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Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:
I hope the man makes a full recovery and is able to resume his brilliant career next year, but for now, I am going to enjoy every week of New England's 4-12 season.
Little to soon Mrbator......... The patriots success has been based mostly on them having 2 of the best at what they do. Quaterback and coach. Have some faith in big Bill. This team brady less MAY be better than some of the teams Bill has coached to and won a superbowl with. they may struggle for a few weeks, but coaches get paid to deal with these things, and the patriots have the best one in the business. |
3rd_and_Long | 122 |
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lonetreejj | 7 |
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The "U" = Miami FSU = Florida State
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WussieMan | 37 |
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Aviator is
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special__k | 24 |
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Weathered | 79 |
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I belive it is back asswords.
Good Luck Wussie
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WussieMan | 11 |
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This system is does not make any sence. It is borderline laughable.
What is the significance of a 1 unit play when you are wagering 160 unit on other plays?
Why not wait untill you have a game you are exremely confident in and wager 160 units on it. Besides for hitting on the 160 unit play this system was about-10 units. Does not make sence to me
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bpd67 | 143 |
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Sdiinc.... please try to take into account what i have written above. the formula you are using would hit at a consitant 60% approx. 10 years ago, when starting pitching was the underlaying majority of handicapping professional baseball. However; unfortuantly, this is no longer the case and has left many cappers stugeling w/ formulas and turning to subjective means of analysis. you, my friend seem to understand the importance of leaving subjectivity out of handicapping because this will destroy a bankroll faster than anything else. Find a way to add the latter innings into your formula in a productive way and you sould raise your percentage by a number of points. You are doing a great job for someone "relativly new to handiapping". remeber, be as indeppth as possible, stick to your system, and you will have consitant winnings. Good luck w/ all your plays, and god bless. Gin and Tonic
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sdiinc | 299 |
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This is the exact same thing that happened a few year ago. He sat out a few games back then not just 1. Came in a few days later said he wanted to be a Red Sox still. He pinch hit in the ninth and singled up the middle. Fenway gave him a standing o. one of the wierdest things iv ever seen in sports
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VGPOP | 48 |
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replied to
Scintillating Sunday Picks 07/27 (Picking up the pieces as I eye the home stretch)
in MLB Betting Lan did u see them in Boston? you from that area?
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lanastasis | 43 |
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input appreciated
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TheStugots | 79 |
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Yes the diference is very minimal. I use strickly on base percentage aswell. I am going to try to back test this if i get time oer the next week or so, if not it will be offseason work. The whole principal behind my thinking is that why take walks into account if you can estimate there will be almost 0 walks. or at least such a small amount of walks that it would be more accurate to leave them out of the caluculations. In baseball especially the smallest things can help a lot, I believe you said baseball is the ultimate grind. Just a theory iv been thinking about
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TheStugots | 79 |
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I guess this is why they have eHarmony
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SofaKingRaw | 207 |
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Thanks for the tip. I will look further into this bet. Did you lock in before the aquired Shockey?
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HeadOverHeart | 4 |
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replied to
Scintillating Sunday Picks 07/27 (Picking up the pieces as I eye the home stretch)
in MLB Betting Lanastasis, when you get a chance take a look at The Stugots thread How do you cap your baseball games. I posed a question that i am interested in hearing your input. Thanks
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lanastasis | 43 |
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This is a question for the people discussing the on base percentage at the begining of the tread. I was wondering if at what point (if any) that batting average becomes a more accurate stat to use than on base percentage. For instance, a game with 2 aces on the hill, who issue very few walks, and an under umpire w a large strike zoke. When capping a game like this is it more accurate to handicap using average instead of on base percentage?? Just a thought, any input would be appreciated.
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TheStugots | 79 |
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Your formula sounds very similar to the one of the tools i use. Try incorpoating bullpen ERA aswell. You must predict how long the starter will be pitching. A simple start for doing this would be taking the average amount of innings a pitcher lasts durring a start (get as indepth as you can tho when making ur predition). If you predict a pitcher will last 6 1/3 innings it would be foolish to handicapp the entire game with those pitchers statistics. The average bullpen ERA can be used next or watever numbers you please. 6 1/3 innings and 2 2/3 innings make a sum of 27 outs. for these numbers use the starters ERA for 19 outs and the bullpens for the remaining 8. if the Starters ERA is 3.25 and the bullpens is 3.75, (3.25 X 19) + (8 X 3.75) = 91.75. Divide this number by 27 and you should have an ERA of approximatly 3.39. This is all very elementry and just a start but you seem smart enough to find a good way to incorporate this into you formula. Good Luck
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sdiinc | 299 |
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AL looks the play, But laying -140 in the All-Star game . Ill sit this one out. GL
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wredskins | 64 |
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replied to
Fantaboulous All-Star Picks (Yeah, that's right, I actually capped this stupid game)
in MLB Betting My money will remain on the sideline for this "exhibition" game. However; playing the dog is the correct play. GL
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lanastasis | 74 |
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[Quote: Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers] Eli in the top 10 is hilarious.
I dont care about one decent playoff run, look at his season and career numbers. The kid isnt a top 20 QB. |
SteelCash | 432 |
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