SCHN, Bally Sports Network

Milwaukee @ Houston props

Minute Maid Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Willy Adames Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

W. Adames
shortstop SS • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+950
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+950
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Willy Adames pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros. Willy Adames's 12.3% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) grades out in the 83rd percentile since the start of last season.

Willy Adames

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Willy Adames pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros. Willy Adames's 12.3% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) grades out in the 83rd percentile since the start of last season.

William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

W. Contreras
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+370
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+370
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros. William Contreras has been hot recently, hitting his way to a .417 wOBA in the past two weeks. William Contreras's 91.3-mph average exit velocity is among the best in MLB since the start of last season: 85th percentile.

William Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros. William Contreras has been hot recently, hitting his way to a .417 wOBA in the past two weeks. William Contreras's 91.3-mph average exit velocity is among the best in MLB since the start of last season: 85th percentile.

Victor Caratini Total Hits Props • Houston

V. Caratini
catcher C • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+370
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+370
Projection Rating

Victor Caratini will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Victor Caratini's 91.3-mph average exit velocity is among the best in the majors since the start of last season: 87th percentile.

Victor Caratini

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Victor Caratini will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Victor Caratini's 91.3-mph average exit velocity is among the best in the majors since the start of last season: 87th percentile.

Jake Bauers Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

J. Bauers
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+380
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+380
Projection Rating

Jake Bauers is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Jake Bauers will have an advantage in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros. Jake Bauers's 18.4% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) grades out in the 97th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Jake Bauers's flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to study power) ranks in the 92nd percentile at 96.5 mph.

Jake Bauers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jake Bauers is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Jake Bauers will have an advantage in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros. Jake Bauers's 18.4% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) grades out in the 97th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Jake Bauers's flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to study power) ranks in the 92nd percentile at 96.5 mph.

Sal Frelick Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

S. Frelick
center outfield CF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+310
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+310
Projection Rating

Sal Frelick's batting average skill is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Sal Frelick will have the upper hand today. Sal Frelick has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.

Sal Frelick

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Sal Frelick's batting average skill is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Sal Frelick will have the upper hand today. Sal Frelick has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.

Blake Perkins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

B. Perkins
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Blake Perkins has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.

Blake Perkins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Blake Perkins has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.

Jackson Chourio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

J. Chourio
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-133
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-133
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros. Ranking in the 91st percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.96 ft/sec this year, Jackson Chourio is very toolsy.

Jackson Chourio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros. Ranking in the 91st percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.96 ft/sec this year, Jackson Chourio is very toolsy.

Kyle Tucker Total Hits Props • Houston

K. Tucker
right outfield RF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 11th-best batter in the majors. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Kyle Tucker will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage in today's game.

Kyle Tucker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 11th-best batter in the majors. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Kyle Tucker will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jose Altuve Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Altuve
second base 2B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jose Altuve ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Altuve is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (41.9% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jose Altuve will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jose Altuve has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 26.68 ft/sec to 27.43 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Jose Altuve

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jose Altuve ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Altuve is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (41.9% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jose Altuve will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jose Altuve has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 26.68 ft/sec to 27.43 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Yordan Alvarez Total Hits Props • Houston

Y. Alvarez
left outfield LF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in the league. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Yordan Alvarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Colin Rea in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Yordan Alvarez will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .321 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Yordan Alvarez has suffered from bad luck given the .081 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .402.

Yordan Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in the league. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Yordan Alvarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Colin Rea in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Yordan Alvarez will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .321 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Yordan Alvarez has suffered from bad luck given the .081 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .402.

Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

B. Turang
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

Brice Turang has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (70% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Brice Turang will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Arrighetti today. Brice Turang has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros. By putting up a 1.88 K/BB rate this year, Brice Turang has displayed impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 77th percentile.

Brice Turang

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Brice Turang has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (70% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Brice Turang will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Arrighetti today. Brice Turang has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros. By putting up a 1.88 K/BB rate this year, Brice Turang has displayed impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 77th percentile.

Christian Yelich Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

C. Yelich
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-233
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-233
Projection Rating

When estimating his BABIP skill, Christian Yelich is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Christian Yelich will have an advantage in today's matchup. Christian Yelich has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.

Christian Yelich

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his BABIP skill, Christian Yelich is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Christian Yelich will have an advantage in today's matchup. Christian Yelich has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.

Yainer Diaz Total Hits Props • Houston

Y. Diaz
catcher C • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Yainer Diaz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.267) implies that Yainer Diaz has been very fortunate this year with his .270 actual batting average. Yainer Diaz's 11.9% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) ranks in the 80th percentile since the start of last season. Yainer Diaz's 94.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to assess power) grades out in the 80th percentile since the start of last season.

Yainer Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Yainer Diaz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.267) implies that Yainer Diaz has been very fortunate this year with his .270 actual batting average. Yainer Diaz's 11.9% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) ranks in the 80th percentile since the start of last season. Yainer Diaz's 94.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to assess power) grades out in the 80th percentile since the start of last season.

Jeremy Pena Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Pena
shortstop SS • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Minute Maid Park. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage in today's game. Using Statcast data, Jeremy Pena ranks in the 86th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .282.

Jeremy Pena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Minute Maid Park. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage in today's game. Using Statcast data, Jeremy Pena ranks in the 86th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .282.

Jake Meyers Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Meyers
center outfield CF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-192
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-192
Projection Rating

Jake Meyers's BABIP ability is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Minute Maid Park. Jake Meyers will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jake Meyers has been hot lately, cruising to a .380 wOBA over the past two weeks. Jake Meyers is in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season).

Jake Meyers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jake Meyers's BABIP ability is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Minute Maid Park. Jake Meyers will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jake Meyers has been hot lately, cruising to a .380 wOBA over the past two weeks. Jake Meyers is in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season).

Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Houston

A. Bregman
third base 3B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Alex Bregman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Alex Bregman has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .223 BA is deflated compared to his .257 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Alex Bregman's 17.6° launch angle (an advanced standard to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in baseball: 87th percentile.

Alex Bregman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Alex Bregman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Alex Bregman has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .223 BA is deflated compared to his .257 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Alex Bregman's 17.6° launch angle (an advanced standard to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in baseball: 87th percentile.

Joey Loperfido Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Loperfido
center outfield CF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Joey Loperfido will hold the platoon advantage over Colin Rea today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Joey Loperfido will hold that advantage in today's game. Ranking in the 85th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.51 ft/sec this year, Joey Loperfido is notably toolsy.

Joey Loperfido

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Joey Loperfido will hold the platoon advantage over Colin Rea today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Joey Loperfido will hold that advantage in today's game. Ranking in the 85th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.51 ft/sec this year, Joey Loperfido is notably toolsy.

Jonathan Singleton Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Singleton
first base 1B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-177
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-177
Projection Rating

Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Jon Singleton will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Jon Singleton will hold that advantage in today's game. Jon Singleton has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 86th percentile with a 1.74 K/BB rate.

Jonathan Singleton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Jon Singleton will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Jon Singleton will hold that advantage in today's game. Jon Singleton has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 86th percentile with a 1.74 K/BB rate.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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