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    All Forums | CFL

    CFL Week 20 OTT@TOR

    CFLChef
    FillyFlier16
    BPD72
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    Views: 166
    Posts: 14
     
    CFLChef
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2024 - 4:10 PM ET #1

    Tricky game for sure!

    I bet against OTT last week.  The most penalized team in the CFL.  Does that change over the course of say... 4 days!

    OTT will be playing on basically 4 days of rest.  TOR has 7 days of rest advantage.  They did have to fly back from WPG.  OTT played last week in MTL then off to TOR for this game.

    OTT actually stayed with MTL last week.  12 penalties for 122 yds killed them!  MTL 7-59.

    OTT is getting about 6 starters back for this game.  Lots of team leaders.  Dru Brown is going to start.

    To say the entire team & coaching staff are on the hot seat would be an understatement!

    OTT needs to win this game & then beat HAM next @ home to host a home playoff game vs TOR.  

    If TOR beats OTT they will host The Eastern Semi-Final game in TOR against who... OTT.

    Now you would think OTT will be on their BEST behaviour, coach Dyce even said as much.

    But what's that saying... Old habits die hard!  One would expect a big bounce back from OTT this game.

    Still a bunch of starters coming back this week, no doubt rusty, with a QB coming back, rusty!

    This is a recipe for even more penalties.  How do you handicap this team?

    AND these 2 teams are going to meet in the Eastern Semi-Final on Sat Nov 2, probably in TOR!!

    Will TOR hold back their "A" game, try not to reveal any secrets, lol  What about OTT.  That team has secrets, lol.

    Maybe both teams run the ball & the smart play is under 50 / opened up @ 49.5

    Go against the line move?

    To me TOR is the better coached team, playing @ home, with home field on the line with this win.

    TOR ends week 21 @ EDM.  It would be nice going to EDM for a meaningless game to end the regular season, knowing that they get to go home and host OTT for the Eastern Semi-Final.  

    Side Note:  I will be looking to back EDM for that game vs TOR no doubt catching points as a home dog.

    It feels like TOR wins a close game on Sat afternoon, cover the -4.5 they win then go to EDM, do not cover, while OTT goes home to host HAM and uses that game to get back into game shape for their rematch against TOR @ BMO Field in TOR.

    The line is currently sitting @ TOR -4.5 (-1.15) so I believe this line will reach -5 ATS.

    Here is the problem!  Chad Kelly this season is always good for an interception and or a Pick Six.

    Just like Rourke, Kelly is not in form.  I would say he has done much better but still, here comes that INT AND always @ the worst of times.

    Dru Brown is good for one probably to!!

    How do you handicap this game?  I am sure both teams trying not to show too much & will try a few "Gadget" plays.  It never ends in the CFL.

    I believe if TOR is up in the 4th QTR OTT may lay down & wait for the rematch in 2 weeks.

     

    So I will back TOR -4.5 now before it gets to -5.  It's been -4.5 all week long.  Do we have a "Locked in Point Spread", lol.

    I now have BC on the ML (-1.30) & TOR -4.5 ATS for the full game.

    The HAM game is now @ -5 so I will wait for the 2nd Half but I do feel HAM fans get a final home win.  This is another Crazy game, lol.

    Nice.

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    Tricky game for sure!

    I bet against OTT last week.  The most penalized team in the CFL.  Does that change over the course of say... 4 days!

    OTT will be playing on basically 4 days of rest.  TOR has 7 days of rest advantage.  They did have to fly back from WPG.  OTT played last week in MTL then off to TOR for this game.

    OTT actually stayed with MTL last week.  12 penalties for 122 yds killed them!  MTL 7-59.

    OTT is getting about 6 starters back for this game.  Lots of team leaders.  Dru Brown is going to start.

    To say the entire team & coaching staff are on the hot seat would be an understatement!

    OTT needs to win this game & then beat HAM next @ home to host a home playoff game vs TOR.  

    If TOR beats OTT they will host The Eastern Semi-Final game in TOR against who... OTT.

    Now you would think OTT will be on their BEST behaviour, coach Dyce even said as much.

    But what's that saying... Old habits die hard!  One would expect a big bounce back from OTT this game.

    Still a bunch of starters coming back this week, no doubt rusty, with a QB coming back, rusty!

    This is a recipe for even more penalties.  How do you handicap this team?

    AND these 2 teams are going to meet in the Eastern Semi-Final on Sat Nov 2, probably in TOR!!

    Will TOR hold back their "A" game, try not to reveal any secrets, lol  What about OTT.  That team has secrets, lol.

    Maybe both teams run the ball & the smart play is under 50 / opened up @ 49.5

    Go against the line move?

    To me TOR is the better coached team, playing @ home, with home field on the line with this win.

    TOR ends week 21 @ EDM.  It would be nice going to EDM for a meaningless game to end the regular season, knowing that they get to go home and host OTT for the Eastern Semi-Final.  

    Side Note:  I will be looking to back EDM for that game vs TOR no doubt catching points as a home dog.

    It feels like TOR wins a close game on Sat afternoon, cover the -4.5 they win then go to EDM, do not cover, while OTT goes home to host HAM and uses that game to get back into game shape for their rematch against TOR @ BMO Field in TOR.

    The line is currently sitting @ TOR -4.5 (-1.15) so I believe this line will reach -5 ATS.

    Here is the problem!  Chad Kelly this season is always good for an interception and or a Pick Six.

    Just like Rourke, Kelly is not in form.  I would say he has done much better but still, here comes that INT AND always @ the worst of times.

    Dru Brown is good for one probably to!!

    How do you handicap this game?  I am sure both teams trying not to show too much & will try a few "Gadget" plays.  It never ends in the CFL.

