New Orleans 8th Western Conference49-33
Oklahoma City 1st Western Conference57-25

New Orleans @ Oklahoma City props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jose Alvarado Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Alvarado
point guard PG • New Orleans
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Jose Alvarado has successfully made 2.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season while playing away from home. Jose Alvarado has been on the court for 24.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. As it relates to shooting, the New Orleans Pelicans's outstanding 112.8 points per game as the visting team places 7th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a good one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.7). The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder).

Jose Alvarado

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

Jose Alvarado has successfully made 2.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season while playing away from home. Jose Alvarado has been on the court for 24.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. As it relates to shooting, the New Orleans Pelicans's outstanding 112.8 points per game as the visting team places 7th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a good one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.7). The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder).

Cason Wallace Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Wallace
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Cason Wallace lands in the 86th percentile for 3-point efficiency while at home with a very good 42.2% rate this year. In regard to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's exceptional 119.8 points per game ranks 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. Cason Wallace has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 21.1% more than he's converted overall this year. Cason Wallace will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player production for all stats.

Cason Wallace

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.7
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.7

Out of all players in the NBA, Cason Wallace lands in the 86th percentile for 3-point efficiency while at home with a very good 42.2% rate this year. In regard to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's exceptional 119.8 points per game ranks 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. Cason Wallace has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 21.1% more than he's converted overall this year. Cason Wallace will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player production for all stats.

Brandon Ingram Points Scored Props • New Orleans

B. Ingram
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Over
-104

Among all players in the NBA, Brandon Ingram measures in the 89th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 32.9 minutes per game this year. As it relates to shooting, the New Orleans Pelicans's outstanding 112.8 points per game as the visting team places 7th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a strong one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting SGs have posted the 2nd-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (44.1%). The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder).

Brandon Ingram

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.3
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.3

Among all players in the NBA, Brandon Ingram measures in the 89th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 32.9 minutes per game this year. As it relates to shooting, the New Orleans Pelicans's outstanding 112.8 points per game as the visting team places 7th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a strong one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting SGs have posted the 2nd-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (44.1%). The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder).

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-112

Out of all players in the league, Josh Giddey registers in the 78th percentile for shots hit, totaling an enormous 5.0 per game this year. In regard to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's exceptional 119.8 points per game ranks 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. This year, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 7.1 three attempts per game (3rd-most in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, identifying this as a good matchup. The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. Josh Giddey has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 18.1% higher than he's sunk in all games this season with the home court advantage.

Josh Giddey

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Out of all players in the league, Josh Giddey registers in the 78th percentile for shots hit, totaling an enormous 5.0 per game this year. In regard to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's exceptional 119.8 points per game ranks 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. This year, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 7.1 three attempts per game (3rd-most in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, identifying this as a good matchup. The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. Josh Giddey has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 18.1% higher than he's sunk in all games this season with the home court advantage.

Naji Marshall Points Scored Props • New Orleans

N. Marshall
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Naji Marshall has converted 54.3% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 6.8% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while playing away from home. As it relates to shooting, the New Orleans Pelicans's outstanding 112.8 points per game as the visting team places 7th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Naji Marshall has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 20.6% more than he's made over the course of the year.

Naji Marshall

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.8
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.8

Naji Marshall has converted 54.3% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 6.8% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while playing away from home. As it relates to shooting, the New Orleans Pelicans's outstanding 112.8 points per game as the visting team places 7th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Naji Marshall has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 20.6% more than he's made over the course of the year.

Trey Murphy III Points Scored Props • New Orleans

T. Murphy III
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.7
Best Odds
Over
-125

Trey Murphy III has attempted 11.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games away from home, 2.8 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Trey Murphy III has been on the court for 38.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 8.4 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. As it relates to shooting, the New Orleans Pelicans's outstanding 112.8 points per game as the visting team places 7th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Trey Murphy III has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 19.4% higher than he's converted overall this year.

Trey Murphy III

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.7
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.7

Trey Murphy III has attempted 11.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games away from home, 2.8 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Trey Murphy III has been on the court for 38.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 8.4 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. As it relates to shooting, the New Orleans Pelicans's outstanding 112.8 points per game as the visting team places 7th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Trey Murphy III has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 19.4% higher than he's converted overall this year.

Larry Nance Jr. Points Scored Props • New Orleans

L. Nance Jr.
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-141
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-141
Projection Rating

Larry Nance Jr. has successfully made 3.8 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's put through the net over the course of the season. Larry Nance Jr. has sunk 41.2% of his 3-point shots away from home this year, ranking in the 86th percentile among all players in the league. As it relates to shooting, the New Orleans Pelicans's outstanding 112.8 points per game as the visting team places 7th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder). The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games (10th-most in the league).

Larry Nance Jr.

