|Note I didnt write the below, a friend did but I agree with the analysis...My Picks this weekend...
Posted: 3/16/2012 5:50:00 AM
Over 10.5 rounds @-120 Kell Brook v Matthew Hatton..
Sergio Martinez to beat Matthew Macklin rounds 10-12 @+400 (think Mackin will leave it all in the ring and gets stopped late on, similiar fight to Darren Barker)..
Fight fans are in for a proper treat this weekend with top class pugilistic
action taking place on both sides of the Atlantic.
In Sheffield Kell Brook boxes Matthew Hatton in a cracking and all too
rare fight between the two best domestic boys in the division.
'Special K' Brook is WBA Inter-Continental champion while Hatton holds the
IBF International welterweight crown. Truth be told both belts are pretty
worthless but the fight itself has the potential to sizzle.
Hatton is taking lace in his 50th contest and knows a win could finally see
him move out of brother Ricky's shadow and be regarded as a top fighter in his
Matt has already reigned as European champion and fought for the WBC
light-middleweight belt, when helost on points to Mexican hotshot Saul Alvarez.
However he is still not getting his props from those in the trade. It's obvious
this frustrates him but he seems a level-headed chap and is confident that he
can deliver on Saturday.
When the fight was made I had priced Brook as a slight jolly in my head so
was surprised to see him as short as 1/11 in places to win at the Metropoint
Given the fact that Hatton holds the edge in experience and can hardly be
described as over the hill at 30 it's odd to see him so high - he is 6/1 for the
win with some firms.
However, Brook is a fighter with the X-Factor. A product of the Wincobank gym
in Sheffield that spawned Herol 'Bomber' Graham, Ryan Rhodes and 'Prince' Naseem
Hamed, he's a boxer who has the raw tools to get to the very top.
Unbeaten in 26 fights (18 inside) he often makes it all look so effortless
and he's building up quite a following in Sheffield, with over 9000 tickets
having been shifted for this one according to Eddie Hearn.
Brook is flashy but also a thinker when he's in there and I don't see
complacency costing him here. Speaking ahead of this he told reporters: "Matthew
is a very dangerous opponent and one that I am full of respect for.
"I know that if I take him lightly he will beat me so I have been 100 per
cent focused on him - I'll let others do the talking about these fights in the
future, right now it's all about Hatton."
I see Brook winning this, but I don't see it as the cakewalk the layers seem
to think it will be. Brook can punch (KO ratio approaching 70%) however Hatton
stood toe-to-toe with Alvarez, a fearsome puncher at light-middle last time out,
in Mexico, and never budged.
He has a rock solid chin and while he doesn't have the body-punching or ring
tenacity of his more famous brother, he does have a decent set of cojones and
can definitely hear the final bell in this one. 5/4 about a Brook win on points
won't be the biggest price of the year but it looks an absolute banker bet all
At Madison Square Garden this weekend Matthew Macklin dares to dream against
Sergio Martinez, the Argentine who may not have a bona fide world title
now but who nonetheless is regarded as the best middleweight on the planet.
Macklin was brilliant in his last fight against WBA world middleweight king
Felix Sturm but lost a split decision in Germany. That was all he lost on the
night however as his all-action display won him a new army of fans. The
much-travelled Brummie goes straight into another high profile affair, with the
newly minted WBC Diamond title on the line in New York.
'Mack the Knife' has a decent 28-3 (19) record and does most things well.
However in Martinez he is meeting a master boxer who has lost just twice in 52
starts. 'Maravilla' holds wins against the likes of Paul Williams, Kelly Pavlik
and Serhiy Dzinziruk, and last time out he eased to a points win over another
Brit in Darren Barker.
Martinez at his best is a silky smooth box-fighter who can do it all. His
record suggests he should have far too much for Macklin but at 37 there is
always the risk he will come apart at the seams in a fight like this.
Macklin will have to box out of his skin, keep the pressure on Martinez and
evade those heavy hooks and counters. If he does, and Martinez does show his
age, the upset - Macklin is 15/2 in places - could be on.
More likely however is that Martinez boxes within himself to do just about
enough on the cards in front of an enthusiastic, pro-Irish crowd in St Paddy's
Day at MSG.