    I believe if TOR is up in the 4th QTR OTT may lay down & wait for the rematch in 2 weeks.

     

    So I will back TOR -4.5 now before it gets to -5.  It's been -4.5 all week long.  Do we have a "Locked in Point Spread", lol.

    I now have BC on the ML (-1.30) & TOR -4.5 ATS for the full game.

    The HAM game is now @ -5 so I will wait for the 2nd Half but I do feel HAM fans get a final home win.  This is another Crazy game, lol.

    Nice.

     
    CFLChef
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2024 - 5:22 PM ET #2

    Remember what I said last week...

    Sometimes when a team needs a win the most, they don't show up!!

    WPG last week & OTT

    These last 2 weeks are going to be "Squirrely"!!

    Anything can & will happen.

    These are not normal games!

    Alas, the season is winding down but we still have to bet on these games!!

    GL.

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    Remember what I said last week...

    Sometimes when a team needs a win the most, they don't show up!!

    WPG last week & OTT

    These last 2 weeks are going to be "Squirrely"!!

    Anything can & will happen.

    These are not normal games!

    Alas, the season is winding down but we still have to bet on these games!!

    GL.

     
    CFLChef
    CFLChef
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    Joined: Nov, 2013
    Posts: 6122
    Posted: Oct. 18, 2024 - 5:22 PM ET #3

    Remember what I said last week...

    Sometimes when a team needs a win the most, they don't show up!!

    WPG last week & OTT

    These last 2 weeks are going to be "Squirrely"!!

    Anything can & will happen.

    These are not normal games!

    Alas, the season is winding down but we still have to bet on these games!!

    GL.

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    Remember what I said last week...

    Sometimes when a team needs a win the most, they don't show up!!

    WPG last week & OTT

    These last 2 weeks are going to be "Squirrely"!!

    Anything can & will happen.

    These are not normal games!

    Alas, the season is winding down but we still have to bet on these games!!

    GL.

     
    CFLChef
    CFLChef
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    Posts: 6122
    Posted: Oct. 18, 2024 - 5:23 PM ET #4

    Is there an echo here?

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    Is there an echo here?

     
    FillyFlier16
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2024 - 6:44 PM ET #5

    I take it your favorite play of the weekend is BC on the moneyline?

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    I take it your favorite play of the weekend is BC on the moneyline?

     
    CFLChef
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2024 - 6:51 PM ET #6

    Yes Sir.

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    Yes Sir.

     
    FillyFlier16
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2024 - 7:41 PM ET #7

    Thanks CFLChef.

    Appreciate your CFL insight and writeups. peace_5

     

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    Thanks CFLChef.

    Appreciate your CFL insight and writeups. peace_5

     

     
    CFLChef
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2024 - 3:09 PM ET #8

    Game time.  Here we go.

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    Game time.  Here we go.

     
    CFLChef
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2024 - 3:40 PM ET #9

    End of the 1st QTR.

    Score 0-14 for TOR.

    OTT turns over the ball.  TOR @ the 29

    OTT 1-1st down.  TOR 12-1st downs.

    OTT 3:35 TOP - TOR 11:25 TOP

    GO TOR.

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    End of the 1st QTR.

    Score 0-14 for TOR.

    OTT turns over the ball.  TOR @ the 29

    OTT 1-1st down.  TOR 12-1st downs.

    OTT 3:35 TOP - TOR 11:25 TOP

    GO TOR.

     
    CFLChef
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2024 - 4:25 PM ET #10

    The 2nd Half line is TOR -2 

    There is too big a difference between the 2 scores.

    If anything I would take the 2 with OTT.

    Looks like I have a winner with TOR -4.5 ATS for the full game for now.

    I will stick with this play.

    NO 2nd Half play.

     

     

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    The 2nd Half line is TOR -2 

    There is too big a difference between the 2 scores.

    If anything I would take the 2 with OTT.

    Looks like I have a winner with TOR -4.5 ATS for the full game for now.

    I will stick with this play.

    NO 2nd Half play.

     

     

     
    BPD72
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2024 - 5:21 PM ET #11

    Terrible performance by Ottawa. 

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    Terrible performance by Ottawa. 

     
    BPD72
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2024 - 5:26 PM ET #12

    After Hamilton win and the over, went from 11th to 6th in net units. Tied 3rd in overall wins. But picking Ottawa and the under will drop me from 6th. Was hoping to get into the top 3 to win an good prize. 38-12 at 50 pts already reached the over, Ottawa would need an miracle to come back and cover the spread. 

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    After Hamilton win and the over, went from 11th to 6th in net units. Tied 3rd in overall wins. But picking Ottawa and the under will drop me from 6th. Was hoping to get into the top 3 to win an good prize. 38-12 at 50 pts already reached the over, Ottawa would need an miracle to come back and cover the spread. 

     
    CFLChef
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2024 - 5:56 PM ET #13

    Afternoon BPD72.

    Crazy ending for sure.

    Over bettors are happy!

    2 weeks from now OTT might just be the play.  They will be getting points for sure.

    I will take this win.

    2-0 so far this CFL weekend.

    Big game up next for me.  BC -1.30 ML.

    GO BC.

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    Afternoon BPD72.

    Crazy ending for sure.

    Over bettors are happy!

    2 weeks from now OTT might just be the play.  They will be getting points for sure.

    I will take this win.

    2-0 so far this CFL weekend.

    Big game up next for me.  BC -1.30 ML.

    GO BC.

     
     
    CFLChef
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2024 - 5:59 PM ET #14

    Sorry BC -1.35 ML.

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    Sorry BC -1.35 ML.

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