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Thats funny... I had very similar records in each of the first 4 weeks. I really don't know what happened last week. Oh well, let's bounce back on Sunday! Good luck.
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bidmerun | 8 |
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Alright. So I had the worst handicapping day of my life last Sunday. I better bounce back this week...
Paul Knows Football
Premium Pick – Week 5 Seattle +7 @ New York
Giants -7 My Selection: Seattle
+7 Synopsis: Both teams are coming
off of bye weeks. Eli Manning and the
Giants have struggled against Seattle, losing to them each of the last 2 times
the teams have met. The giants lost by 3
points in ’05, and 12 points in ’06 – two years where they were good enough to
reach the playoffs (NYG). Mike Holmgren
seems to have the Giants’ number, and the G-Men historically don’t perform overly
well coming off of bye weeks – 1-3 the last 4 years under Tom Coughlin. Mike Holmgren said he was informed he will
have the services of previous injured players Mo Morris (knee), Deion Branch
(knee), Bobby Engram (shoulder), Sean Locklear (knee) and Seneca Wallace (calf)
for the game, which is great news. We
saw the Giants secondary struggle against Cincinnati their last game – what
will they do about Engram and Branch? The
Seahawks will walk into Week 5 with options, perhaps for the first time this
season. I like Seattle this week +7.5. My Selection: Seattle +7 |
PaulKnowsNFL | 11 |
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I love GB+1. Good luck!
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solvaycliff | 12 |
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TB had no business winning last week, and will not win this week, either. They are a mediocre squad who will never again get away with throwing the football 67 times. While Green Bay isn't a powerhouse either, they're still a tough squad all around. GB will win the Battle of the Bays 2008.
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C-NART | 44 |
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14-6-1 ATS in 2008... Paul Knows Football Premium Pick – Week 4 Arizona +1.5 @ New York Jets -1.5 My Selection: Arizona +1.5 Synopsis: The Jets are coming off a short week and the Cardinals are still ailing from a tough loss. Arizona gave Washington a hard fought battle last Sunday, and will do the same this week in New York. I expect the Cardinals to bounce back and grab a win against the Jets this week, who are a mere 2-6-1 ATS their last 9 games at home. They haven’t fared much better straight up either, going 2-5 in their last 7 at the Meadowlands. The NFC East is the toughest division in football right now, and if the Cardinals can fight it out with the Skins, they can definitely beat the Jets. Arizona’s scoring offense is ranked 13th, while the Jets scoring defense is a miserable 26th. On the other side, the Jets are ranked 20 in overall scoring, while the Cards are at #5 in total scoring defense. On another note, he Cardinals have been on the east coast all week – they never left after last Sunday’s matchup vs. Washington – so no jet lag or missed time. Watch Arizona take care of business this Sunday in New York. My Selection: Arizona +1.5 |
PaulKnowsNFL | 12 |
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I love Dallas -3. I could see them winning this by 7-10 points.
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BBOOKIE | 6 |
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Yeah Romeo is a terrible coach...but the Browns are definitely a better team than the Ravens. Not to mention the Ravens have a Rookie QB & a Rookie head coach going into Week 3. Let's not forget how stale they looked Week 1...and now they haven't played since. 2.5 points is a value because Cleveland will will this one outright. They own Baltimore, and the Ravens are in the rebuilding process. Regardless of how boring both teams are, a game is a game and a bet is a bet.
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PaulKnowsNFL | 8 |
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Cleveland +2.5 @ Baltimore -2.5 My Selection: Cleveland +2.5 Synopsis: Cleveland gets blown out in Week 1, and then loses a tough
defensive battle to the Steelers Week 2 (still covering 6.5). Sunday, they go in to face the 1-0 Baltimore
Ravens. Could they possibly go from
being a playoff caliber team in 2007 to starting the 2008 campaign 0-3? Yes, it is possible – but not likely. Romeo is under pressure, and the Browns need
a win big time to keep the fans at bay.
This week, the Browns take on another tough divisional foe. Cleveland
is now 11-1 ATS versus a team
with a winning record. Baltimore is 3-11 ATS against the AFC
recently and a dismal 4-14 ATS their last 18 games. Cleveland is also 5-0 ATS in its last five
versus Baltimore. I see great value here
and I love the Browns + the points this Sunday.
This is one of the best plays of the week in my opinion. My Selection: Cleveland +2.5 |
PaulKnowsNFL | 8 |
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This should be a good one. Seems like the major battle here is going to be the Dallas Offense vs. Philly's D. While Philly has a potent offense, they will not be able to match Dallas points wise if this thing becomes a shootout. Dallas just has a dominent attack. Philly's D is solid, while Dallas' secondary is suspect at best. If Philly's Defense can keep them in it, their offense will ultimatly prevail and they can win this thing SU in end. If their Defesne lets Dallas walk all over them like in CLE last week, it's gonna be a long night. Eagles are 2-0 the last 2 MNF games they played in Dallas.
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3POINTDOG | 4 |
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Indianapolis (-2.5) @ Minnesota (+2.5)
My Selection: Indianapolis -2.5
Synopsis: The Colts lost a tough one to the Bears Sunday night. Peyton Manning came out a little rusty, but what was more important, was his mental state. He has never had surgery before, and was very anxious as to how his knee would react. You could see him gain confidence as the game went on (even though the Colts lost) – confidence he'll bring into Week 2. Minnesota is coming off a short week (MNF) and a terrible loss to Green Bay. AP cannot carry this team by himself, just as Barry Sanders couldn't carry the Lions by himself in the 90's. Adding to that, Tavares Jackson is just not ready to be a premier QB. Indianapolis is 9-1 in its last 10 games on the road. Minnesota is 4-9 in their last 13 at home. Furthermore, the game is being played in a dome; Peyton Manning's favorite kind of venue. The offense is quick strike – built for speed. I love Indianapolis this weekend -2.5.
