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Braves
Cardinals Giants 2011 Record: 16-16-1, Units -2.81 |
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Today's picks are:
Cincinnati over Houston STL Cardinals over Cubs SF Giants over D-Backs ATL Braves over Washington 2011 Record: Series 4-6, Games 13-15-2, Units -3.99 |
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Observer, you make me laugh.
Have a good night. |
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Leprechaun, I agree with you. I've been using labouchere for the last couple years. It has worked better for me than flat betting. I just make sure that the odds are not too high and that my starting bet is no more than 1/2% of my bankroll. Of course it does get tricky when you have a long losing streak. You have to be extremely disciplined when using it, as with any betting method.
Best of luck, Bob |
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Picks for Sunday, May 8th
Royals -105 Mariners -106 Marlins -147 Cardinals -133 Rockies -120 2011 Record: 3-3-0, Games 10-12-2, Units -3.19 |
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Observer and OilCountry, thank you for your input.
Observer, I just don't know why you think that it is so difficult to win at sports betting. I've even made money with John Morrison's systems (without the chase). Forget about my system for the moment. Only time will tell if it works. This is my belief: Good money management + discipline = Advantage over bookies. Let me explain... Everyone thinks that you can't beat the bookies because of the juice. People thinks that it gives them an unbeatable advantage. Well, what if we could take the advantage from the bookies? How do we do that? Simply by using the Labouchere System. Did you know that by using the labby system, you can break-even winning half of your bets even with -125 odds? If this is possible, and I can prove it, then why does the bookie have the advantage? Now, the question becomes who can't break-even with -125 odds? Each wager should not be bigger than 1/2 to 1% of your bankroll. Anyone can make money with discipline and a good understanding of numbers. The problem is not that bettors can't make winning picks; it's that they don't understand money management. Bob |
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Sat, May 7 Picks
KC Royals +102 Sea Mariners -104 Florida Marlins -130 STL Cardinals -127 Col Rockies +118 2011Record: 3-2, Games 9-9-1, Units -1.23 |
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Thanks Leprechaun for your input. I know the sweeps can kill you. My filters are trying to minimize the sweeps. We'll see how that works! I'm also monitoring bullpens.
Bob |
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It took me months to develop this system (10-12 hour days, 7 days a week). In fact, I did not start writing my website until I thought I had a system that had a chance to succeed. I first tried developing a system for hockey but finally gave up.
The one caveat to my system is that one of the statistics that it uses to determine which team is the strongest team is the RPI developed by ESPN. However, since ESPN could not give me the RPI for a team on a given day, I had to use the year-end RPI. So I don't know how this will translate throughout the year. But you have to admit that the premise of the system makes sense: A stronger team playing better right now should win the majority of series. That's what I want to prove over the course of the 2011 baseball season. I expect that I will have to tweak the system somewhat over the year since it does not take into consideration individual games. For instance, the final game of the Dodgers series, the Dodgers were facing a right handed starting pitcher. However, the Dodgers had a 9-14 record against RHP and the Cubs were 5-3 against LHP. The Cubs won the game. It is something that I'm monitoring. I have looked at a lot of systems, and most of them are CHASE systems where you want to win 1 game of a series. That did not make sense to me. But I have not seen anything on winning more than 1 game in a series. Maybe I didn't look hard enough but I would be surprised if anyone has a system like this one. I believe that this system has a very good chance of making money. |
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Results of Last Series
Dodgers/Cubs (Lost 1-2) Pirates/Padres (Won 2-1) Royals/Orioles (Won 2-1) Phillies/Nationals (Won 2-1) Rockies/D-backs (Lost 1-2) Friday, May 6th Picks: Royals Mariners Marlins Cardinals Rockies 2011 Record: Series 3-2-0, Games 8-6, Units + 0.87 |
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I encourage feedback (good and bad) about my system. However, let's please keep it professional.
If you have a problem with me personally, then don't follow my thread. If you would like to know who I am, then visit my website. I explain who I am on my front page. Best of luck, Bob |
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Correction: Elimination Rule #2 above for stronger teams should be 3-7 or worse.
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The Baseball Super Series Betting System is based on a common sense approach that a stronger MLB team playing better right now, whether playing at home or on the road, will win the majority of its baseball series.
A stronger team must have a:
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Thursday, May 5, 2011 Picks
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Wed, May 4th picks:
1) Dodgers (Series tied 1-1) 2) Pirates (Series tied 1-1) 3) Royals (KC leads 1-0) 4) Phillies (PHI leads 1-0) 5) Rockies (ARZ leads 1-0) 2011 Record: Series 0-0-0, Games 4-3, Units +0.27 Best of luck, Bob |
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Quote Originally Posted by oilcountry99: What are you using for Money Management? Are you flat betting each play at 1.25% of your entire bankroll? Good Luck Everyone's money management strategy is different but I bet 1.25% on each game. Also, split between money line and run line when odds between -150 and -200 Best of luck, Bob |
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May 3rd picks are Dodgers, Royals, Phillies, Pirates, and Rockies.
Record: 2-0, +1.91 units Best of luck, Bob |
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Having difficulties posting again.
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We are betting that each team will win 2 out of 3 games. For Monday, May 2nd, the eligible series are: 1) LA Dodgers over Chicago Cubs (3-game series) 2) Pittsburgh Pirates over San Diego (3-game series) If you would like the rules for this system, you can download it for free at Guide to Baseball Betting. |
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If your sportsbook does not offer dime lines, you are throwing away money. Find out which sportsbooks offer the lowest juice at the Guide to Baseball Betting
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