Atlanta @ Seattle props

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for HRs. Julio Rodriguez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Despite posting a .280 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Julio Rodriguez has been unlucky given the .076 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .356.

Orlando Arcia pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams playing today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Orlando Arcia has suffered from bad luck this year. His .320 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .353.

When estimating his batting average skill, Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for HRs. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams playing today. When it comes to his batting average, Ronald Acuna Jr. has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .326 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .365.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Austin Riley ranks as the 17th-best batter in MLB. Austin Riley is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for HRs. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams playing today. Austin Riley has been unlucky this year, posting a .295 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .357 — a .062 gap.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 14th-best batter in the game. Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Luis Castillo throws from, Matt Olson will have an advantage in today's game. Matt Olson pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for HRs. Jarred Kelenic will have the handedness advantage over Luis Castillo in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams playing today. Ranked in the 79th percentile, Jarred Kelenic has one of the highest average exit velocities in MLB since the start of last season (90.8-mph).

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (38.6% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Cal Raleigh's 12.6% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) ranks in the 85th percentile since the start of last season. Checking in at the 80th percentile, the hardest ball Cal Raleigh has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.7 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

Mitch Garver has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (54% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Mitch Garver pulls many of his flyballs (42% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Mitch Garver will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Mitch Garver's footspeed has increased this year. His 25.58 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.09 ft/sec now. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.297) implies that Mitch Garver has had bad variance on his side this year with his .261 actual wOBA.

Travis d'Arnaud has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams playing today. Travis d'Arnaud has been hot recently, putting up a .400 wOBA in the past week. Ranked in the 76th percentile, Travis d'Arnaud has one of the highest average exit velocities in the majors since the start of last season (90.6-mph). When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Travis d'Arnaud and his 17.9% rank in the 81st percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Haniger in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Mitch Haniger pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Mitch Haniger will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Since the start of last season, Mitch Haniger's 11.3% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 81st percentile among his peers. Mitch Haniger grades out in the 88th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (19.9% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Ozzie Albies pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams playing today. Seattle's 3rd-worst outfield defense on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Ozzie Albies, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Josh Rojas is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Hitting from the opposite that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Josh Rojas will have an advantage in today's matchup. Josh Rojas has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Josh Rojas will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past 14 days, Josh Rojas has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .384.

T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for HRs. Luke Raley will have the handedness advantage over Reynaldo Lopez in today's matchup. Luke Raley will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Since the start of last season, Luke Raley's 13.2% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 89th percentile among his peers. Checking in at the 87th percentile, the hardest ball Luke Raley has connected with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.3 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In terms of his batting average, Jorge Polanco has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .234 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .260.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for HRs. Ty France will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Ty France has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .249 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .266.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Marcell Ozuna pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams playing today. In notching a .367 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Marcell Ozuna finds himself in the 93rd percentile for offensive skills.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II as the 19th-best batter in the league when estimating his batting average talent. T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for HRs. Michael Harris II will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams playing today. When it comes to his batting average, Michael Harris II has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .295 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .326.

Dylan Moore pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Dylan Moore will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.345) suggests that Dylan Moore has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .307 actual wOBA. Since the start of last season, Dylan Moore's flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 96th percentile at 98 mph. Dylan Moore has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 19.7° angle is among the highest in MLB since the start of last season (89th percentile).

Leonardo Rivas has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 4 games.