Warriors vs Trail Blazers NBA betting picks and predictions: Portland to continue fast starts

Damian Lillard has shot just 32.6 percent from the field in the Western Conference Finals and Portland will need him to get back on track if they want to win as 3.5-point underdogs tonight.

Monique Vág - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Monique Vág • Betting Analyst
May 20, 2019 • 03:34 ET
Damian Lillard has struggled in the NBA Western Conference Finals, shooting 32.6 percent from the field, and Portland will need him to get back on track if they want to win as 3.5-point betting underdogs tonight.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Portland Trail Blazers are 3.5-point underdogs at home against the Golden State Warriors in Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals.

The Blazers have gotten off to fast starts this series but will need to play a complete game if they hope to win tonight and stave off elimination.

We break down the odds and give our predictions and best bets for what could be the final game in this series.

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS AT PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS (+3.5, 219)

QUICK HITTER

The Blazers have gotten out to quick starts all season long averaging 30 points in the first quarter on their home court. The Warriors have the highest scoring first quarter offense away from home averaging 30.8 points. Look for the Blazers to come out with a sense of urgency and take them on the first-quarter moneyline.

PREDICTION: first quarter – moneyline Portland

FIRST HALF BET

Despite losing the first three games in the series, the Blazers have had the lead at halftime in two of the three contests. In the most recent two the Blazers have scored 66 and 65 first half points and held the Warriors under 55 in both meetings. Back the Blazers on the first half spread getting 1-point.

PREDICTION: first half spread - Portland +1

 

TEAM/PLAYER PROP

The Blazers second-half struggles continued in Game 3 as they only managed to score 33 second-half points after scoring 37 in the second quarter alone. As a team the Blazers shot 40 percent from the floor, and 31 percent from beyond the arc. 

The Blazers have one of the highest shooting percentages at home averaging 47.4 percent from the floor, and 37 from beyond the arc. Look for Portland to be more efficient from the field today.

PREDICTION: Portland team total Over 107.5

FULL GAME TOTAL

The Over has cashed in four of the most recent five road games for the Warriors, and 11 of the most recent 14 when these two squads meet up at Moda Center.

The Warriors have shot the ball well so far this series shooting 50 percent or more twice in three meetings. The Blazers have struggled from the floor and have not been able to get things going in the second half of games so far. Look for things to change today and back the Blazers to put forth their best effort in a potential elimination game.

PREDICTION: Over 219

FULL GAME SIDE

Luckily for the Blazers they once again get to play on their home court, and the Warriors will again be without Kevin Durant. The Blazers have played well at home all season winning 13 of the most recent 15 games and have posted a 37-11 record at home overall. Look for the Blazers to force a fifth game in the series with a win tonight, but grab the points as a safer option.

PREDICTION: Portland Trail Blazers +3.5

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