Continued success ! 

Thanks HayHay2.

Rest advantage for week 4.

EDM (6) @ WPG (4)

MTL (7) @ HAM (12) coming off bye week 3.

BC (6) SSK (7)

TOR (8) @ OTT (7)

Not much in the database for TOR@OTT.  Sometimes that is a good thing.

Equal measure for MTL@HAM both ways.  Once again, might be a good thing.

The season is still early.

AS per CFL.ca

As far as QB's, week 4...

 Dru Brown and Nathan Rourke are questionable, Chad Kelly could be making a return and the Alouettes may be without Davis Alexander.

Welcome to the CFL.

I listen to this podcast "follow the money" & one of the hosts says... when it comes to betting baseball, you only need two things... 

A bottle of whisky & a revolver!

So true.

I'll take Toronto if Kelly is back.....like  Crum, Arbuckle off a decent game......almost certainly he'll go back to what he really is, or maybe he'll be holding a clipboard.

There is this...

When TORONTO played as Home or Away Team - Vs OTTAWA, last 10 games, 7-3-0, SU, 8-2-0 ATS.

MTL@HAM : HAM coming off a bye week, since 2017, 14-5-0, Last season. 3-0-0, year before that, 1-2-0, before that, 3-0-0

Not bad.

The line moves and non practice status tell us surely that Davis Alexander is not playing Friday.

vanlith, I agree.  MBT should start.  Guaranteed he will throw 1 good interception, at the worst time for MTL.

He did it in preseason, lol.

EDM@WPG,

I have to put something on this game...

2nd Half Scoring Trend Continues: In Wks #1-3 scoring averaged 52.0 ppg but ... with a major emphasis on the 2nd Half of
games. Scoring split Wk #1-3 - 1st H: 240 pts 2nd H: 384. That means 62% of all scoring has been made after half-time.

EDM@WPG : Under 25.5 for the 1st half only.  1.1 to win 1.

10-13 for WPG, 12 mins left in the 2nd QTR,

I will just concede this lost 1st half game.

8-4-0 (-1.15) Units.

Elks D backs are trash