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PaulKnowsNFL | 5 |
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I agree that Cincy may be a "heartless team" Lizard. It certainly appeared that way last week. They were FLAT. My point is, TEN is carried by VY, whether the stats indicate it or not. There's a lot of turmoil down there right now. There's also tremendous pressure on Marvin Lewis to win a game. Fans are fed up, 2 straight sub par seasons. Carson Palmer isn't what he used to be...but I swear it's all mental. Physically, he's still got everything that he had back in '05 when they went to the playoffs. He'll come around. Cincinnati is at home and TEN is in a state of disarray much like any franchise is when their QB goes out Week 1. After looking at all of the intangibles, I like CIN here. I guess it should easily go either way, though.
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SacTown1 | 15 |
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Quote Originally Posted by UTFootball08:
while that may be true, I tend to think that type of thinking is neither here nor there when it comes to betting games. Not very relevant. Trends aren't relevant when it comes to betting games? If you're an NFL QB, you aren't more comfortable playing in a venue where you always have sucess? I disagree - 100%. But either way, it should be a good one. I'm leaning towards PIT at the moment. If we're talking SU, it's PIT no doubt. |
demapples | 117 |
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New England loses 1 player - granted the MVP - but they lose 1 player and go from being the premier team in the legue to an underdog in NY? The Jets, really? Are we talking about the same Jets team that the evil Sith Lord Bill Belichick despises due to spygate? Or the Jets who barely squaked by the 1-15 dolphins last week? Very interesting though....this is definitely going to be a good one to watch. Could go either way for Cassell. At least he's not a rookie. Non-Rookies tend to do a lot better in thier first NFL starts. Look at Romo, Rivers, and most recently Aaron Rodgers.
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The_JB_Show | 25 |
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Let's not foget though:
* Big time emotional/media issues in TEN all week regarding Vince Young. Some players put out about it.
* Game is in Cincinnati.
* Kerry Collins is 97 years old.
Well, in all reality I still like Collins. I can't see the Bengals losing another one starting winless after week 2. They aren't a good team, the theyre better than people give them credit for. And when did TEN become a GOOD team anyway? Did I miss something. Love Vince Young or hate him, the guys a winner. He carries that team on his back when they do perform well..He might not put up fantasy stats but he knows how to make things happen. I like CIN this week.
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SacTown1 | 15 |
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Nice! Nothing better than a tailgate like that! Chiefs are looking good in this one. Heated divisional rivalry and the Raiders are coming off a short week. Plus, let's be honest, the Raiders are just bad.
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Kev3434 | 5 |
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Big Ben has NEVER lost in the stae of Ohio - in College or the pros. Does that mean they'll cover 6.5? Who knows. But the fact remains, Ben gets the job done in his home state.
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demapples | 117 |
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It’s a little early to predict a division winner or the “best” in a division. Think about it guys, it’s only Week 2. 1-0 means nothing and 0-1 means nothing. Teams start out 4-0 and go 4-8 the rest of the way. Teams start out 1-3 and goto the Championship game. You just don’t know for sure. Think about 2003 – The Vikings started 6-0 and didn’t make the playoffs! Everything’s wide open right now. Think about some of the upsets that have occurred already? What if those teams end up being true powerhouses? A lot of football to go. |
DoubleUp4Life | 274 |
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Interesting evening. Aaron Rodgers looked good and the packers covered just as I expected. The team is still a pretty good team. After watching last nice, I foresee the packers starting out strong. Could they potentially hit a rut as Rodger's growing pains kick in? Think about Brian Griese and how he started...and where he ended up. Following a ledged is never easy. Regardless, you have to like the Pack right now. The Raiders are bad. What else is new? Didn't we already know this, anyway? I did.. Cutler has a sick, sick arm. A guy with an arm like that always has the CHANCE to be great. When you don't have to do much thinking or looking because you have the strength and accuracy to fit balls into miniature windows, you're in good shape. I feel like the Broncos are going to be pretty decent - potentially make the playoffs. This year is Cutler's coming out party. Third year is the charm for a lot of guys like this. Second year as a starter and the kid can flat out play. Thoughts or opinions on this? |
PaulKnowsNFL | 1 |
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No problem C-T. I wasn't uware this was disallowed. Thanks.
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PaulKnowsNFL | 5 |
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I had a pretty good weekend overall at 7-2 . That Cincy game freakin' killed me, though. They are really, really bad. I know it was divisional, on the road, yadayada...but there's no excuse for that. I thought they'd come out with some heart...nothing. Carson, nothing. Ocho, nothing. Oh well.
I killed on the Bears @ Colts last night though! Though I didn't pick the Bears SU. Weel 1 is always crazy.
I was happy with the outcome in New Orleans as well, though they scared me quite a bit too. Seemed as though Tampa controlled the whole game.
Anyway, onto tonight: Green Bay -2
The majority of the money is on MIN. GB is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 and 6-1 in their last 7 at home. I realize Aaron Rogers is starting for the first time, but he's a 4 year guy now. Let's look at other 3-4 year guys who made their first starts in national evening games recently:
Phillip Rivers - Win Tony Romo - Win Rivers did it on MNF to open the 2006 season if you remember. And remember Tren Edward on MNF against Dallas last year? BUF covered and should have won! I'm all over GB here. Good luck to all!
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PaulKnowsNFL | 5 |
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