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

Larry Nance Jr. has successfully made 3.8 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's put through the net over the course of the season. Larry Nance Jr. has sunk 41.2% of his 3-point shots away from home this year, ranking in the 86th percentile among all players in the league. As it relates to shooting, the New Orleans Pelicans's outstanding 112.8 points per game as the visting team places 7th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder). The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games (10th-most in the league).

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Under
+102

The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from being pitted against the 6th-slowest pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Pelicans). The Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from being pitted against the 6th-slowest pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Pelicans). The Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

CJ McCollum Points Scored Props • New Orleans

C. McCollum
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.9
Best Odds
Over
-118

CJ McCollum has attempted 20.2 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games, 4.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year. In contrast to last year's 2.8 rate, CJ McCollum's three-point shots made have jumped this year to 3.5 per game. CJ McCollum has been on the court for 37.8 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.0 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. As it relates to shooting, the New Orleans Pelicans's outstanding 112.8 points per game as the visting team places 7th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a good one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.7).

CJ McCollum

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.9
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.9

CJ McCollum has attempted 20.2 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games, 4.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year. In contrast to last year's 2.8 rate, CJ McCollum's three-point shots made have jumped this year to 3.5 per game. CJ McCollum has been on the court for 37.8 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.0 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. As it relates to shooting, the New Orleans Pelicans's outstanding 112.8 points per game as the visting team places 7th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a good one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.7).

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-104

Luguentz Dort has successfully made 2.0 three-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA. In regard to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's exceptional 119.8 points per game ranks 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. Luguentz Dort has successfully made 96.4% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games at home, 15.5% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year while playing at home. Over the last 19 games when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

Luguentz Dort has successfully made 2.0 three-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA. In regard to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's exceptional 119.8 points per game ranks 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. Luguentz Dort has successfully made 96.4% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games at home, 15.5% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year while playing at home. Over the last 19 games when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Jonas Valanciunas Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Valanciunas
center C • New Orleans
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-130

Out of all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas places in the 84th percentile for shooting effectiveness while on the road with a superb 54.6% rate this year. As it relates to shooting, the New Orleans Pelicans's outstanding 112.8 points per game as the visting team places 7th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Chet Holmgren is a favorable one; he has given up a whopping 15.6 points per game when facing opposing starting Cs this year (94th percentile). The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder). The showdown with Chet Holmgren as it relates to getting to the free-throw line ranks in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a massive 4.6 free throws per game this year.

Jonas Valanciunas

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Out of all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas places in the 84th percentile for shooting effectiveness while on the road with a superb 54.6% rate this year. As it relates to shooting, the New Orleans Pelicans's outstanding 112.8 points per game as the visting team places 7th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Chet Holmgren is a favorable one; he has given up a whopping 15.6 points per game when facing opposing starting Cs this year (94th percentile). The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder). The showdown with Chet Holmgren as it relates to getting to the free-throw line ranks in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a massive 4.6 free throws per game this year.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Over
-125

In contrast to last year's 14.1 rate, Jalen Williams's points per game have risen this year to 19.1. Jalen Williams has converted a terrific 42.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, a big improvement over his 33.7 rate last year. Jalen Williams has averaged 30.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. In regard to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's exceptional 119.8 points per game ranks 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. This year when they are at home, opposing starting PFs have totaled 5.4 3-point attempts per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans, designating this as a positive matchup.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.8
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.8

In contrast to last year's 14.1 rate, Jalen Williams's points per game have risen this year to 19.1. Jalen Williams has converted a terrific 42.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, a big improvement over his 33.7 rate last year. Jalen Williams has averaged 30.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. In regard to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's exceptional 119.8 points per game ranks 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. This year when they are at home, opposing starting PFs have totaled 5.4 3-point attempts per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans, designating this as a positive matchup.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.2
Best Odds
Over
-110

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has totaled 30.0 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 99th percentile. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played 33.8 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. In regard to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's exceptional 119.8 points per game ranks 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 6.1 3-point attempts per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, identifying this as a good matchup. The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.2
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.2

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has totaled 30.0 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 99th percentile. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played 33.8 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. In regard to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's exceptional 119.8 points per game ranks 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 6.1 3-point attempts per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, identifying this as a good matchup. The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.

Herbert Jones Points Scored Props • New Orleans

H. Jones
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-118

Herbert Jones has sunk 2.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from three in all games this season. Herbert Jones has tallied 30.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 82nd percentile. As it relates to shooting, the New Orleans Pelicans's outstanding 112.8 points per game as the visting team places 7th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Relative to last year's 73.1% rate, Herbert Jones's foul-shot performance has risen this year to 86.2%.

Herbert Jones

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Herbert Jones has sunk 2.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from three in all games this season. Herbert Jones has tallied 30.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 82nd percentile. As it relates to shooting, the New Orleans Pelicans's outstanding 112.8 points per game as the visting team places 7th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Relative to last year's 73.1% rate, Herbert Jones's foul-shot performance has risen this year to 86.2%.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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