CFL Week 10

Hey folks - better week for me last week minus the Bombers as I swept my bets outside of that game. Really happy with my read on the Salter rushing yards, just wish I laddered it. 

Calgary @ Toronto (+1.5) 

Looking at these two teams, I think everyone would agree that Calgary is the better team. That said, Toronto is returning home (finally) and is coming off a bye so expect them to be juiced up for this one. The total is astronomical. I wish I took some under 70, but you can't play the over this high and almost have to bet on the under just by merit alone. I like Calgary, but I worry about a motivated Toronto team, so nothing for me here. Could be a good live betting game though.

Ottawa @ Saskatchewan (-7.5)

Ottawa and Winnipeg are firmly on the banned list. However, I think Saskatchewan could be vunerable this week. No AJ, KSB, Emilus. But I can't bet on Ottawa whatsoever.

Bet: Keesean Johnson Over 85.5 Receiving Yards - Keesean has had a great season so far and now his top 2 competitors for targets are out. I would suspect a large target share for Keesean and a Ottawa defence that can't cover him.

Lean: Quali Conley rushing yards over  - this kid has confidence and talent. That reverse hurdle last week was awesome, and I only expect his usage to go up. Waiting for a line to drop though, hoping for less than 50. 

Edmonton @ Montreal (-3.5)

I've been waiting for the Edmonton exposing to happen for a while now and I'm going to play it this week. I think Montreal puts the beating on. After 2 big divisional games for the Elks, they go out east and have to avoid a letdown. And don't kid yourself - Montreal doesn't forget that Edmonton took their 0. 

Bets: Montreal -3.5 (-118), Rankin Under 83.5 (-114), Travis Theis ATTD (-120)

Hamilton @ BC (-6.5) 

Well, this is the spot for BC to get right. Rourke back, against a team with god knows who starting at QB. I expect BC to roll. Rourke wouldn't be playing if he wasn't fully healthy so I expect nothing but his best.

Bets: BC -5 (-115), BC -6.5 (-115), Hamilton TT U27.5 (-135) - this was going to be my best bet but this moved from -135 to -270 overnight, and Keon Hatcher Over 75.5 Receiving Yards. 

Side note - I bet BC +6.5 against Calgary already for next Thursday on FD.

Like that side note.. Also jumped on Lions +6.5 next week...

If Rourke is 100% this should be -3 tops. 

@HomeDresser

 Totally agree. BC still hurt, but VA has largely been bad against BC in his career.

Keesean cashes at half!

Going for a bit of a middle on Rankin…

Over 67.5 rushing yards. (Have below 83 already)

Nice game for me. 5 yards short of a middle hurts, but hit Rankin U82.5 (hit it twice), Als -3.5 and a nice +589 SGP. Theis with 100 yards rushing and tackled twice inside the 8 and not scoring hurts but up 7.3 units from that one. 

Nice. Don't go too hard or they'll limit you (just like most books have me) lol. 

@HomeDresser

 365 has always been good to me. The SGP was on FD so we’ll see how they handle it haha