FOX

St. Louis @ Milwaukee props

American Family Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Arenado
third base 3B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+950
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+950
Projection Rating

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. The 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Nolan Arenado has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .319 figure is a fair amount higher than his .284 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nolan Arenado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. The 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Nolan Arenado has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .319 figure is a fair amount higher than his .284 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. Goldschmidt
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+650
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+650
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Paul Goldschmidt has had bad variance on his side this year. His .245 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .333.

Paul Goldschmidt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Paul Goldschmidt has had bad variance on his side this year. His .245 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .333.

Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

B. Turang
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+450
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+450
Projection Rating

Brice Turang is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Brice Turang will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Gibson today.

Brice Turang

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Brice Turang is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Brice Turang will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Gibson today.

Blake Perkins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

B. Perkins
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+400
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+400
Projection Rating

The 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Blake Perkins will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Blake Perkins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Blake Perkins will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Brendan Donovan Total Hits Props • St. Louis

B. Donovan
second base 2B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+310
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+310
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. The 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Brendan Donovan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. The 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Gary Sanchez Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

G. Sanchez
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+310
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+310
Projection Rating

The 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Gary Sanchez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Gary Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Gary Sanchez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Alec Burleson Total Hits Props • St. Louis

A. Burleson
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+240
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Alec Burleson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Sal Frelick Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

S. Frelick
center outfield CF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+125
Projection Rating

Sal Frelick's batting average talent is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Sal Frelick will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup. Sal Frelick hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Sal Frelick

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Sal Frelick's batting average talent is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Sal Frelick will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup. Sal Frelick hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Jake Bauers Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

J. Bauers
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Jake Bauers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. The 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Jake Bauers will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Jake Bauers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jake Bauers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. The 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Jake Bauers will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Ivan Herrera Total Hits Props • St. Louis

I. Herrera
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-113
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-113
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. The 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Ivan Herrera's footspeed has increased this season. His 26.72 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.5 ft/sec now.

Ivan Herrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. The 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Ivan Herrera's footspeed has increased this season. His 26.72 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.5 ft/sec now.

Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis

M. Winn
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-107
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-107
Projection Rating

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Masyn Winn has had positive variance on his side this year. His .298 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .265.

Masyn Winn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Masyn Winn has had positive variance on his side this year. His .298 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .265.

Willy Adames Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

W. Adames
shortstop SS • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-192
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-192
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Willy Adames

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Rhys Hoskins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

R. Hoskins
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Rhys Hoskins ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Rhys Hoskins is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Rhys Hoskins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Rhys Hoskins ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Rhys Hoskins is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Nolan Gorman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Gorman
second base 2B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Despite posting a .266 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nolan Gorman has had some very poor luck given the .051 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317.

Nolan Gorman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Despite posting a .266 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nolan Gorman has had some very poor luck given the .051 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317.

Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis

L. Nootbaar
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an edge today.

Lars Nootbaar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an edge today.

Oliver Dunn Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

O. Dunn
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

The 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Oliver Dunn will have an advantage today. Oliver Dunn will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Oliver Dunn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Oliver Dunn will have an advantage today. Oliver Dunn will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

W. Contreras
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-263
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-263
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

William Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Dylan Carlson Total Hits Props • St. Louis

D. Carlson
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Dylan Carlson ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.340) implies that Dylan Carlson has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .279 actual wOBA.

Dylan Carlson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Dylan Carlson ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.340) implies that Dylan Carlson has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .279 actual wOBA.

Christian Yelich Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

C. Yelich
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-244
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-244
Projection Rating

When assessing his BABIP skill, Christian Yelich is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Christian Yelich

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his BABIP skill, Christian Yelich is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Matt Carpenter Total Hits Props • St. Louis

M. Carpenter
designated hitter DH • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Matt Carpenter will have an edge today.

Matt Carpenter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Matt Carpenter will have an edge today.

Jackson Chourio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

J. Chourio
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.69
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+290
Under
-425
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Season Avg.
0.69
Best Odds
Over
+290
Under
-425

Jackson Chourio has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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