WBC Wednesday Night

Forum: MLB Betting
Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: WBC Wednesday Night
baroid16 PM baroid16
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 5
 
baroid16
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Prospect
Posted: 3/15/2017 6:21:17 PM
One game tonight. USA v Venezuela

Not really in love with either side tonight so might just be rooting for USA and call it a day.

Why I'd take USA.
- I am really not a fan of Smyly right now but for what it is worth he's gone 5 scoreless over 2 Spring app so far. Striking out 5 and walking 2. His biggest problem is Home Runs and Petco should help with that. Surpisingly; Cabrera, V-Mart, Odor, Altuve, Escobar, and CarGo went a combned 3-18 against Smyly last year. The bullpen should be fresh and the team should be ready to go in what is basically a must win with PR and DOM on deck. Also Venezuela has been hit or miss on the offensive side this tournament and will face much better arms in a very pitcher friendly park tonight than they did in round 1

Why I'd take Venezula.
- In what should be a close playoff like game the value play is all on VEN. ML on them is up to +167, in a game that would not be shocking to see them win that's great value. In taking the loss to PR in round 1 Felix Hernandez lasted 51 pitches over 2.2 innings walking 2 striking out 3 allowing 1 run. Adding his spring app in he is striking out over 8 per 9 while walking just over 1. I dont know if the Mariners have instructed the team to keep his count low but if VEN can get any length out of him they have a shot tonight.

Total
I see O 9.5 (even) U 9.5 (-120). 
I like the under. Both of these teams are loaded with ML talent and this is a must win for both teams if they want a shot at the finals. It'll be playoff like and the park held some long shots to the alleys last night for DOM and PR. VEN ptiching after King Felix scares me as does Smyly getting stretched out for the first time but I think 9.5 is too high. I'll take the under with a final score of 5-3.

WBC to date: Sides 4-5, Totals 7-3
GO USA
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