England vs Belgium Predictions and Picks: Don't Expect Much Offense at Wembley

Neither England nor Belgium have looked great at the start of this March friendly period, and our soccer betting picks are expecting some cautious coaching and a low-scoring result.

Mar 26, 2024 • 13:40 ET • 4 min read
Matz Sels Belgium
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

It’s England vs. Belgium at Wembley and both teams are in need of a positive result after disappointing first games of this international break. England lost 1-0 to Brazil, while Belgium had a scoreless draw with Ireland.

Who will bounce back best today and what’s the best way to bet on the soccer odds for the game? Don’t miss our England vs. Belgium soccer picks and predictions to find out.

England vs Belgium best odds

England England Belgium
-150 Moneyline +370
+285 Draw +285
Over 2.5 (-108) Total Under 2.5 (-128)

Odds courtesy of TonyBet on March 26, 2024.

England vs Belgium picks and predictions

It’s a fact that many don’t want to admit, especially supporters, but the reality is that results in friendly games rarely matter to coaches. This March international break, and England vs. Belgium, is a case in point. An English crowd at a packed Wembley Stadium will be keen to see Gareth Southgate’s team get a win over Belgium, but the reality is that these international breaks are more about getting the group together and the training sessions than the games, especially when we’ll forget the scoreline within a few days.

That said, both sets of fans will need to see something from their teams, with hugely uninspiring results over the weekend. England looked toothless against Brazil without Harry Kane before 17-year old sensation Endrick scored a sucker-punch goal for the away team. It’s added more fuel to the fire for Southgate detractors.

Meanwhile, Belgium looked even worse on the road against Ireland in a game which finished 0-0, thanks only to Matz Sels keeping an Evan Ferguson penalty out. With both sides coming into this playing poorly, it’s factored into the decision-making for our best bet of Under 2.5 goals at -122.

As efficient as England have been during qualification in the years under Southgate, then can also go on autopilot when games are meaningless. We’ve seen it plenty of times now, and their last three games after a big 3-1 win over Italy have seen them beating a terrible Malta team 2-0, drawing 1-1 on the road to North Macedonia, and Saturday’s 1-0 loss to Brazil. England were without Harry Kane in that game and any team missing one of the best strikers in the world can be forgiven for finding goals hard to come by.

Bukayo Saka, the other surefire name in their attacking three, was missing with injury having been sent back to Arsenal. With Arsenal set to face Man City over the weekend there are question marks about how injured he really was, which raises a wider point about players not wanting to risk harm if they are carrying minor injuries into friendlies, especially when worsening an injury could keep them out of key club games. I’m expecting another lethargic, cautious game from England here.

This is a Belgium team also missing their best player from an era that was meant to define them with Kevin De Bruyne unavailable. The Man City midfielder is arguably the best on the planet in his position and although the Red Devils still have Romelu Lukaku and Jeremy Doku in their attack, they are far weaker without De Bruyne, who can bring those two into play and put chances on a plate for them.

With England’s past three games featuring Under 2.5 goals, and the same being said for two of Belgium’s previous three, there’s a good chance we see another low scoring affair at Wembley. Neither team will be daring to risk injuries in a game which basically means nothing. It won’t please either set of fans but be ready for a boring game, with Under 2.5 goals, under the Wembley floodlights this Tuesday.

My best bet: Under 2.5 (-122 at TonyBet)

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England vs Belgium same-game parlay

Under 2.5

Draw

Aster Vranckx Over 0.5 fouls

We’re adding the draw as the game result to our SGP. In their games this past weekend, we saw two attacks lacking their best players, and two teams who seemed to be devoid of the attacking thrust needed to score. Furthermore, neither defense covered themselves in glory either, so I’d expect to see a low-scoring draw — either 0-0 or most likely 1-1 — on Tuesday.

Against Belgium, we saw Wolfsburg midfield Aster Vranckx anchoring the midfield, and assuming he gets the start against England, then he has a huge chance of giving up a foul.

England have a talented midfield and playing as the anchor will put him in direct competition with the brilliant Jude Bellingham. Bellingham was routinely fouled against Brazil to keep his influence at bay, and Belgium are certain to try the same trick.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

England vs Belgium side and Over/Under analysis

If you want to back Southgate’s men then you can get England at -127 on the moneyline. If you compare both teams starting lineups then you’d have to say that it’s England who have the best team. However, we saw at Wembley on Saturday that having the best XI doesn’t mean you’re going to win, and in their current form (and with this game being meaningless) it’s hard to back England especially when they aren’t even at plus-money.

Likewise, Belgium can’t be trusted. Odds of +330 are generous but this is a team who were very fortunate to not lose to the Republic of Ireland who are, with the greatest of respect, terrible right now. Odds on the draw at +245 offer the most intriguing mix of value and likelihood to me. With neither side likely to be playing at their most expansive, or wanting to risk injury, it makes a tie a real possibility.

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England vs Belgium game info

Location: Wembley Stadium, Wembley, England
Date: Tuesday, March 26, 2024
Time: 3:45 p.m. ET
TV: Fubo
Weather: 47F, 4 mph winds, 0% PoP

England vs Belgium key injuries

England: Bukayo Saka RW (Out), Harry Kane STR (Out), Kyle Walker RB (Questionable).
Belgium: None.

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